Obinwenite:
From the result,PDP is not doing bad.

PDP got less than 25% of total votes in this election as well.

This is bad

MartinCorridon:


I can bet you it's probably more than "body language". He likely silently campaigned by proxy.

Been there. It's a close knit environment, don't know how to explain it BUT they voted according to his wishes

I agree with u 100%...but i am waiting to see how he will be able to maneuver his way back to d House next year.

abescom:
Serves him to right. Many of the defected senators are just been outright deluded. A good number of them are in the Senate today because of Buhari's good will and nothing more.

Yes because of Buhari's goodwill and Jonathan's clannishness and stupidity

naijapips04:
PDP over 40% vote in the North.

2019 would be one hell of an election.

APC winning more than 40% in SE and SS, and winning SW outright. Game over for PDP

The two senators that decamped I pity them.

madridguy:
He can contest and win his local government election

Do you mean he should contest for the chairmanship of his local government....... Haba! Anyway probably he may win so he won't loose out totally.

odiks:


How.....

50256 * 100
---------- ----- === 19.57%
256,763 1

Or


50256 * 100
---------- ----- === 20.5%
245,652 1

You are minding all these lazy boys of this generation. To pick up their pens and do thorough analysis and calculations is a hell of headache for them. They just quote numbers from their lazy heads. Majority of them are so lazy and daft. 40% indeed. I just pity the parents wasting money on them in school instead of going to learn how to cut hair or tailoring.

kahal29:


To defeat him will be very easy. Since he represents 3 LGA - Dass/Balewa/Bogoro constituency, all APC needs to do is to field somebody from either Balewa or Dass since he has been denying these LGAs a chance of representation for over 12 years now, play the religious card since he is a Christian in midst of Muslims and I tell you his name will be sorry in the next election.

The religious card won't fly. He represents a predominantly Christian constituency.

Buhari is a movement in d north, pdp will lose woefully in 2019

mknigeriagreat:


Osun case is totally different. I am from osun and what is playing out is as a result of aregbeaola's economy policies that has dipped the state into poverty. The outcome of the gubernatorial election in that state will have nothing to do with a party but individual. On a fair ground, the masses don't want aregbeaola again that was why it was easy for Adeleke to defect to pdp and still won. The truth is Adeleke looks like the next osun governor but even if he wins under the pdp umbrella, I am 100% sure not mixing words up that Buhari will still win in osun come the presidential election. My thoughts and calculations though. My own desire is for Adeleke to win as the governor though. Osun state is a Civil service state with little or no IGR. If salaries ain't paid, the government doesn't get a huge tax and IGR drops. What aregbesola hasn't done in almost eight years is to increase the IGR of that state. The debt is another major concern I just hope Adeleke wins and efcc can look into how he manged the state funds for 8 years. Accountability matters in good governance and he lacks it as an individual.

This analysis is baseless o. The heavy votes zones are Ifeland, Ijesha land, Ede and other areas under osun district.

Omisore of SDP will won Ife zone with APC coming a close second due to modakeke and Ife central heavy votes. He won’t be able to use thugs as before and hence maynlose to APC.

Ede will vote PDP cos of Adeleke. He is not even qualify to run in the first case.

Ijeshas will vote for Aregbesola APC.

Baba Akande will deliver Ila orangun zone. And the APC candidate is expected to deliver his zone.

So there is NO way PDP can win

madridguy:
But wailers are saying Adams Oshiomhole will bury APC with his gra-gra but reverse is the case, Osho Baba is busy winning medal for us back to back.

APC need to extend Oshiomhole contract before PDP come for him

APC

CHANGE

is the NORTH only nigeria? laff all you like... we are not perturbed....#healthyPresident2019 is what we DEMAND!!!

naijapips04:
PDP over 40% vote in the North.

2019 would be one hell of an election.

Do your arithmetic again and you will realize that PDP scores less than 25% of total votes.

Walelavender:

The religious card won't fly. He represents a predominantly Christian constituency.

You mean the number of Christians in Dass and Balewa are more than the Muslims?

mknigeriagreat:


Osun case is totally different. I am from osun and what is playing out is as a result of aregbeaola's economy policies that has dipped the state into poverty. The outcome of the gubernatorial election in that state will have nothing to do with a party but individual. On a fair ground, the masses don't want aregbeaola again that was why it was easy for Adeleke to defect to pdp and still won. The truth is Adeleke looks like the next osun governor but even if he wins under the pdp umbrella, I am 100% sure not mixing words up that Buhari will still win in osun come the presidential election. My thoughts and calculations though. My own desire is for Adeleke to win as the governor though. Osun state is a Civil service state with little or no IGR. If salaries ain't paid, the government doesn't get a huge tax and IGR drops. What aregbesola hasn't done in almost eight years is to increase the IGR of that state. The debt is another major concern I just hope Adeleke wins and efcc can look into how he manged the state funds for 8 years. Accountability matters in good governance and he lacks it as an individual.

What if i tell u that APC will still win Osun irregardless of Aregbe economy policy

PassingShot:

Do your arithmetic again and you will realize that PDP scores less than 25% of total votes.

Thank you,i made a mistake.pdp didnt get up to 25% while apc got up to that in obudu

MartinCorridon:
Worrisome for Dogara....the South of Bauchi is predominantly Christian and it's only Bogoro his own LGA PDP won.

The results have sealed his fate, he had better go to PDP.

How do you explain PDP winning your LGA as an APC member?

Bauchi south is not predominantly Christian. All governors of Bauchi have been from Bauchi south and all have been Muslims. All the candidates for this senatorial election for Bauchi south are Muslims. stop saying what you don't know.

kahal29:


To defeat him will be very easy. Since he represents 3 LGA - Dass/Balewa/Bogoro constituency, all APC needs to do is to field somebody from either Balewa or Dass since he has been denying these LGAs a chance of representation for over 12 years now, play the religious card since he is a Christian in midst of Muslims and I tell you his name will be sorry in the next election.

These three LGAs he represents are Christian dominated that's why he will still win on religious affiliation.

Mosesm:


This analysis is baseless o. The heavy votes zones are Ifeland, Ijesha land, Ede and other areas under osun district.

Omisore of SDP will won Ife zone with APC coming a close second due to modakeke and Ife central heavy votes. He won’t be able to use thugs as before and hence maynlose to APC.

Ede will vote PDP cos of Adeleke. He is not even qualify to run in the first case.

Ijeshas will vote for Aregbesola APC.

Baba Akande will deliver Ila orangun zone. And the APC candidate is expected to deliver his zone.

So there is NO way PDP can win

Ede is not standing alone. Iwo has a massive number too and will vote Adeleke. He claims ijesha land by mouth but they know their real sons and daughters. Osogbo will be shared between them. As for ila orangun I can't really tell of the outcome. Ifewara might put sentiment apart. Omisore's case us inconsequential. He's like obanikoro in Lagos he can only try he can't pull any stunt. The two major parties contesting are pdp and apc we both know. Even if you see how accord has been pulling muscles and weight in osogbo you will be alarmed but we know the real deals.

Hope say the Goat elected will keep to his promise dt is only agenda if elected is dt he will to push for Bill dt will allow Bubu Buhari president for lyf. I can tell u categorically d election was rigged.

contigiency:
I don't have much to say now until after osun gubernatorial election because my friends here are saying that it is where PDP will show their real worth.

Yes their worth at getting 25% or below.

muyiwadav33:
What if i tell u that APC will still win Osun irregardless of Aregbe economy policy

You might be right I'm not disputing that but the odds doesn't favour him. If you use the senatorial bye election as a template, you will know it is tilted to both sides of the divide.

buhariguy:
have you repent.?

No! Just in the spirit of fairness.

Agritech:


Bauchi south is not predominantly Christian. All governors of Bauchi have been from Bauchi south and all have been Muslims. All the candidate for this senatorial election for Bauchi south are Muslim. stop saying what you don't know.

You should stop saying what you don't know. Tell me what defines Tafawa Balewa, Dass, Bogoro....

Check the screenshot and tell me Muslims are majority in the LGAs i showed except in Bauchi the capital city.

Learn some manners and facts before rushing to quote someone next time.

contigiency:
I don't have much to say now until after osun gubernatorial election because my friends here are saying that it is where PDP will show their real worth.

Bro,I don't know about other state politics oooooooo, but as for Osun politics,make I no hail myself....lol.
PDP can not win APC.....the only way there can be change of government in osun is after aregbe don go patata, that guy na real madman,very wise and knows his way.......

mknigeriagreat:


Ede is not standing alone. Iwo has a massive number too and will vote Adeleke. He claims ijesha land by mouth but they know their real sons and daughters. Osogbo will be shared between them. As for ila orangun I can't really tell of the outcome. Ifewara might put sentiment apart. Omisore's case us inconsequential. He's like obanikoro in Lagos he can only try he can't pull any stunt. The two major parties contesting are pdp and apc we both know. Even if you see how accord has been pulling muscles and weight in osogbo you will be alarmed but we know the real deals.

APC will win Osun cleanly, they can only have problem in Osun West and the votes from there has been divided, Adeoti, Adeleke and APC deputy candidate all from the west, forget the talk about not unpaid salaries and debts, when people consider that, they will also tell you he has projects to show for it unlike previous PDP government.

Yinkagbo:


Bro,I don't know about other state politics oooooooo, but as for Osun politics,make I no hail myself....lol.
PDP can not win APC.....the only way there can be change of government in osun is after aregbe don go patata, that guy na real madman,very wise and knows his way.......

, even PDP know they are on a long thing, I just don't see it happening.

MartinCorridon:


You should stop saying what you don't know. Tell me what defines Tafawa Balewa, Dass, Bogoro....

Check the screenshot and tell me Muslims are majority in the LGAs i showed except in Bauchi the capital city.

Learn some manners and facts before rushing to quote someone next time.

You would be seating in the east and using wikipedia to talk about the north. Where in the pic did they say Christians are majority in all the local government except Bauchi local government?

If Bauchi south is populated by Christians, why wasn't any Christian bold enough to contest for the senatorial seat? Why was it possible for the winner campaign to be base on making buhari a life president and still he won.

Congratulations to the Senator-Elect Lawal Yahaya Gumau
Congratulations to All APC Fans Worldwide
Congratulations to All Sincere Buharists!
This is indeed a victory for us and democracy as a whole!
Dogara better contest for member of state house of Assembly ooo lols

Sai Baba Sai Buhariiiii
PMB till 2023

madridguy:
But wailers are saying Adams Oshiomhole will bury APC with his gra-gra but reverse is the case, Osho Baba is busy winning medal for us back to back.

APC need to extend Oshiomhole contract before PDP come for him

APC

CHANGE

PDP learning since 2015

Walelavender:

The religious card won't fly. He represents a predominantly Christian constituency.

No. There are Christians there but they are not the predominant religion. Muslims still predominates there. He can't win any election. The cancelled votes is nearly equal to the valid votes. That is done to enable him win the local government. He is,politically, a goner

odiks:


You mean the number of Christians in Dass and Balewa are more than the Muslims?

.
Balewa-Sure. Grew up in Bauchi

Power belongs to God you guys would be shocked in 2019. That's all I can say.