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8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election - Politics - Nairaland

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8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 11:46am On Dec 09, 2018
Here are the top 8 indicators that Atiku Abubakar the Presidential candidate of the PDP has already lost the 2019 Presidential election to President Mohammadu Buhari.

1. The DubaiPlan Was A Flop
Atiku landed from Dubai where he spent sometime with both local and foreign consultants including members of his Campaign Team crafting the document dobbed the AtikuPlan. PDP members were in high spirit and Nigerians sat back to be mesmerized, only for the Plan to end up being a failure. To start with, it was mainly about Selling most of the major National assets. Nigerians expect Power to return to the South in 2023, but Atiku landed from Dubai with a 6-years Plan. Figures were greatly exaggerated in the document. The Plan had nothing exciting, unique or exceptional - just the same old stuff. No new ideas in it.

2. Poor Handling Of The VP Pick
The regions for Atiku to pick a VP were obvious - it was either SW in order to slug it out with Buhari head long or SE if he wants to consolidate his base. SW already had the VP in the bag, so Atiku going for SE was a better option and everyone knew. But Atiku still messed that up - stakeholder were not carried along, party leadership barely had a say and to make matter worse, Atiku went solo - they all heard it in the News like everyone else. Guideline was not followed. The VP choice was not jointly unveiled. Needless to say there is suspicion and apprehension in the camp. Atiku has low rating on Trust, this does not help either.

3. No Excitement From Atiku Camp
Most fans and supporters rally around Atiku expecting that money will be shared and any time that does not happen disappointment sets in. Unlike President Buhari. Majority of Buhari's supporters already know he doesn't spray money. In fact everyone will be astonished if Buhari throws a penny. Has never done that. That is why he is loved. That is who he is. Yet has millions of supporters. The same can't be said about Atiku.

4. Inability To Split The Northern Votes By Half
If Atiku Abubakar gets anything less than 50% of the Northern Votes, the has lost the election. And from all permutations and analysis that seems impossible. President Buhari still enjoy majority of support from the Northern parts of Nigeria.

5. Buhari Is Making In-Road In Areas He Lost In 2015
The APC has made remarkable inroad to areas he lost in 2015. State like Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra, Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom and Rivers are warming up to him. That implies more votes will be coming from the SE and SS than was achieved in 2015 and these are Atiku's current strongholds.

6. PDP Lack Federal Might And Power Of Incumbency - APC Has It
In many elections, these 2 factors have been tools for success in the hands of PDP. Opposition members were either restricted in Hotels, loyalty curried, results re-written, unused votes counted for the winner, oppositions party agents refused access, vote buying, thugs having free reign, etc were common occurance. Whether or not the APC will use these is to be seen, but one thing that is sure is that the PDP will not enjoy them for the first time since 1999.

7. 2023 Presidency Factor

One thing that is working against Atiku and will contribute to his defeat is the 2023 Factor. Those hoping to benefit from it are the SE and SW. Ironically, with Atiku playing his 6 years plan, voting for President Buhari is the only way the SE and SW have a clear shot at it. Currently the SE has it because it is a Legacy Issue, the need to resolve a political imbalance. But if the SE puts all her eggs in Atiku's basket and it fails, the SW will have the upper hand as they will be closer to power in Buhari's second term and can hope the North reciprocate the support when the time comes. Therefore we expect the SE votes will be a slit to solidify the quest for the 2023 Presidential ambition.

8. Atiku Is Not Jonathan
If Buhari wins majority of votes in the North, Atiku will lose the election as there is noway he (Atiku) will get 100% of the votes former President Jonathan got in 2015.

The odds are staked against Atiku. It will be a miracle for him to pull out a win 2019. With all that has been deployed against President Buhari not sticking, it is safe to say - Atiku is fighting a lost cause.

NETPRO

37 Likes 11 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Binikingdowm: 11:47am On Dec 09, 2018
Number one reason is, PDP sideline the Edo and Yoruba!

It seems PDP haven't learnt their lesson, pdp missed it when they picked uche secondus as a party chairman.

They would have picked dokpessi or a Yoruba man but they went to pick uche.

They killed their selves when they sideline the Edo and pick another igbo man as a vp, who is advising this pdp seff?.

You think Hausa will vote an Igbo candidate? Smh

37 Likes 9 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Nobody: 11:49am On Dec 09, 2018
grin

Nice write up....OP, your head is there...keep it up

16 Likes 7 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by onez: 11:51am On Dec 09, 2018
I'm sorry OP. This write-up is quite idiotic

43 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Binikingdowm: 11:51am On Dec 09, 2018
Igbo people killed the first north east president(tafawa balewa).

They killed Hausas, Muslims thousands of them in different states you think they'll forget?.

Nnnadi kanu can't do without insulting northerners and igbo leaders didn't even condemned him.

Igbos both online and offline are hostile and always belittle them..

Why would they leave a Yoruba and vote some one that hate them?

22 Likes 6 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by CilicMarin: 11:53am On Dec 09, 2018
9. HIS INABILITY TO GET OR FORGE A US VISA TO ENABLE HIM VISIT AMERICA....


Nobody wants to elect a FUGITIVE as President..

28 Likes 13 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Johnpsite: 11:54am On Dec 09, 2018
U wrote rubbish, is like you are drunk

11 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Binikingdowm: 11:54am On Dec 09, 2018
Edo should have been given pdp vice presidency to even think of winning, Edo man has more chance of dividing northern votes than Igbo can dream off..

Oba of Benin built the first mosque.
Many Hausa leaders are from Edo e.g mutala Mohammed.
No Edo has ever insulted any northerners.
The yorubas see Edo as a distant cousin, oduduwa factor can still play.


Pdp will be buried 2019 because I don't see how Edo and Yoruba will leave both party chairman (oyegun, oshiomole) and vice presidency(osibanjo) and vote an igbo candidate that always insult them.

Never

19 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ZombieTAMER: 11:54am On Dec 09, 2018
Rubbish analysis


Useless thread


All your points are lies and deceit


Buhari complained about getting 5% in some regions in 2015... These are the same regions you claim Buhari is making progress

Mark my words... Buhari will not get 2% votes in those regions

NE will rather vote their Son...
NC will never vote Apc again.. Not after what they have been through..
SW will not give Buhari any block votes..

There is no way Buhari is winning except through rigging.. Little wonder he has refused to sign the electoral bill

We live in an era where people are committing suicide just to escape poverty and hardship... It's only people classified as zombies that will want the status quo to continue...

24 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by cdqyehyeh(m): 11:56am On Dec 09, 2018
Atiku is already a loser

14 Likes 7 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ZombieTAMER: 11:57am On Dec 09, 2018
Binikingdowm:
Igbo people killed the first north east president(tafawa balewa).

They killed Hausas, Muslims thousands of them in different states you think they'll forget?.

Nnnadi kanu can't do without insulting northerners and igbo leaders didn't even condemned him.

Igbos both online and offline are hostile and always belittle them..

Why would they leave a Yoruba and vote some one that hate them?

Go watch cartoon network
That's where your mates are

22 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ZombieTAMER: 11:59am On Dec 09, 2018
CilicMarin:
9. HIS INABILITY TO GET OR FORGE US VISA TO ENABLE HIM VISIT AMERICA....


Nobody wants to elect a FUGITIVE as President..

Nobody has traveled the world as a president like Buhari... Tell me how his sojourns has transformed the living conditions of Nigerians...

This election campaign must be issue based
Not rubbish talks by zombies

Useless things everywhere

12 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Nobody: 12:00pm On Dec 09, 2018
You made sense until you said Buhari made inroads into Southeast.

F*ck off

10 Likes

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ZombieTAMER: 12:02pm On Dec 09, 2018
cdqyehyeh:
Atiku is already a loser

Zombies opinions don't matter

Actually majority of the electorates want another person to take a shot... Buhari has done his best.. It's a shame that his best is not enough..

Should we start by taking a poll on the forum to convince you... ??

9 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ZombieTAMER: 12:03pm On Dec 09, 2018
Awol1:
You made sense until you said Buhari made inroads into Southeast.

F*ck off

You are contradicting yourself

If you are sure he didn't make any inroad

Then he wrote rubbish

1 Like 1 Share

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 12:04pm On Dec 09, 2018
ZombieTAMER:


Nobody has traveled the world as a president like Buhari... Tell me how his sojourns has transformed the living conditions of Nigerians...

This election campaign must be issue based
Not rubbish talks by zombies

Useless things everywhere

It is call Foriegn Policy. President Buhari has really improved on the Image Standing of Nigeria. OBJ had similar issue and did the same.

It is Buhari all the way.

8 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Tyche(m): 12:06pm On Dec 09, 2018
Binikingdowm:
Igbo people killed the first north east president(tafawa balewa).

They killed Hausas, Muslims thousands of them in different states you think they'll forget?.

Nnnadi kanu can't do without insulting northerners and igbo leaders didn't even condemned him.

Igbos both online and offline are hostile and always belittle them..

Why would they leave a Yoruba and vote some one that hate them?

You just cursed yourself with this half-truths you are peddling.

4 Likes

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by MalcoImX: 12:13pm On Dec 09, 2018
Binikingdowm:
Igbo people killed the first north east president(tafawa balewa).

They killed Hausas, Muslims thousands of them in different states you think they'll forget?.

Nnnadi kanu can't do without insulting northerners and igbo leaders didn't even condemned him.

Igbos both online and offline are hostile and always belittle them..

Why would they leave a Yoruba and vote some one that hate them?
Tell em bro.

10 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by BeautifulMind2: 12:15pm On Dec 09, 2018
Binikingdowm:
Igbo people killed the first north east president(tafawa balewa).

They killed Hausas, Muslims thousands of them in different states you think they'll forget?.

Nnnadi kanu can't do without insulting northerners and igbo leaders didn't even condemned him.

Igbos both online and offline are hostile and always belittle them..

Why would they leave a Yoruba and vote some one that hate them?
Continue deceiving yourselves

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 12:15pm On Dec 09, 2018
Awol1:
You made sense until you said Buhari made inroads into Southeast.

F*ck off

State like[b] Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra,[/b] Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom and Rivers

I mentioned States:

Ebonyi - The State Governor said and I quote - "Buhari is my Political God Father". Umahi led the onslaught against Atiku VP pick.

Enugu - All the former governors in Enugu are supporting Buhari. Even Ekweremadu led a deligation to go thank Buhari to do more for SE. The current Governor is in good terms with Sai Baba. Both went to Poland recently.

Anambra - Governor Willie Obiano barely see eye to eye with Atiku's Obi. Obiano is currently close to Buhari. Obiano won 2nd term under Buhari. Arthur Eze gave the largest public donation to Buhari Reelection Fund - N1,000,000,000

9 Likes 4 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 12:18pm On Dec 09, 2018
onez:
I'm sorry OP. This write-up is quite idiotic

Typical PDP supporter. No ideas, no logic - just insults and foulmouthed.

9 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by BeautifulMind2: 12:18pm On Dec 09, 2018
[s]
netpro:
Here are the top 8 indicators that Atiku Abubakar the Presidential candidate of the PDP has already lost the 2019 Presidential election to President Mohammadu Buhari.

1. The DubaiPlan Was A Flop
Atiku landed from Dubai where he spent sometime with both local and foreign consultants including members of his Campaign Team crafting the document dobbed the AtikuPlan. PDP members were in high spirit and Nigerians sat back to be mesmerized, only for the Plan to end up being a failure. To start with, it was mainly about Selling most of the major National assets. Nigerians expect Power to return to the South in 2023, but Atiku landed from Dubai with a 6-years Plan. Figures were greatly exaggerated in the document. The Plan had nothing exciting, unique or exceptional - just the same old stuff. No new ideas in it.

2. Poor Handling Of The VP Pick
The regions for Atiku to pick a VP were obvious - it was either SW in order to slug it out with Buhari head long or SE if he wants to consolidate his base. SW already had the VP in the bag, so Atiku going for SE was a better option and everyone knew. But Atiku still messed that up - stakeholder were not carried along, party leadership barely had a say and to make matter worse, Atiku went solo - they all heard it in the News like everyone else. Guideline was not followed. The VP choice was not jointly unveiled. Needless to say there is suspicion and apprehension in the camp. Atiku has low rating on Trust, this does not help either.

3. No Excitement From Atiku Camp
Most fans and supporters rally around Atiku expecting that money will be shared and any time that does not happen disappointment sets in. Unlike President Buhari. Majority of Buhari's supporters already know he doesn't spray money. In fact everyone will be astonished if Buhari throws a penny. Has never done that. That is why he is loved. That is who he is. Yet has millions of supporters. The same can't be said about Atiku.

4. Inability To Split The Northern Votes By Half
If Atiku Abubakar gets anything less than 50% of the Northern Votes, the has lost the election. And from all permutations and analysis that seems impossible. President Buhari still enjoy majority of support from the Northern parts of Nigeria.

5. Buhari Is Making In-Road In Areas He Lost In 2015
The APC has made remarkable inroad to areas he lost in 2015. State like Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra, Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom and Rivers are warming up to him. That implies more votes will be coming from the SE and SS than was achieved in 2015 and these are Atiku's current strongholds.

6. PDP Lack Federal Might And Power Of Incumbency - APC Has It
In many elections, these 2 factors have been tools for success in the hands of PDP. Opposition members were either restricted in Hotels, loyalty curried, results re-written, unused votes counted for the winner, oppositions party agents refused access, vote buying, thugs having free reign, etc were common occurance. Whether or not the APC will use these is to be seen, but one thing that is sure is that the PDP will not enjoy them for the first time since 1999.

7. 2023 Presidency Factor

One thing that is working against Atiku and will contribute to his defeat is the 2023 Factor. Those hoping to benefit from it are the SE and SW. Ironically, with Atiku playing his 6 years plan, voting for President Buhari is the only way the SE and SW have a clear shot at it. Currently the SE has it because it is a Legacy Issue, the need to resolve a political imbalance. But if the SE puts all her eggs in Atiku's basket and it fails, the SW will have the upper hand as they will be closer to power in Buhari's second term and can hope the North reciprocate the support when the time comes. Therefore we expect the SE votes will be a slit to solidify the quest for the 2023 Presidential ambition.

8. Atiku Is Not Jonathan
If Buhari wins majority of votes in the North, Atiku will lose the election as there is noway he (Atiku) will get 100% of the votes former President Jonathan got in 2015.

The odds are staked against Atiku. It will be a miracle for him to pull out a win 2019. With all that has been deployed against President Buhari not sticking, it is safe to say - Atiku is fighting a lost cause.

NETPRO
[/s]
Buhari was lucky to get 5% votes from east, 2019 he should be praying to get 3% votes, east will dance Python and crocodile dance for Buhari head in 2019

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 12:20pm On Dec 09, 2018
BeautifulMind2:
[s][/s]

Now that you canceled it what next?

5 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by BeautifulMind2: 12:21pm On Dec 09, 2018
netpro:


Now that you canceled it what next?
Buhari was lucky to get 5% votes from east in 2015, 2019 he should be praying to get 3% votes, east will dance Python and crocodile dance for Buhari head in 2019, let me see how the governors will force us to vote for him

1 Like 3 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by netpro(m): 12:27pm On Dec 09, 2018
BeautifulMind2:

Buhari was lucky to get 5% votes from east in 2015, 2019 he should be praying to get 3% votes, east will dance Python and crocodile dance for Buhari head in 2019, let me see how the governors will force us to vote for him

If you believe SE will vote for Atiku more than it voted for Jonathan then you mistaken.

Please downing in Hate, it is not good for your health. Buhari will get reelected. Just try not to hang yourself.

9 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by BeautifulMind2: 12:30pm On Dec 09, 2018
netpro:


Now that you canceled it what next?
The way Mimiko was helpless in 2015 presidential election in his state that what will happened to those governors you mentioned
Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Binikingdowm: 12:31pm On Dec 09, 2018
BeautifulMind2:

Buhari was lucky to get 5% votes from east in 2015, 2019 he should be praying to get 3% votes, east will dance Python and crocodile dance for Buhari head in 2019, let me see how the governors will force us to vote for him
if you like give him 0% only Kano votes will cancel igbos vote..

Buhari till 2023
Osibanjo till 2031
Another Hausa man till 2039
Edo man till 2047..

Igbo can wait till 22 century

15 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Nobody: 12:33pm On Dec 09, 2018
netpro:


State like[b] Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra,[/b] Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom and Rivers

I mentioned States:

Ebonyi - The State Governor said and I quote - "Buhari is my Political God Father". Umahi led the onslaught against Atiku VP pick.

Enugu - All the former governors in Enugu are supporting Buhari. Even Ekweremadu led a deligation to go thank Buhari to do more for SE. The current Governor is in good terms with Sai Baba. Both went to Poland recently.

Anambra - Governor Willie Obiano barely see eye to eye with Atiku's Obi. Obiano is currently close to Buhari. Obiano won 2nd term under Buhari. Arthur Eze gave the largest public donation to Buhari Reelection Fund - N1,000,000,000

I hope you know that southeast is not North or Southwest where the leaders tell their followers who to vote for?

Down here, everyone's got a mind of his own.

I'm therefore telling you authoritatively that those leaders you are seeing big catch are irrelevant as they can only guarantee their own vote alone.

For instance you cited opposition to Obi's nomination as an instance, now what did the Igbo masses do?

When Mbaka scored an own goal against Obi, what did the generality of Igbo do?

In these two instances the Igbo people stood for Obi. At the end, those leaders will be forced to stand with the people, that's if there is any facts to your claims.

Even Akwaibom sef there's no substantial inroad I'm seeing.

Don't be deceived by hip of media thrashes.

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by ItsMeAboki(m): 12:34pm On Dec 09, 2018
Atiku will fail because he is simply unmarketable

11 Likes 4 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by Nobody: 12:35pm On Dec 09, 2018
Igbo will never ever rule this country.. Edo man will rule 6 times before they dream of seeing vice presidency.

God bless oduduwa nation, God bless southern Nigeria.

Igbo and ijaw are on there own

7 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by nijabazaar: 12:36pm On Dec 09, 2018
onez:
I'm sorry OP. This write-up is quite idiotic

Super idiotic i tell ya

1 Like

Re: 8 Indicators Atiku Has Lost 2019 Presidential Election by nijabazaar: 12:37pm On Dec 09, 2018
Edodefender:
Igbo will never ever rule this country.. Edo man will rule 6 times before they dream of seeing vice presidency.

God bless oduduwa nation, God bless southern Nigeria.

Igbo and ijaw are on there own

God bless southern nigeria and yet u said Igbo and Ijaw are on their own. Are you taking a shot of Omo drip or what?

3 Likes

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