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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes (7644 Views)
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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:58pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: Buhari even win an lga When you projected 400k for Ebonyi I knew the projection was made in Ariara Aba This election is landslide for Buhari 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:58pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: ok I will amend as follows........EBONYI AA +0.2M WHICH BRINGS DOWN ATIKU S MARGIN TO OVER 300,000 VOTES TO WIN thanks for the link 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:00pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Change Kastina too and add Kaduna... i like ur analysis |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Kanixt(m): 1:00pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Buhari is going |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:01pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: Not a landslide...the margins between the contenders will be less than 300,000 votes 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:06pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
deji68: have taken it into consideration....thanks 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by SternProphet: 1:12pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Lagos, FCT and Nasarawa missing. Buhari margins underestimated in 4 states. |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:13pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
yobe results just came in....projection still looking good 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by vizboy(m): 1:15pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Your analysis might be correct 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34: only one revelation n your projection fluttered like a pack of card Enugu n Anambra are other states whose margin will not be anything closed to what you have there. Meanwhile the 500k you projected for katsina is based on 20 LGA the remaining 14 LGAs are where they have there main population which as I said before had made them cruising comfortably at 1m votes margin |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
You are intelligent bro. Nice analysis, lets keep our fingers crossed as the results are announced but i must say you are on point. 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Nasaraw is jut 10k vote ...FCT is on it, Atiku won it 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:17pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
SternProphet: FCT ABUJA IS THERE.......ATIKU +0.1M......you can check NASSARAWA PMB won with about 50k votes.... margin for ATIKU over PMB still remains roughly the same if you take Adamawa for ATIKU 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:22pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34: only one revelation n your projection fluttered like a pack of card Enugu n Anambra are other states whose margin will not be anything closed to what you have there. Ebonyi is only 0.1m now do u approximate upward or downward Meanwhile the 500k you projected for katsina is based on 20 LGA the remaining 14 LGAs are where they have there main population which as I said before had made them cruising comfortably at 1m votes margin |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:23pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: He projected 800k margin for Katsina not 500k, i think his projections are on point. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:26pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
deji68: i was projecting 50k for PMB......will have to amend 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:27pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
deji68: I think you are right, lets hope there wont be violence at the end with this type of close margin. 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by bolkay47(m): 1:28pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Nice one andico34. Your projections are on point. Fingers crossed, keenly following this thread. |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Francisayo(m): 1:31pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Boss20: He has reduced it to 300k |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by clintonsparkz(m): 1:32pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
I don't think kano margin is upto 700k I might be wrong, but nice job 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:33pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Boss20: andico34: know you've been must@bating on this thread with this flawed projections You can see for yourself from his quote |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by vizboy(m): 1:35pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Let keep watch |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:40pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Well, he is still within his Projections... https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/316025-buhari-leads-atiku-with-nearly-500000-votes-in-declared-katsina-results.html drshrewd: 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:46pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Bayelsa 0.3m and Bornu only 0.2m ( |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:47pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
kano margins will be lower than 700k votes...though i have not reflected it where will PMB get the votes to upturn atiku? 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:47pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
adjust your result for Kogi, https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/presidential-poll-buhari-wins-in-kogi-as-inec-concludes-collation.html , |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:49pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Why are u upbeat about SE and SS votes... all these regions had low turnout... APC even did well there andico34: |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 2:00pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
APC won kogi with over 70k You see why I told you your projection is Aba made [url][/url]https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/presidential-poll-buhari-wins-in-kogi-as-inec-concludes-collation.html |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Twy: 2:03pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
andico34: Unless their is rigging. Your projection for Enugu should be around 350k, Cross River 250K. Turnout will be lower than 2015 and APC will do better. Other changes can also occur. It is a nice try but may actually be wide off, especially if Buhari wins |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:04pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Complete Overview.. KANO PMB .....+0.7M SOKOTO PMB....+0.2M KEBBI PMB....+0.2M ZAMFARA PMB....+0.2M KATSINA PMB....+0.5M(collation ongoing) JIGAWA PMB...+0.4M YOBE PMB....+0.4M BORNO PMB....+0.2M BAUCHI PMB....+0.2M GOMBE PMB....+0.2M NIGER PMB....< +0.1M KWARA PMB +0.1M EKITI PMB +0.1M OSUN PMB +0.01M OGUN PMB.. +0.1 Kaduna ......+ 0,2 Kogi...........+0,007 Total =3,907 |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:05pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
Complete Overview almost patt situation ABUJA AA +0.1M PLATEAU AA +0.2M TARABA AA +0.2M ONDO AA < +0.1M OYO AA +0.1M BENUE AA +0.1M EDO AA +0.1M DELTA AA +0.3M RIVERS AA +0.3M BAYELSA AA +0.3M AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M IMO AA +0.08M ENUGU AA +0.5M ANAMBRA AA +0.4M EBONYI AA +0.17M ABIA AA +0.1M Total =3,65 Imo Updated 1 Like |
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 2:05pm On Feb 25, 2019 |
drshrewd: bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes |
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