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Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MamBi: 12:53pm On Aug 19, 2019
MizzD:


And Esther is just giggling anyhow this morning ehn. She just called Frood by his real name. She said,"let me call you by your real name "Emeka" cheesy

My morning is made grin.

grin grin Seems they in better spirits today than yesterday grin

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 12:53pm On Aug 19, 2019
Ekinematics:
When I say Ike, Mercy and Mike have almost same people voting for them idiots here were arguing.

See how the Ikegang are regretting standing with Mercy and Mike when they were up.

Una never chichontin. I repeat, as Tacharians we need those 3 in the final. Seyi and Omashola are needed there as well.




One of Seyi, Omashola or Ike will not make top 5, this might have a bearing on who the eventual winner would be, however you "Tacharians" have been consistent and that's worthy of emulation...

5 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 12:54pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


grin She was not ranting at you. grin She was going off at those who think they have the power to cancel the show.. grin


cheesy
kiss
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 12:55pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


First flaw - Accepting that the "33.62 is the highest score" across board implies that the voting population has been the same size and same demographics during ALL the voting periods.

Second flaw - Accepting that "the larger the voting population, the larger the percentages to him" assumes an innate knowledge of the population that may swell the voting population and the reason for that swell.

I think there is a bit of gut feeling in your analysis.


Trend Trend Trend

Trend is a strong part of statistics. Study the terrain and see the sampled reactions.

I have seen trend and sampled reactions and did my calculations off this.

this trend pushed Mike from coming 3rd with less than 0.8% difference to coming first with a massive leap of 7% increase yet with an 0.86% difference to top.

The momentum is with him because Tacha led him when he came third but they had a head to head battle which made her rise by 6% while Mike rose by 7%

Right now the highest score is 33.62 percent and that was when almost all the strongest were up for eviction with exception of Mercy.

Mike still has momentum and will only keep rising.

Like i said, this support Trend for Mike translates to the higher the voter population, the higher his support as long as he remains the Mike they came to know and love and does not change.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DownChelsea(f): 12:55pm On Aug 19, 2019
fitzmayowa:





One of Seyi, Omashola or Ike will not make top 5, this might have a bearing on who the eventual winner would be, however you "Tacharians" have been consistent and that's worthy of emulation...
Seyi obviously

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Thisnut(m): 12:55pm On Aug 19, 2019
MrsV:
Being a mother myself, watching Venita's talk about her kids is always emotional for me. I really feel for her, she's going thru alot
Then don't vote her so she can go see her kids.


Una Wan start sympathy vote again. Shm



Women are are like Sir Dee, they like men in power. See as Diana dey follow Elo since yesterday. Meanwhile when she had the veto power she wasn't coming close to Elo. Na sir Dee (another woman) dey run follow her
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by sogodihno: 12:56pm On Aug 19, 2019
DownChelsea:
in reality there are 11 delawoods in that house as of today. Imagine a Seyi who can’t have highlights without either hoarding food or making noise about his lineage.

What about the HOH challenge, the HB culture display, the Dano milk competition, etc

Keep on hating. We see thru u.


Sugar daddy.

4 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Shezkid01(m): 12:56pm On Aug 19, 2019
Menance:


We will keep voting Frodd no matter how much..
I pity cruisetopia
Vote?? But the voting percentage last night was poor for frodd
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 12:56pm On Aug 19, 2019
thatigboman:
very funny. One said that's what he does for a living - deceiving people with senseless assumptions



I wonder what they are analyzing when there is no valid data(knowing the actual number of voters and how much vote/medium they use) anywhere...whew!!!

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by clefstone(m): 12:57pm On Aug 19, 2019
Elo exudes some serious gay vibes. Anybody else noticed it? As close as he is to Diane(and we know that closeness brings affection), I haven't ever seen him show the slightest romantic gesture to the dark skinned stunner. And for some reason he just looks to me like the gay guy on that Delta Soap advert

6 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by nazablossom(f): 12:57pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


grin She was not ranting at you. grin She was going off at those who think they have the power to cancel the show.. grin
Fear catch me o cheesy
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 12:58pm On Aug 19, 2019
MizzD:
This Frood too throws subtle diss at Esther sha

Froodster o, kikiki cheesy cheesy cheesy

Esther : Gist me something

Frood: Gist me about the guys who woo you in the outside world. The stalkers, at one point or the other you would have had one.

Esther now talking about her stalker when she was in SS3, both under the duvet.

Frood is an interesting person though.

Awww.. Now i'm missing them on my screen sad


You, dominique, Vyolet and Valto giving me BB life
Need MamBi’s to make it pure bliss
I like Froddster
Nairaland world deal wirrit!
tongue

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by RedDistrict: 12:58pm On Aug 19, 2019
The Icons should give themselves brain and give us Boredoni and Diane/Esther today by winning ooo


I pray they have the sense to win sha or else, bye bye to Frodd and maybe Khafi ooo, grin
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Zoroaster: 12:58pm On Aug 19, 2019
DanielOc:

so she switched to Christianity for easy Penetration?
grin grin grin
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by stanisbaratheon: 12:58pm On Aug 19, 2019
Kai

From the statistics and probabilities I've seen today on this thread, I'm forced to ask if some people here attended night/adult school.

Shame

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by 4eyedlycan: 12:59pm On Aug 19, 2019
Tetehjewels:


This is too simple.

Mercy topped Tacha at 28% when she was up against Tacha and this was clean and clear

Seyi Topped Mike because of Solidarity votes due to his veto stunt. This is not his true strenght

Mike topped Tacha when he got 33.62 Percent

Based on this, the order of strength is Mike, Mercy and Tacha...

I rate Omashola above Seyi because Seyis votes the last time were not his true strength but we have seen Omasholas true strenght and it ranges at about 26% Maximum. Seyi got about the same thing even with his solidarity votes for the veto stunt. Seyi is weaker than Omashola.

case closed!

And your Grandfather revealed this to you in your dream abi

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 1:00pm On Aug 19, 2019
DoubleeDee:

Nobody watches BB in the north yet northerners are complaining about Khafi? Are they listening through BBC Radio Hausa service? By the way, Khafi is a Christian so what's the fuss about?


I knowww
(vibrating Thelma meme)
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Saltandwater: 1:00pm On Aug 19, 2019
FrankGiel:

Abeg remind me where you got ur statistical qualification.. we need to close down that institution

I am angrier with you than with him. It's obvious only him and probably, people from his WhatsApp group that can comprehend his formula. From his first post of the calculation till the latest (he will soon issue another report sheet), he hasn't gotten anything close to 'correct'...

Stop engaging him. Let him believe whatever calculation that makes him sleep well at night

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by P0c0p0c0: 1:02pm On Aug 19, 2019
Vyolet:
Khafi wears as much clothes as Mercy but it seems we hardly notice Khafi because she is not as sexy as Mercy.
Mike told Khafi " you and Mercy never run out of clothes to wear".

I noticed it.

Yesterday I wanted to say, if only she had a little more ass, she would slay effortlessly.

Hers are also more "classy" or mature.

9 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by nazablossom(f): 1:02pm On Aug 19, 2019
maureensylvia:
cindy is winning this show, don't ask me how I know but just quote me at the end of the show
Not Cindy. Gedoni is winning grin

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 1:03pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


grin grin Jesu, that man has been doing my head in grin.

The mathematical claims being used are frustrating the heck out of me.

How can you say you are 100% accurate and yet you are off by 0.68% for a particular prediction? 100% accuracy means zero room for error.

You are 100% accurate but 75% of your prediction is off and you say you were only focussing on the 25% in the first place.

Then you say the .68% is negligible when you never made a statement of negligibility prior to making the claim.

Anyway, maybe I am the one that is too much of a mathematical purist... undecided undecided


Burst my head cool (Efe’s voice)
If you mix different currency denominations in a bundle and ask me to count, it is a challenge somehow sef lipsrsealed cheesy
My point? I am crazily impressed doll

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MizzD: 1:03pm On Aug 19, 2019
Vyolet / Valto / fitzmayowa, anyone please did you get the Frodster bant about consent/frood to leave the bed if he continues with the joke/frood saying people wont know if they are playing again?

Was a bit distracted and couldn't put the pieces together.

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Akshow: 1:03pm On Aug 19, 2019
Amya:


When Mecy topped at 28%, 5 people were up for nomination. When Mike topped at 33%, only 4 people were up for nomination. Simply logic, the lesser the nominees, the higher the percentage.
check the calibre of people up when mike topped with 30%. Three of top five were up. Mike tacha and omoshola.
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DownChelsea(f): 1:04pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
Not Cindy. Gedoni is winning grin
no words

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 1:05pm On Aug 19, 2019
Jen92:
Frodd will soon become like Nelson. Why won't he loss fans when Esther has dragged him to the bed, like Nelson.

He no longer mixes.


Slow Tiger is not Nelson
He mixes, he is a mixer, he is the mix
Thanks

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by creolehunt: 1:06pm On Aug 19, 2019
Tetehjewels:


let me simplify this for you.

Voting population

Voting percentages

You get voting percentages from assumed voting population. Right now the voting population favors Mike because,

1) He alone has scored the highest score when he scored 33.62

2) It was during his own nomination week that the percentages hit above 30% for the first time

3) one of his nomination weeks saw him being just 0.8% below very strong contenders despite him coming to BBN relatively unknown when compared to others.

The larger the voting population, the larger the percentages to him because that is the current trend which i do not think would change as long as what adhered support to him which made him top Tacha remains the same and he does not change. Its a ripple effect.

I cannot explain it any simpler than this. If you still wish to remain proudly ignorant then good luck

I hope that you understand that:

1. The voting population is not constant.

2. The number of votes cast is not constant, even if voting population doesn't change.

3. The voting behaviour is not constant. For example, I've voted for Ike, Omashola and Frodd at different times. Even when two or all of them were up at the same time.

4. The number of nominated housemates is not constant. We have had 5, 6, 20, 9.

5. No top Housemate has been up more than 4 times, yet you have drawn your conclusion. This I find hasty, considering that we have about 7 more voting weeks to go.

6. The strength and pull of nominated Housemates is not constant too. You can score 60% this week, and 20% next week. Yet, the number of votes cast in your favour in the 20% week is higher than the one in the 60% week.


I'm not a statistician nor a mathematician. But this is basic. I believe its nearly impossible to make even near perfect statistical deductions because there are too many changing variables.

7 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 1:07pm On Aug 19, 2019
Mercy the teaser.
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Munzy14(m): 1:08pm On Aug 19, 2019
fitzmayowa:
Can all our Jankara statistician let us enjoy this show in peace
Lol u deh mind mischief makers and their alternate monikers..

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Lhimeet(m): 1:08pm On Aug 19, 2019
creolehunt:


I hope that you understand that:

1. The voting population is not constant.

2. The number of votes cast is not constant, even if voting population doesn't change.

2. The voting behaviour is not constant. For example, I've voted for Ike, Omashola and Frodd at different times. Even when two or all of them were up at the same time.

3. The number of nominated housemates is not constant. We have had 5, 6, 20, 9.

4. No top Housemate has been up more than 4 times, yet you have drawn your conclusion. This I find hasty, considering that we have about 7 more voting weeks to go.

5. The strength and pull of nominated Housemates is not constant too. You can score 60% this week, and 20% next week. Yet, the number of votes cast in your favour in the 20% week is higher than the one in the 60% week.


I'm not a statistician nor a mathematician. But this is basic.

What do you want?

Trophy or Goldberg?
cool

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Amhighlyblessed: 1:08pm On Aug 19, 2019
dominique:
I thought Sunday morning's incidence between Froddster was going to tear them apart, but on the contrary they're now closer than before. I actually like them when they're having their banters and talking swipes at each other. Even my husband was smiling while watching them play ludo and go at each other like secondary school kids. Frodd fans really disappointed me by not coming through for their boy. You stick by your fave through thick and thin, even when he's annoying you. I'm still shuddering about how close we came to losing Frodd last night. Imagine having him out and someone like Cindy still in the house *shudders*. You guys fall hands gann

Now to those accusing Diane of running after Elo because of Veto power. Were they not friends before? Didn't they use to hang out till early hours of the morning? Why are you now making it look like if she suddenly started being close to him because he won veto power? This morning she was hanging out with Venita and Mercy in the kitchen, it was Elo that came to wriggle her away from the crew and both started cooking rice together. Those not watching will be saying it's Diane running after him all the time. If he uses the veto to save her this evening, feel free to smash your TV sets. Una go dey alright las las


Exactly Frodd fans should stick to him no matter the situation.

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MizzD: 1:10pm On Aug 19, 2019
Elo singing lullaby to Dianne too. Okay Elliane time is over

Now Merike giggling under sheets. Ike wants to sleep while Mercy is disturbing him cheesy

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by sogodihno: 1:10pm On Aug 19, 2019
DownChelsea:
Seyi obviously

Why don't u use this same energy u use in decampaign seyi to promote your favorite. Chai!

Seyi tormenting u even in ur sleep, anyway as e dey pain u, e dey sweet us.

When Downchelsea see seyi on his screen

4 Likes

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