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Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 1:10pm On Aug 19, 2019
creolehunt:


I hope that you understand that:

1. The voting population is not constant.

2. The number of votes cast is not constant, even if voting population doesn't change.

2. The voting behaviour is not constant. For example, I've voted for Ike, Omashola and Frodd at different times. Even when two or all of them were up at the same time.

3. The number of nominated housemates is not constant. We have had 5, 6, 20, 9.

4. No top Housemate has been up more than 4 times, yet you have drawn your conclusion. This I find hasty, considering that we have about 7 more voting weeks to go.

5. The strength and pull of nominated Housemates is not constant too. You can score 60% this week, and 20% next week. Yet, the number of votes cast in your favour in the 20% week is higher than the one in the 60% week.


I'm not a statistician nor a mathematician. But this is basic.

I said

The larger the voting population, the larger the percentages to him because that is the current trend which i do not think would change as long as what adhered support to him which made him top Tacha remains the same and he does not change. Its a ripple effect.

Even if there are 10 housemates up for eviction and he is on that list, the chances are much higher for him than the rest that he would score the highest even if he gets 20% as the vote result.

I hope you get it now?
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DownChelsea(f): 1:11pm On Aug 19, 2019
sogodihno:


Why don't u use this same energy u use in decampaign seyi to promote your favorite. Chai!

Seyi tormenting u even in ur sleep, anyway as e dey pain, e dey sweet us.

When Downchelsea see seyi on his screen
what has your rant changed? It surely hasn’t given Seyi better chances

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DrakeBlend(m): 1:11pm On Aug 19, 2019
creolehunt:


I hope that you understand that:

1. The voting population is not constant.

2. The number of votes cast is not constant, even if voting population doesn't change.

2. The voting behaviour is not constant. For example, I've voted for Ike, Omashola and Frodd at different times. Even when two or all of them were up at the same time.

3. The number of nominated housemates is not constant. We have had 5, 6, 20, 9.

4. No top Housemate has been up more than 4 times, yet you have drawn your conclusion. This I find hasty, considering that we have about 7 more voting weeks to go.

5. The strength and pull of nominated Housemates is not constant too. You can score 60% this week, and 20% next week. Yet, the number of votes cast in your favour in the 20% week is higher than the one in the 60% week.


I'm not a statistician nor a mathematician. But this is basic. I believe its nearly impossible to make even near perfect statistical deductions because there are too many changing variables.
Just wait for a robust epistle coming up with multiple assumptions!

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 1:11pm On Aug 19, 2019
creolehunt:


I hope that you understand that:

1. The voting population is not constant.

2. The number of votes cast is not constant, even if voting population doesn't change.

2. The voting behaviour is not constant. For example, I've voted for Ike, Omashola and Frodd at different times. Even when two or all of them were up at the same time.

3. The number of nominated housemates is not constant. We have had 5, 6, 20, 9.

4. No top Housemate has been up more than 4 times, yet you have drawn your conclusion. This I find hasty, considering that we have about 7 more voting weeks to go.

5. The strength and pull of nominated Housemates is not constant too. You can score 60% this week, and 20% next week. Yet, the number of votes cast in your favour in the 20% week is higher than the one in the 60% week.


I'm not a statistician nor a mathematician. But this is basic. I believe its nearly impossible to make even near perfect statistical deductions because there are too many changing variables.



The statistics and probabilities have seen since yesterday defile logic...whew!!!
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 1:13pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
Fear catch me o cheesy

Sorry
It was a rant but not at you
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MamBi: 1:14pm On Aug 19, 2019
Tetehjewels:


Trend Trend Trend

Trend is a strong part of statistics. Study the terrain and see the sampled reactions.

I have seen trend and sampled reactions and did my calculations off this.

this trend pushed Mike from coming 3rd with less than 0.8% difference to coming first with a massive leap of 7% increase yet with an 0.86% difference to top.

The momentum is with him because Tacha led him when he came third but they had a head to head battle which made her rise by 6% while Mike rose by 7%

Right now the highest score is 33.62 percent and that was when almost all the strongest were up for eviction with exception of Mercy.

Mike still has momentum and will only keep rising.

Like i said, this support Trend for Mike translates to the higher the voter population, the higher his support as long as he remains the Mike they came to know and love and does not change.

Even for a trend analysis, I still see some flaws.

Your predictions will be more solid for me if you saw the actual sample size, but even if you did see, I am sure you were unable to study the different variables and include in your mathematical model.

Oya, let me stop... grin



You did my head in but I kinda enjoyed disagreeing with you... grin grin

4 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Eeghe(f): 1:14pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
Not Cindy. Gedoni is winning grin

cheesy
That would shut all of us up all right
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 1:14pm On Aug 19, 2019
Mercy and Ike playing love... cheesy cheesy cheesy

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Munzy14(m): 1:15pm On Aug 19, 2019
MizzD:
Froodnation, i beg you, please don't give up on this guy. cry cry
The truth is that bb organizers have passed a verdict on frodd..

Being an emotional guy, disqualification might make him choose suicide.. Plus the humiliation.

so they will want to push him out honourably.

Esther is only acting to help him clean the dirty perceptions pple are brewing on him before they axe him.

Ebuka gave u pple a clue when he asked what will u be remembered for...

Always pay attention to wat ebuka says every Sunday, truth are buried there.

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 1:16pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


Even for a trend analysis, I still see some flaws.

Your predictions will be more solid for me if you saw the actual sample size, but even if you did see, I am sure you were unable to study the different variables and include in your mathematical model.

Oya, let me stop... grin



You did my head in but I kinda enjoyed disagreeing with you... grin grin


No need teaching kids statistics, they just can't comprehend.

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DrakeBlend(m): 1:16pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
Not Cindy. Gedoni is winning grin
If that happens, I'll officially support NBC to ban the show!

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MamBi: 1:16pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
Fear catch me o cheesy

grin grin grin grin When I saw you explaining, I just bursted into laughter...

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Geezeem: 1:16pm On Aug 19, 2019
Frank65:


You all Mercy fans have achieved ur aim abi? You guys refused to vote Ike just to come up with this narrative that he can't win abi?

U are not an Ike fan. A true Ike fan will never abandon Ike till day 99. If not for Ike, who would have noticed Mercy?? Mike came third some weeks back, did his fans abandon him?


Don't mind them
They ran us over..... Indeed no Ike fan would
Write what that person wrote lipsrsealed

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 1:17pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


Even for a trend analysis, I still see some flaws.

Your predictions will be more solid for me if you saw the actual sample size, but even if you did see, I am sure you were unable to study the different variables and include in your mathematical model.

Oya, let me stop... grin



You did my head in but I kinda enjoyed disagreeing with you... grin grin

grin cheesy

I so love healthy Banter. You are a good sport. Others like that _XXX guy can actually learn a thing or two from you.
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Shezkid01(m): 1:17pm On Aug 19, 2019
Why this Cindy dey always wear socks ahh
No pity vote next time she's up.. She should step up on her game

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Valto(m): 1:17pm On Aug 19, 2019
maureensylvia:
cindy is winning this show, don't ask me how I know but just quote me at the end of the show
nothing wey person no go see for here.. let her be up again, and she will join enkay.. pity votes are over. btw what sort of housemates is she, that a full 24hrs will pass and not even a single view of her in that house.. mtscheeeeew

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MizzD: 1:18pm On Aug 19, 2019
Cindy's hair doesn't look so bad and kaffi's hair is so beautiful. Kaffi wants biggie to give them something to do, like HOH task

Kaffi said she jokingly told Seyi to sit this HOH task out, and encouraged the girls (herself, Cindy and Jackie) to go for it.

Kaffi and Jackie talking dreams again ooo. Chim

7 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by DownChelsea(f): 1:18pm On Aug 19, 2019
Munzy14:

The truth is that bb organizers have passed a verdict on frodd..

Being an emotional guy, disqualification might make him choose suicide.. Plus the humiliation.

so they will want to push him out honourably.

Esther is only acting to help him clean the dirty perceptions pple are brewing on him before they axe him.

Ebuka gave u pple a clue when he asked what will u be remembered for...

Always pay attention to wat ebuka says every Sunday, truth are buried there.
this your truth eh?? E get as e be oo. But make I no talk sey you forge am. grin

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 1:19pm On Aug 19, 2019
MamBi:


Even for a trend analysis, I still see some flaws.

Your predictions will be more solid for me if you saw the actual sample size, but even if you did see, I am sure you were unable to study the different variables and include in your mathematical model.

Oya, let me stop... grin



You did my head in but I kinda enjoyed disagreeing with you... grin grin


That's where the answer lies...

2 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by eksbabe(f): 1:19pm On Aug 19, 2019
Vyolet:
Khafi wears as much clothes as Mercy but it seems we hardly notice Khafi because she is not as sexy as Mercy.
Mike told Khafi " you and Mercy never run out of clothes to wear".
I said it some days ago that Khafi dresses really well, however she and Mercy have different styles.

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by princesszizi: 1:20pm On Aug 19, 2019
Kayode is a killjoy. After showing us Froddster for more than one hour now, he only flashed us a view of Merike moment and went straight to boring trio of Khafi, Jackey and Cindy in the kitchen.

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by fitzmayowa: 1:20pm On Aug 19, 2019
MizzD:
Cindy's hair doesn't look so bad and kaffi's hair is so beautiful. Kaffi wants biggie to give them something to do, like HOH task

Kaffi said she jokingly told Seyi to sit this one out, and encouraged the girls (herself, Cindy and Jackis) to go for it.

Kaffi and Jackie talking dreams again ooo. Chim



I hope its not Venita chasing her with knife this time around... cheesy cheesy cheesy

5 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MizzD: 1:21pm On Aug 19, 2019
Munzy14:

The truth is that bb organizers have passed a verdict on frodd..

Being an emotional guy, disqualification might make him choose suicide.. Plus the humiliation.

so they will want to push him out honourably.

Esther is only acting to help him clean the dirty perceptions pple are brewing on him before they axe him.

Ebuka gave u pple a clue when he asked what will u be remembered for...

Always pay attention to wat ebuka says every Sunday, truth are buried there.

i don't know how you cooked all of this up o, but I'm not buying any part of it.

And by not giving up, on Frood, i wasn't even referring to his ship with Esther. The guy is an entertainer, and i love how he keeps conversations going. No dull moment.

I mean, only Frood can make me want to listen or watch Esther.

9 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by MamBi: 1:22pm On Aug 19, 2019
Eeghe:



You, dominique, Vyolet and Valto giving me BB life
Need MamBi’s to make it pure bliss
I like Froddster
Nairaland world deal wirrit!
tongue

From what I am reading, I have to say that I am extremely proud of Esther.

Her actions from yesterday seem to show a solidarity for Frodd that is very heartwarming if he is innocent of the allegations made by some watchers.

Am so avoiding the temptation of opening my link. embarassed

Can't and MUST not watch... cry cry

So came here to take a different kind of "fix" grin grin

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by P0c0p0c0: 1:22pm On Aug 19, 2019
Thisnut:
Then don't vote her so she can go see her kids.


Una Wan start sympathy vote again. Shm



Women are are like Sir Dee, they like men in power. See as Diana dey follow Elo since yesterday. Meanwhile when she had the veto power she wasn't coming close to Elo. Na sir Dee (another woman) dey run follow her

Elo and Diane have been close. You all should stop this conspiracy theory.

Isn't it Diane that has been listening to his boring and repetitive gists? So much that viewers started feeling pity for her.

3 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by makydebbie(f): 1:24pm On Aug 19, 2019
nadesh:

All these early permutations are trash. we will get a clearer picture from week 12. we watch.

Sure dear
Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Nobody: 1:24pm On Aug 19, 2019
hazel01:
I have a feeling Venita will make it to the finals
I hope not. Annoying girl.

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by Amya(f): 1:24pm On Aug 19, 2019
Akshow:
check the calibre of people up when mike topped with 30%. Three of top five were up. Mike tacha and omoshola.
Mike topping Tacha isnt my bone of contention. My argument rather is the 33% isn't directly proportional to voting strength since there were only 4 housemates up eviction. Tetehjewels earlier said Tacha went down from 30% to 26% and he believes that with that, Mike's 33% has given a huge margin to Tacha's. Not knowing her 26% might mean even more voters than his 33%.

8 Likes

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by 77up(m): 1:25pm On Aug 19, 2019
TACHA , one of the beautiful female house mate people thought will be fvcking like rabbit in the house going by her social media personality, with this alone,she remain my sec fav cool




Any of the ( Seyi and Tacha ) two can win ,am fine with it.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by yunafa(f): 1:26pm On Aug 19, 2019
Munzy14:

The truth is that bb organizers have passed a verdict on frodd..

Being an emotional guy, disqualification might make him choose suicide.. Plus the humiliation.

so they will want to push him out honourably.

Esther is only acting to help him clean the dirty perceptions pple are brewing on him before they axe him.

Ebuka gave u pple a clue when he asked what will u be remembered for...

Always pay attention to wat ebuka says every Sunday, truth are buried there.
somehow, I believe you completely.

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by nazablossom(f): 1:27pm On Aug 19, 2019
Eeghe:


Sorry
It was a rant but not at you
Alright

1 Like

Re: BBNaija 2019 Live Updates (Big Brother Naija 2019 Thread) by koolpal(m): 1:27pm On Aug 19, 2019
nazablossom:
But Tacha did not have sex or in any kind of sexual relationship. I admire that about her.
She has all along been a decent lady...

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