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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8629) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jonnysessy(m): 7:23am On Jan 02
Akin2910:
Does anyone have an either when the public offer of Zenith and Gtbank will be distributed?

Don't really know, but I guess it would be very soon. Since, Access bank had announced the completion of there RI and sometime this month will be distributed to applicants ( remember Access was in the market before Zenith & Gtbank). You just have to be patient to be credited. However, the secondary market gives you your holdings immediately, public offering and right issues takes sometime before you receive them.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BullBearMkt(m): 7:33am On Jan 02
Omooloriredade:


My opinion only:
I think I see where you going with that question. cheesy However, the US and Qatar will be filling the void created by the exit of Russia following the expiration of gas transit agreements with Ukraine. US and Qatar will be supplying LNG to Europe along with existing suppliers including our very own NLNG.

To answer your question, Oando via the NAOC JV is an existing supplier of gas feedstock to NLNG. Aradel will be joining via the acquisition of SPDC JV assets by the Rennaisance consortium.

Unrelated to your question, imo I expect Oando to deliver a minimum 200% (x3) appreciation to a current holding or position (not SP) provided you qualify for the share distribution and barring any unforeseen significant disruption to field operations.

Have I made wrong calls in the past? You bet!
Nice insights. Since 2022, Qatar and US are now the major LNG suppliers to Europe after Assad (Syria) and Russia initially frustrated Qatar-Europe pipeline project to transport natural gas from Qatar’s largest gas field - North Field. Now that Bashar is completely out of the picture, Europe will be delighted to resume the project…

Wondering what’s the position of Nigeria’s train 7 project. Its been long I read about it
grin grin grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Omooloriredade: 7:57am On Jan 02
Raider76:
On the bolded, how does one know if one is qualified?


No one knows. Initially, 17/12/24 was proposed but it has since changed following the carried amendments at the AGM. New qualification date is yet to be announced.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Omooloriredade: 8:02am On Jan 02
BullBearMkt:

Nice insights. Since 2022, Qatar and US are now the major LNG suppliers to Europe after Assad (Syria) and Russia initially frustrated Qatar-Europe pipeline project to transport natural gas from Qatar’s largest gas field - North Field. Now that Bashar is completely out of the picture, Europe will be delighted to resume the project…

Wondering what’s the position of Nigeria’s train 7 project. Its been long I read about it
grin grin grin grin grin

I believe Train 7 is still under construction and may remain so for the next two years. I don't see it being commissioned earlier than H2 2027 or 2028 in my opinion. You know how projects drag on forever sometimes undecided

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Locotrader(m): 8:10am On Jan 02
Welcome to 2025
Loco's stock for 2025
COMPUTER HARDWRES AND MENTANANCE SERVICES
Sector: ICT
Target price:N15+
Duration: 12 months

Patience is the key

Jijo stocks for the year are insurance stocks and Japaul.

5 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 8:26am On Jan 02
Thanks. I wonder why people are not rushing to buy then.

Omooloriredade:


No one knows. Initially, 17/12/24 was proposed but it has since changed following the carried amendments at the AGM. New qualification date is yet to be announced.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:41am On Jan 02
Omooloriredade:


I believe Train 7 is still under construction and may remain so for the next two years. I don't see it being commissioned earlier than H2 2027 or 2028 in my opinion. You know how projects drag on forever sometimes undecided
You seem approximately correct with the Train 7 projected completion date(all things being equal).

Train 7 is about 8MTPA (Million Tonnes Per Annum) and 67% completed.

Still very far from global competition.

Qatar-77MTPA + about 30MTPA underway
Nigeria-22MTPA + about 8MTPA from Train 7 underway.
https://businessday.ng/news/article/nlng-train-7-alone-is-no-longer-ambitious-tony-attah/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by veecovee: 8:46am On Jan 02
SonofElElyonRet:

You don start... is loco also among the prophets? grin
Hope it happens sha.. i dey the bus

grin grin grin You think say na only you be sonofelelyon gringringrin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:47am On Jan 02
veecovee:


grin grin grin You think say na only you be sonofelelyon gringringrin
grin oando prophet follow join
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:49am On Jan 02
Locotrader:
Welcome to 2025
Loco's stock for 2025
COMPUTER HARDWRES AND MENTANANCE SERVICES
Sector: ICT
Target price:N15+
Duration: 12 months

Patience is the key

Jijo stocks for the year are insurance stocks and Japaul.

May Japaul shock you
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Pete002: 8:53am On Jan 02
good morning...we are making it big this year!!!!

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 9:07am On Jan 02
NNPC Rejected Dangote's $700m Offer To Manage Nigeria's Refineries - Obasanjo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kttlZqu0AsQ
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SAK: 9:09am On Jan 02
Omooloriredade:


No one knows. Initially, 17/12/24 was proposed but it has since changed following the carried amendments at the AGM. New qualification date is yet to be announced.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SAK: 9:10am On Jan 02
Omooloriredade:


No one knows. Initially, 17/12/24 was proposed but it has since changed following the carried amendments at the AGM. New qualification date is yet to be announced.
which stocks is this??
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:11am On Jan 02
Raider76:


NNPC Rejected Dangote's $700m Offer To Manage Nigeria's Refineries - Obasanjo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kttlZqu0AsQ

Interesting
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:13am On Jan 02
New Refineries: NNPCL May Cut Crude Supply To Dangote Plant 

https://punchng.com/new-refineries-nnpcl-may-cut-crude-supply-to-dangote-plant/

This VAWULENCE still hasn't stopped? grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 9:31am On Jan 02
You think so?
A lot of people are strategically positioned already.


Raider76:
Thanks. I wonder why people are not rushing to buy then.

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:40am On Jan 02
GeeKudi:
You think so?
A lot of people are strategically positioned already.



Happy new year. How are you and family doing?

I'm sure you were well rested in preparation for a more prosperous 2025
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 9:57am On Jan 02
Vita Foam FY 2024 Analysis by me.

Q1/2024 PAT is 1,562,602 from Q1/2023 PAT of 1,711,357
Q2/2024 LAT is (7,455,792) from Q2/2023 PAT of 1,354,802.
Q3/2024 PAT is 2,707,428 from Q3/2023 PAT of 585,393
Q4/2024 PAT is 3,393,302 from Q4/2023 PAT of 660,769
6M March/2024 - LAT (5581973) from 6M/2023 PAT of 3,084,498.
9M/2024 LAT is (2,883,946) from 9M/2024 PAT of 3,697,688
FY 2024 PAT = 952,190,000 decreased by a whooping 89% from FY 2023
Admin expenses, Finance Cost the stock foreign exchange loss are major drawdowns to the net income.
EPS of 29k/share doesn't justify the current price of the stock.
They have the rigid foam segment with a significant growth potential and increase in future revenue. So we hope the stock price will keep rising in nearby future.
They company is into varieties of things namely - Mattress, foams, beddings, Duve, Furnitures, car seats, bumpers, oil filters etc
It has a high non-controlling interest as high as 65%. So a meagre 29k eps for FY2024 doesn't justify the current price. It is too high
So a profit of just 359,704,000 out of a possible 952,190,000 is available to vita foam shareholders (1,240,884,000 shares) while 592,486,000 goes to NCI.
Vitafoam has a NM of 1.2%, a big drop from 8.3% previous FY. It means she may likely fall into negative since NM is so low despite increasing revenue.
Cash and cash equivalent big drawdown from 21b to 7b is worrisome but further investigation would be carried out to know what it was used for
Debt of 14b is higher than available cash of 11b compared to FY 2023 of 23b debt and 22b cash on ground.
Depreciation exceeds capital expenditure which means management underinvesting in the company.
It has a very good FCF compared to PAT
Interest Margin is 93% compared to 32% of FY2023 which is way higher than the required 30% max.
EPS growth is very poor and reducing
Capex margin increased from 35% 2023 to 50% FY2024. We require less than 25%. Which means it is getting more capital intensive to run the business.
The company sold foam products increased from 6977,560 in FY 2023 to 79,199,843 FY2024 representing 8.4% increase in product sold.
Furniture and other products increased 5X to 48,370 sold compared to previous year.
In total 7,611,285 products sold in FY2024 compared to 6,987,258 FY2023 which is 8.9% rise in product sold reflecting as 56% rise in revenue for FY2024.
So, a 624,027 increase in product sales representing 8.9% increase in sales results to 56% increase in revenue. Interesting.

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:05am On Jan 02
Ding cool

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 10:06am On Jan 02
Did you look at the EPS on a QoQ basis? It is growing, Q2 loss is what affected the full year EPS. Otherwise it grew substantially. Normalised EPS is about N7 for the FY. Been trading at a PE of 6-7x based on N3 EPS in the past.
emmaodet:

Vita Foam FY 2024 Analysis by me.

Q1/2024 PAT is 1,562,602 from Q1/2023 PAT of 1,711,357
Q2/2024 LAT is (7,455,792) from Q2/2023 PAT of 1,354,802.
Q3/2024 PAT is 2,707,428 from Q3/2023 PAT of 585,393
Q4/2024 PAT is 3,393,302 from Q4/2023 PAT of 660,769
6M March/2024 - LAT (5581973) from 6M/2023 PAT of 3,084,498.
9M/2024 LAT is (2,883,946) from 9M/2024 PAT of 3,697,688
FY 2024 PAT = 952,190,000 decreased by a whooping 89% from FY 2023
They only padded the PAT 2024 by adding OCI to the PAT to increase the EPS.
Admin expenses, Finance Cost the stock foreign exchange loss are major drawdowns to the net income.
EPS of 29k/share doesn't justify the current price of the stock.
They have the rigid foam segment with a significant growth potential and increase in future revenue. So we hope the stock price will keep rising in nearby future.
They company is into varieties of things namely - Mattress, foams, beddings, Duve, Furnitures, car seats, bumpers, oil filters etc
It has a high non-controlling interest as high as 65%. So a meagre 29k eps for FY2024 doesn't justify the current price. It is too high
So a profit of just 592,486,000 out of a possible 952,190,000 is available to vita foam shareholders (1,240,884,000 shares) while 592,486,000 goes to NCI.
Vitafoam has a NM of 1.2%, a big drop from 8.3% previous FY. It means she may likely fall into negative since NM is so low despite increasing revenue.
Cash and cash equivalent big drawdown from 21b to 7b is worrisome but further investigation would be carried out to know what it was used for
Debt of 14b is higher than available cash of 11b compared to FY 2023 of 23b debt and 22b cash on ground.
Depreciation exceeds capital expenditure which means management underinvesting in the company.
It has a very good FCF compared to PAT
Interest Margin is 93% compared to 32% of FY2023 which is way higher than the required 30% max.
EPS growth is very poor and reducing
Capex margin increased from 35% 2023 to 50% FY2024. We require less than 25%. Which means it is getting more capital intensive to run the business.
The company sold foam products increased from 6977,560 in FY 2023 to 79,199,843 FY2024 representing 8.4% increase in product sold.
Furniture and other products increased 5X to 48,370 sold compared to previous year.
In total 7,611,285 products sold in FY2024 compared to 6,987,258 FY2023 which is 8.9% rise in product sold reflecting as 56% rise in revenue for FY2024.
So, a 624,027 increase in product sales representing 8.9% increase in sales results to 56% increase in revenue. Interesting.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 10:09am On Jan 02
Thank you, boss.

Happy New Year.

It's shall be a year of phenomenal increase for all lovers of righteousness.

megawealth01:


Happy new year. How are you and family doing?

I'm sure you were well rested in preparation for a more prosperous 2025

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 10:10am On Jan 02
purity2all:

Tips to Protect Yourself on Nairaland

Avoid sharing personal details in posts or your profile.

Use a unique handle that isn’t linked to your other accounts.

Don't use same email on all your social media profiles.

Consider using a VPN to mask your IP address.

Be cautious about what you disclose in your posts.
In 2022 I was tracked which I believe it was my IP address that was used.I got across school mates in telecom industry and was told it was possible. I deleted all my social media account because of safety of family. I discard that phone line and deactivate my first moniker here.Then created this after sometimes.I said it here that I deactivated my first moniker for security reason. I be street so they could not get me.One of the member of that gang is still in prison.
Since then when I see some kind move from a new moniker. I check the profile to see when it was registered and how it has been active on this forum. I was shocked to see this was registered 19 yrs ago with few participation on all thread.That is red flag for me.
I believe the system sets your registration date and can not be imputed by the individual. I want who ever is behind to come up with explanation on this grand father moniker that has been on ghost mode or I will tag the moniker as a criminal allegedly. It has nothing to do with my opinion or his opinion on stocks/ngx.I repeat I always check profile of new moniker who quote my post...my little way of being security alert.

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Locotrader(m): 10:20am On Jan 02
Streetinvestor2:
In 2022 I was tracked which I believe it was my IP address that was used.I got across school mates in telecom industry and was told it was possible. I deleted all my social media account because of safety of family. I discard that phone line and deactivate my first moniker here.Then created this after sometimes.I said it here that I deactivated my first moniker for security reason. I be street so they could not get me.One of the member of that gang is still in prison.
Since then when I see some kind move from a new moniker. I check the profile to see when it was registered and how it has been active on this forum. I was shocked to see this was registered 19 yrs ago with few participation on all thread.That is red flag for me.
I believe the system sets your registration date and can not be imputed by the individual. I want who ever is behind to come up with explanation on this grand father moniker that has been on ghost mode or I will tag the moniker as a criminal allegedly. It has nothing to do with my opinion or his opinion on stocks/ngx.I repeat I always check profile of new moniker who quote my post...my little way of being security alert.

I think you are making sense.
Good to learn this from you

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Locotrader(m): 10:29am On Jan 02
The first will slow down on the way and the last will pick up and run without looking at back.

Ginalex take note of this.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 10:49am On Jan 02
Watin dey push APR go loud oh.I just wonder what it could be.If na bonus that means it will be loud

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Xidget: 10:54am On Jan 02
The person selling down Chams is not done o. This is the 3rd 3m units he's bringing today

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SAK: 10:54am On Jan 02
SonofElElyonRet:

grin oando prophet follow join
Where is the OANDO prophet? He kept quite all these days ...no prophecy again?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 10:56am On Jan 02
Sunrisepebble:
Did you look at the EPS on a QoQ basis? It is growing, Q2 loss is what affected the full year EPS. Otherwise it grew substantially. Normalised EPS is about N7 for the FY. Been trading at a PE of 6-7x based on N3 EPS in the past.

How did you calculate the normalized eps to be #7?
I think the PE will be high now since EPS has dropped alot.
Also consider the Non-Controlling interest of about 60%
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ndept: 10:58am On Jan 02
Xidget:
The person selling down Chams is not done o. This is the 3rd 3m units he's bringing today
There is a buyer also waiting for him to bring it on. @locotrader, no shaking. Chams must move grin

In addition, I heard from local parlance that Chams has one link or the other with the presidec.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Locotrader(m): 11:04am On Jan 02
Xidget:
The person selling down Chams is not done o. This is the 3rd 3m units he's bringing today

It is because chams has a smooth journey to around #5 before you can see any significant supply.

Once chams records the first full bid,holders should be ready to enjoy till #5.

The time is now
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Locotrader(m): 11:06am On Jan 02
ndept:
There is a buyer also waiting for him to bring it on. @locotrader, no shaking. Chams must move grin

In addition, I heard from local parlance that Chams has one link or the other with the presidec.

Somebody in one of my houses wants 12m units of chams at #2 and above.You can see the #2 seller is overpowered.

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