The Energy Commission of Nigeria has
projected that Nigeria can generate above
123,000 mega watts in 2020 at an
ambitious 13 per cent economic growth
rate if it takes advantage of varied energy
mix.
This means that if the country maximises a
mix of coal, gas, hydro, nuclear, solar and
wind energy sources, it will be able to
generate 123, 049MW at 13 per cent
growth rate and 80,897.6MW at seven per
cent growth rate in 2020.
According to a document signed by the
Director General of the commission,
Professor Abubakar Sambo, made available
to our correspondent, by 2020, at 13 per
cent economic growth rate, the country can
generate 16, 956MW from coal, 70, 676.6
from gas, 16,681.1 MW from hydro, 12,
960MW from nuclear, 110.4MW from small
hydro, 120.9MW from solar, and 3,
524.5MW from wind.
At seven per cent economic growth rate,
Nigeria can generate 10,500.9 MW from
coal, 50,942.2MW from gas, 18,006.3MW
from hydro, 1, 239.2MW from small hydro,
10.4MW from solar and 198.6MW from
wind,
Power generation, according to the ECN,
can reach 107, 229.2MW in 2025 and 141,
239.5MW in 2030 at seven per cent
economic growth rate. It can reach
149,606MW in 2025 and 382, 370 MW in
2030 at an ambitious 13 per cent growth
rate.
Experts, however, said it was too ambitious
for a country that could not generate
6,000MW target in twelve months. They
said it was better that they were mere
projections on paper because it could not
be achieved practical terms.
The commission also said that the Federal
Government would have to invest a
whopping sum of $484bn in the power
sector over a period of 25 years to achieve
the Millennium Development Goals.
It said at an optimistic 13 per cent Gross
Domestic Product growth rate in Nigeria,
energy demand projections rose from 5,
745 mega watts in 2005 to 297,900MW in
2030.
For any serious sustainable development
that will drive Vision 2020 and the MDGs, an
average of $80.77bn must be invested
every five years within the 25 year period.
Sambo said, ”For the 13 per cent GDP
growth rate the demand projections rose
from 5,746MW in the base year of 2005 to
297, 900 MW in the year 2030 which
translates to construction of 11, 686MW
every year to meet the demand.”
”The corresponding cumulative investment
cost (investment and operations and
maintenance cost) for the 25 year period is
$484.62bn, which means investing $
80.77bn every five years within the
period.”
Sambo noted failure to attain 6,000MW
would further hinder the achievement of
the MDGs, adding that a large proportion of
the Nigerian population would still be
without electricity even if the target was
achieved.
He said, ”Even if we are able to achieve
these goals a large proportion of the
population of the country of 140 million
people will still be without electricity. The
targets are grossly inadequate when
viewed from the backdrop of the power
Projected by the ECN, based on
International Atomic Energy Agency models
which have been used by both developed
and developing countries.”
”The ECN projects a national power demand
of about 16,000MW by 2010, 51,000 MW
by 2020, and 120,000MW by 2030 for the
economic growth rate of 7 per cent
required for the country to attain the
Millennium Development Goals as stated in
the National Economic Empowerment and
Development Strategy in order to reduce
the level of poverty by half by 2015.”
Sambo further noted that with a targeted
capacity of 10,000MW by December 2010
by the present administration, a new
generation capacity of between 70,000MW
and 113,000MW must be added to the
system between 2010 and 2020.
”A generation capacity of 23,334MW - 37,
667MW must be put in place within every
3-year plan,” he said.
He also said that associated transmission
and distribution facilities needed to be put
in place by year 2020 to achieve the MDGs
and Vision 2020.
The ECN had also proposed the plan to
power the 36 state capitals with
emergency diesel generators to augment
supply from the national grid.
http://www.punchontheweb.com/Articl.aspx?theartic=Art201002042212377

Story story, Give us 6000MW or shut up

This man must have sniffed crushed burantashi.

That deadline for the issuance of another bogus promise of electricity for Nigeria should be pushed back to 2099, just to be on the safe side, and to silence those enemies of progress who think that they deserve electricity sooner.

Talk, talk, talk and more talk. Just because you are not being taxed for talking doesn't mean you should start talking trash.

deor03:

Story story, Give us 6000MW or shut up

Exactly

If we can do that we will be exporting energy.But let us get 6000mW first.