The current distribution of Senators show that the true battle field in 2019 may be in the North East of the country.

APC will clearly lose more ground in the North Central because of the Farmer vs Herdsmen clashes

SS/SE are the natural firewall states for the PDP. PDP should do more work on Akpabio and Prof Ayade and stop them from decamping. They need to stay with their people

Any in-roads PDP make in NW they can appreciate especially Kano. Try to split the votes in this area using the combo of Shakarua/Kwakwanso/Tambuwal

In terms of the South West, that's natural APC land but PDP can battle in Lagos at Presidential level using the poor economy and threat to democracy


The battle for NE then makes you wonder if a PDP Presidential aspirant from this area is the key? Does this mean PDP's best bet of stopping Buhari is Atiku? or is there other ways PDP can sell a Northern candidate not from this zone to this zone? Lets say can A Saraki convince the North East?


in any case 2019 will be very interesting.

For a start, your distribution of senators is wrong. Font rely on anything you see on-line. Your post credited 2 senators to APc in South East. Let me name the APc senators from this zone.
1 Benjamin uwajimogu .... IMO state
2. Hope uzodinma .... IMO state
3 Sunday ogbuoji ..... Ebonyi state
4... Andy uba .... Anambra State.
In 2019 South East will be a battle ground between APc and PDP.
IMO and Anambra States don't have PDP governors. Apc will survive there
APc will do well in Abia if they work with Apga plus the failed PDP gov in Abia.
APc will do well in ebonyi if the rumour of their governor romance with buhari is true.
APc will fail in Enugu due to ekweremadu factor however the immediate past governor is now in APc plus nnamani.
In the south south again your statistics us wrong
Rivers 2 APc senators
Edo. 2 APc senators
Delta 1 senator ( APc is getting stronger here, uduaghan, ogboru, uduegede, omo agege, that bunkery thief etc
Cross River 1 APc senator ( the governor will work for buhari)
Akwa ibom 1 APc senator pending akpabio's entrance.
APc will get 40 percent of votes cast in the south East and South South.

henchamb:
For a start, your distribution of senators is wrong. Font rely on anything you see on-line. Your post credited 2 senators to APc in South East. Let me name the APc senators from this zone.
1 Benjamin uwajimogu .... IMO state
2. Hope uzodinma .... IMO state
3 Sunday ogbuoji ..... Ebonyi state
4... Andy uba .... Anambra State.
In 2019 South East will be a battle ground between APc and PDP.
IMO and Anambra States don't have PDP governors. Apc will survive there
APc will do well in Abia if they work with Apga plus the failed PDP gov in Abia.
APc will do well in ebonyi if the rumour of their governor romance with buhari is true.
APc will fail in Enugu due to ekweremadu factor however the immediate past governor is now in APc plus nnamani.
In the south south again your statistics us wrong
Rivers 2 APc senators
Edo. 2 APc senators
Delta 1 senator ( APc is getting stronger here, uduaghan, ogboru, uduegede, omo agege, that bunkery thief etc
Cross River 1 APc senator ( the governor will work for buhari)
Akwa ibom 1 APc senator pending akpabio's entrance.
APc will get 40 percent of votes cast in the south East and South South.

got the image from Channels TV

But inspite of the inaccuracy the distribution still tells the story