STATE TOTAL STATE TOTAL STATE TOTAL.
•Abia 1 ,481 ,191
•Ekiti 750 ,753
•Lagos 6 ,247 ,845
•Adamawa 1 ,714 ,860
•Enugu 1 ,301 ,185
•Nasarawa 1 ,224 ,206
•Akwa Ibom 1 ,714 ,781
•Fct 886 ,323
•Niger 721 ,478
•Anambra 1 ,758 ,220
•Gombe 1 ,266 ,993
•Ogun 1 ,869 ,326
•Bauchi 1 ,835 ,562
•Imo 1 ,611 ,715
•Ondo 1 ,558 ,975
•Bayelsa 472 ,389
•Jigawa 1 ,852 ,698
•Osun 1 ,293 ,967
•Benue 1 ,415 ,162
•Kaduna 3,565,762
•Oyo 2 ,577 ,490
•Borno 2 ,730 ,368
•Kano 5 ,135 ,415
•Plateau 1 ,983 ,453
•C/River 1 ,018 ,550
•Katsina 2,931,668
•Rivers 2 ,419 ,057
•Delta 1 ,900 ,055
•Kebbi 1 ,603 ,468
•Sokoto 2 ,065 ,508
•Ebonyi 876 ,249
•Kogi 1 ,215 ,405
•Taraba 1 ,308 ,106
•Edo 1 ,412 ,225
•Kwara 1 ,115 ,665
•Yobe 1 ,182 ,230
•Zamfara 1 ,746 , 024

http://nigerianbulletin.com/2011/02/22/lagos-kano-kaduna-katsina-top-voter’s-list-the-nation/


We can now analyse the possible outcome.

The Imo and Abia numbers are suspect to me .


How many of those numbers are double registrants?

Those northern states are very suspect.

Based on the numbers - I can safely estimate that the Nigerian population is about 85 Million and not 150 Million that is advertised.

blacksta:

Based on the numbers - I can safely estimate that the Nigerian population is about 85 Million and not 150 Million that is advertised.

How did you know that?

Lagos        6,247,845
      Ogun        1,869,326
      Osun        1,293,967
      Ondo        1,558,975
       Ekiti           750,753
       Oyo         2,577,490
Total(SW)  14,298,356



      Abia          1,481,191
      Anambra  1,758,220
      Enugu  1,301,185
      Imo          1,611,715
      Ebonyi     876,249
  Total(SE)  7,028,560


      Edo         1,412;225
      Delta         1,900,055
      Bayelsa 472,389
      Akwa Ib 1,714,781
      RIvers 2,419,057
      C/Rivers 1,018,550
   Total(SS)   8,937,057


       SW        = 14,298,356
       SE + SS = 15,965,617
SE + SS - SW=  1,667,261


   Jigawa         1,852,698
   Kano         5,135,415
   Katsina         2,931,668
   Kaduna         3,565,762
   Kebbi         1,603,468
   Sokoto         2,065,508
   Zamfara 1,746,024
Total(NW)    18,900,543


   Adamawa 1,714,860
   Bauchi         1,835,562
   Borno         2,730,368
   Gombe         1,266,993
   Taraba         1,308,106
   Yobe         1,182,230
Total(NE)     10,038,119


   Benue         1,415,162
   Kogi         1,215,405
   Kwara         1,115,665
   Nassarawa 1,224,206
   Niger            721,478
   Plateau         1,983,453
Total(NC) 7,675,369

NC+NW+NE 36,614,031

North-South   6,350,058


Total(N+S+FCT)67,764,327 

fstranger3:

Lagos       6,247,845
Ogun       1,869,326
Osun       1,293,967
Ondo       1,558,975
Ekiti          750,753
Oyo        2,577,490
Total        14,298,356


Abia         1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo         1,611,715
Ebonyi    876,249
Total        7,028,560

That is the beginning of GEJ's wahala.Southeast and South-South has a combined population of 15 million which is just 1million more than SW alone.

Abagworo:


That is the beginning of GEJ's wahala.Southeast and South-South has a combined population of 15 million which is just 1million more than SW alone.

i do not think so as substantial no of those guys in lagos are not southwesterners.

asha 80:


i do not think so as substantial no of those guys in lagos are not southwesterners.

so what are they,, ,, ,. northerners

you people are funny,.,. a very good percentage of the votes are south-westerners whether igbo or ss or north

asha 80:


i do not think so as substantial no of those guys in lagos are not southwesterners.

Believe whatever you want to believe ok

Ibos make up 90% of the population in Lagos, so the SW is going to GEJ. Yeah, and there are more Ibos in Nigeria than there are Yorubas and Hausas combined. Whatever fries your Akpu

Lagos and Kano states have more than 11 million registered voters.  None of these two states is a stronghold of the ruling party.

Can someone explain to me how Bauchi registered more voters this cycle than their total population in 2006 

Am I insane, misreading something. . . ?

EDIT: Badly misread. Typo in spreadsheet, let me make sure I have the right #s.

Very good question

It means that every one in Bauchi is of the voting age. That said 68% registration of Lagos population is highly suspicious too, It means that everyone that could vote, registered, which is insane.

This crap is nonsense.

^-- No, I fvcked up and entered bauchi in incorrectly before. . . wrote Benue twice. Let me fix

wait, if a substantial no of ppl in Lag are not south-westerners,how come we dont have a Chukuemeka or Obi as Gov or Deputy?

Muza:

wait, if a substantial no of ppl in Lag are not south-westerners,how come we dont have a Chukuemeka or Obi as Gov or Deputy?

Well, it is because the 1% yorubas in Lagos are all tribalists and always rig elections against the 99% Ibos. Yeah, you are not dreaming, it is a case of the minority cheating the majority. Hmmm, Yorubas and their jujus always cheating the peace-loving Ibos that make up 99% of Lagos-State population

how on earth can ibos be 90% of Lagos? Even in areas like Idumota and Festac where they seem to be concentrated, they dont outnumber yorubas otherwise one of them would have made it to the council chairmanship position. Lagos is unarguably 40% yoruba, 22% ibo, 20% hausa and then others

dappssee:

how on earth can ibos be 90% of Lagos? Even in areas like Idumota and Festac where they seem to be concentrated, they dont outnumber yorubas otherwise one of them would have made it to the council chairmanship position. Lagos is unarguably 40% yoruba, 22% ibo, 20% hausa and then others

That is the number IBOs on NL would have us believe!

22 % Ibos in Lagos is pushing it. I'd say between 12 - 15

Abagworo:

STATE  TOTAL  STATE  TOTAL  STATE  TOTAL.
  •Abia  1 ,481 ,191
  •Ekiti  750 ,753
  •Lagos  6 ,247 ,845
  •Adamawa  1 ,714 ,860
  •Enugu  1 ,301 ,185
  •Nasarawa  1 ,224 ,206 ( Based on the census, I guess Nasarawa must be filled with old people and very few minors)
  •Akwa Ibom  1 ,714 ,781
  •Fct  886 ,323
  •Niger  721 ,478
  •Anambra  1 ,758 ,220
  •Gombe  1 ,266 ,993 (Most nigerians arent going to vote,but they managed to get "half"of the state to vote, there must be only a few minors in the state)
  •Ogun  1 ,869 ,326
  •Bauchi  1 ,835 ,562
  •Imo  1 ,611 ,715
  •Ondo  1 ,558 ,975
  •Bayelsa  472 ,389
  •Jigawa  1 ,852 ,698
  •Osun  1 ,293 ,967
  •Benue  1 ,415 ,162
  •Kaduna 3,565,762
  •Oyo  2 ,577 ,490
  •Borno  2 ,730 ,368
  •Kano  5 ,135 ,415
  •Plateau  1 ,983 ,453
  •C/River  1 ,018 ,550
  •Katsina 2,931,668
  •Rivers  2 ,419 ,057
  •Delta  1 ,900 ,055
  •Kebbi  1 ,603 ,468
  •Sokoto  2 ,065 ,508
  •Ebonyi  876 ,249
  •Kogi  1 ,215 ,405
  •Taraba  1 ,308 ,106
  •Edo  1 ,412 ,225
  •Kwara  1 ,115 ,665
  •Yobe  1 ,182 ,230
  •Zamfara  1 ,746 , 024

So it means that the SE registered the least numbers of voters and as such it is the least significant geopolitical zone in Nigeria. So ignoring that part of the country is actually a smart political move.

Fstranger and co,
asha80 did not say that igbos are more than yorubas in lagos.
It doesnt mean than every non south westerner is igbo. Why are you guys crying already? No one is out to take your lagos from you. Ok?
Make una take am easy joor.

^^^

May be you should take it easy with your utterances

So far, no one has said that anyone was taking anything.

I was just trying to put things in perspective.

onye_ngbu:

Fstranger and co,
asha80 did not say that igbos are more than yorubas in lagos.
It doesnt mean than every non south westerner is igbo. Why are you guys crying already? No one is out to take your lagos from you. Ok?
Make una take am easy joor.

If the election is free and fair, the Igbos will be the ones to decide who wins the presidency.We have the population spread throughout the country and in the millions in almost all states.

You are. Cant u see u are crying already.

Chyz*:

If the election is free and fair, the Igbos will be the ones to decide who wins the presidency.We have the population spread throughout the country and in the millions in almost all states.

I agree.

Just as how they decided the winner of the 1993 election

http://maxsiollun./2009/06/11/16th-anniversary-of-the-june-12-1993-election/

@ Chyz
True talk. Some people here cant even use their senses if not how can an adult who calls himself a nigerian conclude that SE having recorded least number of voters can be ignored.

fstranger3:


I agree.

Just as how they decided the winner of the 1993 election

http://maxsiollun./2009/06/11/16th-anniversary-of-the-june-12-1993-election/

All Igbos weren't rallied behind one person as they are jonathan so you link is irrelevant,you can thank us for abiolas vote as well . Also, I'm guessing abiola was going to a halloween party that day.

Let us face the facts from this INEC's figure.About 50% of the electorates live in NW and SW.That should be a headache for Jonathan because NW is Buhari's stronghold and has almost 19million people while his deputy is from SW which has more than 14million people.Jonathan's state is the least populated while his stronghold which is SE and SS combined has a population of over 15million.

@Abagworo,
why do you think that where one resides determines who who he/she votes for?

What made u think that an ijaw man who lives in katsina will vote buhari over jonathan simply because he lives there.?

Chyz*:

All Igbos weren't rallied behind one person as they are jonathan so you link is irrelevant,you can thank us for abiolas vote as well . Also, I'm guessing abiola was going to a halloween party that day.

Well, on behalf all Yorubas, both in Nigeria and in the diaspora, I say Thank you. Now, lets do it again! We need to make sure that another Yoruba man lives in  the Aguda House for the next 8 yrs. We will repay the gesture in year, Never!

Abagworo:

Let us face the facts from this INEC's figure.About 50% of the electorates live in NW and SW.That should be a headache for Jonathan because NW is Buhari's stronghold and has almost 19million people while his deputy is from SW which has more than 14million people.Jonathan's state is the least populated while his stronghold which is SE and SS combined has a population of over 15million.

Lets face it, GJ will get most votes in the SW, if not most, then half. Everyone in the SW is not yoruba, and every yoruba isn't going to vote buhari. Also igbos voted en-masse in NW(so unless they rig buhari in, which i suspect they will, he's going to have a hard time).