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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan (9853 Views)
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Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by segunjowo(m): 6:48pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
I bet Jonathan is right ![]() |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by hctii: 7:18pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
This is not the first,second,third time jonathan will be making this point.Its just a pity that those that will contribute to the development of this nation will never be allowed to take positions.Upon all the lilitless opportunities we have in this country,he is still dwelling on oil subsidy removal.He kept on talking about REVIVAL OF AGRICULTURAL SECTOR,what has he done to improve this sector.Just imagine, minister for agriculture sittting down in the office with AC,how did u want him to think about the next line of action in this sector.Also,apart from the likes of Prof BAlogun,Vice chancellor,UNAB,(also a prof of Agriculural science)that has a poultry which serves as another medium in absorbing the unemployed youths,how many profs have that saame vision.It will really take us a long time b4 the country can come to its normal shape. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by killbeaf: 7:36pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
this beaf slowpoke should watch is back course am coming for u already get ur contact details.back off this useless propaganda or u wanona make ur kids orphan and ur wife a widiow. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by SSaemoenl(m): 7:47pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
[size=15pt]Fight CORRUPTION[/size], that is the only SUBSIDY you will remove. Since 1999 till date, No Budget Pass was implemented. Where went the money- inside different individuals account. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Isiterere(m): 8:07pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
all are rubbish, simple question why must subsidy be removed?u refuse to answer |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Nobody: 8:12pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
Mr GEJ. Nigerians are solidly behind you. Go on and exhaust that GIANT stride and Your generation yet unborn will be thankful you did. Let every bit of subsidy Go!! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by snakova(m): 8:15pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
Beaf:and what about the 9bn naira unaccounted for by NNPC daily? is that not triple the subsidy amount? yeye |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by dustydee: 8:16pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
Beaf: I hope you are not suggesting that the people should arrest those taking it to other countries are you. For you to know this means it is public knowledge meaning somebody somewhere failed to do his job and someone somewhere knows that and rather than punish the person has chosen to punish others instead. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by juanny02: 8:54pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
I dont see why some of us here decide to cloud ourselves in deceit by a motivational speech! We sure dont see the true picture why certain decisions are made at the helms, does not mean we are that dumb not to see how a Captain steers a ship with a broken compass. He may have the best intentions, but! Fuel has been increased over the years, has there been any change in the economy? quality of fuel purchased? Its not time for this and he knows it, he just feels(thanks to his advisers) that this act will remedy the problem. Nonsense! Deal with the people that are looting and creating unrest and change will take its course. Whats this talk about our generations? na story ooo. The cartels have enrich their born/unborn, friends/family and well wishers. My opinion! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by gabreel: 10:57pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
[center]hi folks, |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by otondo55: 11:12pm On Dec 17, 2011 |
GEJ most times you seems confused, am so disappointed. are you saying there is no other way to this ? cant you make government uninterested to an extent to reduce cost like some countries ? cant the refineries work to reduce cost, and help local consumption ? Please truly be sincere to your preaching, Nigeria govt is lavishing money and resources. We need true LEADERSHIP, UNDILUTED !!! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by ollypass: 1:33am On Dec 18, 2011 |
I laugh in my language: A government that can not tackle the CABAL, Secure the borders to prevent smuggling of the product, Explain how 250 billion jumped to 1+ trillion, by now has no detailed road map on how subsidy money will be spent, even after all the heated debate still is too incompetent to present a winning case, is suppose to be trusted to secure the future of me and over 160 million Nigerians? NIGGER PLEASE! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by member479760: 1:40am On Dec 18, 2011 |
Very unfortunate, as of today with all the educational institutions we have in this country we can not still build a refinery without the direct involvement of the superior guys, then let's invite these guys to build more refineries and operate it themselves after which we can remove the fuel welfare. To the shallow thinker, the Kaduna refinery was not a mistake, think of it very well. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by mekaboy(m): 2:30am On Dec 18, 2011 |
Online Online Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan « #7 on: December 16, 2011, 01:04 PM » Removal of subsidy is like administering an injection. The insertion of the needle is painful but the work of the drug it contains is needful. Besides, it is expected that any child taking an injection will scream, protest, writhe in pain and what have you but that doesn't stop the doctor from doing the needful. Let's take the pains to correct this now and save future generations from unnecessary headache. Nice one from GEJ the giant killer! YES FUEL SUBSIDY REMOVAL IS LIKE AN INJECTION THAT IS PAINFUL, BUT THE MEDICINE WILL CURE THE SICKNESS, HAVE YOU FORGOTTEN THAT THERE ARE DRUGS U DONT TAKE ON EMPTY STOMACH? IF YOU ARE INJECTED AND THERE IS NO FOOD IN YOUR STOMACH YOU COULD DIE ? ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() LET EFCC RECOVER OUR STOLEN MONEY, LET GOVT USE IT TO SUBSIDIZE , THEN USE THE MONEY THEY SAVE ON SUBSIDY TO SHOW NIGERIANS WHAT THEY WILL BENEFIT IN THE SUBSIDY IS REMOVED, THEN WE WILL SUPPORT. THIS INJECTION GO KILL THE CITIZENS OO ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by rman: 3:35am On Dec 18, 2011 |
Everytime some people come to use smuggling as part of their argument to defend subsidy removal, I say to myself, " Here comes another big fool!". One of the fundamental funtions of any government is to secure the boarders, if they have failed at that, they have no bussiness being in government. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by emmado(m): 5:15am On Dec 18, 2011 |
For those that are in support these evil-minded politicians that are bent on destroying Nigeria,what do u have to say about this? On December 10, 2011, if you stopped at the Mobil filling station on Old Aba Road in Port Harcourt , you would be able to buy a litre of petrol for 65 naira or $1.66 per gallon at an exchange rate of $1/N157 and 4 litres per gallon. This is the official price. The government claims that this price would have been subsidized at N73/litre and that the true price of a litre of petrol in Port Harcourt is N138/litre or $3.52 per gallon. They are therefore determined to remove their subsidy and sell the gallon at $3.52. But, On December 10, 2011, if you stopped at the Mobil Gas station on E83rd St and Flatlands Avenue in Brooklyn, New York, USA, you would be a able to buy a gallon of petrol for $3.52/gallon. Both gallons of petrol would have been refined from Nigerian crude oil. The only difference would be that the gallon in New York was refined in a US North East refinery from Nigerian crude exported from the Qua Iboe Crude Terminal in Nigeria while the Port Harcourt gallon was either refined in Port Harcourt or imported. The idea that a gallon of petrol from Nigerian crude oil cost the same in New York as in Port Harcourt runs against basic economic logic. Hence, Nigerians suspect that there is something irrational and fishy about such pricing. What they would like to know is the exact cost of 1 litre of petrol in Nigeria . We will answer this question in the simplest economic terms despite the attempts of the Nigerian government to muddle up the issue. What is the true cost of a litre of petrol in Nigeria ? The Nigerian government has earmarked 445000 barrel per day throughput for meeting domestic refinery products demands. These volumes are not for export. They are public goods reserved for internal consumption. We will limit our analysis to this volume of crude oil. At the refinery gate in Port Harcourt, the cost of a barrel of Qua Iboe crude oil is made up of the finding /development cost ($3.5/bbl) and a production/storage /transportation cost of $1.50 per barrel. Thus, at $5 per barrel, we can get Nigerian Qua Iboe crude to the refining gates at Port Harcourt and Warri. One barrel is 42 gallons or 168 litres. The price of 1 barrel of petrol at the Depot gate is the sum of the cost of crude oil, the refining cost and the pipeline transportation cost. Refining costs are at $12.6 per barrel and pipeline distribution cost are $1.50 per barrel. The Distribution Margins (Retailers, Transporters, Dealers, Bridging Funds, Administrative charges etc) are N15.49/litre or $16.58 per barrel. The true cost of 1 litre of petrol at the Mobil filling station in Port Harcourt or anywhere else in Nigeria is therefore ($5 +$12.6+$1.5+$16.6) or $35.7 per barrel . This is equal to N33.36 per litre compared to the official price of N65 per litre. Prof. Tam David West is right. There is no petrol subsidy in Nigeria . Rather the current official prices are too high. Let us continue with some basic energy economics. The government claims we are currently operating our refineries at 38.2% efficiency. When we refine a barrel of crude oil, we get more than just petrol. If we refine 1 barrel (42 gallons) of crude oil, we will get 45 gallons of petroleum products. The 45 gallons of petroleum products consist of 4 gallons of LPG, 19.5 gallons of Gasoline, 10 gallons of Diesel, 4 gallons of Jet Fuel/Kerosene, 2.5 gallons of Fuel Oil and 5 gallons of Bottoms. Thus, at 38.2% of refining capacity, we have about 170000 bbls of throughput refined for about 13.26 million litres of petrol, 6.8 million litres of diesel and 2.72 million litres of kerosene/jet fuel. This is not enough to meet internal national demand. So, we send the remaining of our non-export crude oil volume (275000 barrels per day) to be refined abroad and import the petroleum product back into the country. We will just pay for shipping and refining. The Nigerian government exchanges the 275000 barrels per day with commodity traders (90000 barrels per day to Duke Oil, 60000 barrels per day to Trafigura (Puma Energy), 60000 barrels per day to Societe Ivoirienne de Raffinage (SIR) in Abidjan, Ivory Coast and 65000 barrels per days to unknown sources) in a swap deal. The landing cost of a litre of petrol is N123.32 and the distribution margins are N15.49 according to the government. The cost of a litre is therefore (N123.32+N15.49) or N138.81 . This is equivalent to $3.54 per gallon or $148.54 per barrel. In technical terms, one barrel of Nigerian crude oil has a volume yield of 6.6% of AGO, 20.7% of Gasoline, 9.5% of Kerosene/Jet fuel, 30.6% of Diesel, 32.6% of Fuel oil / Bottoms when it is refined. Using a netback calculation method, we can easily calculate the true cost of a litre of imported petrol from swapped oil. The gross product revenue of a refined barrel of crude oil is the sum of the volume of each refined product multiplied by its price. Domestic prices are $174.48/barrel for AGO, $69.55/barrel for Gasoline (PMS or petrol), $172.22/barrel for Diesel Oil, $53.5/barrel for Kerosene and $129.68/barrel for Fuel Oil. Let us substitute the government imported PMS price of $148.54 per barrel for the domestic price of petrol/gasoline. Our gross product revenue per swapped barrel would be (174.48*0.066 +148.54*0.207+172.22*0.306+ 53.5*0.095+129.68*0.326) or $142.32 per barrel. We have to remove the international cost of a barrel of Nigerian crude oil ($107 per barrel) from this to get the net cost of imported swapped petroleum products to Nigerian consumers. The net cost of swapped petroleum products would therefore be $142.32 -$107 or $35.32 per barrel of swapped crude oil. This comes out to be a net of $36.86 per barrel of petrol or N34.45 per litre. This is the true cost of a litre of imported swapped petrol and not the landing cost of N138 per litre claimed by the government. The pro-subsidy Nigerian government pretends the price of swapped crude oil is $0 per barrel (N0 per litre) while the resulting petroleum products is $148.54 per barrel (N138 per litre). The government therefore argues that the “subsidy” is N138.81-N65 or N73.81 per litre. But, if landing cost of the petroleum products is at international price ($148.54 per barrel), then the take-off price of the swapped crude oil should be at international price ($107 per barrel). This is basic economic logic outside the ideological prisms of the World Bank. The traders/petroleum products importers and the Nigerian government are charging Nigerians for the crude oil while they are getting it free. So let us conclude this basic economic exercise. If the true price of 38.2% of our petrol supply from our local refinery is N33.36/litre and the remaining 61.8% has a true price of N34.45 per litre, then the average true price is (0.382*33.36+0.618*34.45) or N34.03 per litre. The official price is N65 per litre and the true price with government figures is about N34 per litre (even with our moribund refineries). There is therefore no petrol subsidy. Rather, there is a high sales tax of 91.2% at current prices of N65 per litre. The labor leaders meeting the President should go with their economists. They should send economists and political scientists as representatives to the Senate Committee investigating the petroleum subsidy issue. There are many expert economists and political scientists in ASUU who will gladly represent the view of the majority. The labor leaders should not let anyone get away with the economic fallacy that the swapped oil is free while its refined products must be sold at international prices in the Nigerian domestic market. The government should explain at what price the swapped crude oil was sold and where the money accruing from these sales have been kept. We have done this simple economic analysis of the Nigerian petroleum products market to show that there is no petrol subsidy what so ever. In the end, this debate on petrol subsidy and the attempt of the government to transfer wealth from the Nigerian masses to a petrol cabal will be decided in the streets. Nigerian workers, farmers, students, market women, youths, unemployed, NGO and civil society as a whole should prepare for a long harmattan season of protracted struggle. They should not just embark on 3 days strike/protests after which the government reduces the hiked petroleum prices by a few Nairas. They must embark upon in a sustainable struggle that will lead to fundamental changes. Let us remove our entire political subsidy from the government and end this petroleum products subsidy debate once and for all. It is time to bring the Arab Spring south. Izielen Agbon Izielen Agbon writes from Dallas, Texas. izielenagbon@yahoo.com |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Wadosky(m): 6:21am On Dec 18, 2011 |
oga please repair the refineries then you can do whatever you want with the subsidy |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by ollypass: 9:12am On Dec 18, 2011 |
There is therefore no petrol subsidy. Rather, there is a high sales tax of 91.2% at current prices of N65 per litre. The labor leaders meeting the President should go with their economists. They should send economists and political scientists as representatives to the Senate Committee investigating the petroleum subsidy issue. There are many expert economists and political scientists in ASUU who will gladly represent the view of the majority. The labor leaders should not let anyone get away with the economic fallacy that the swapped oil is free while its refined products must be sold at international prices in the Nigerian domestic market. The government should explain at what price the swapped crude oil was sold and where the money accruing from these sales have been kept. We have done this simple economic analysis of the Nigerian petroleum products market to show that there is no petrol subsidy what so ever. In the end, this debate on petrol subsidy and the attempt of the government to transfer wealth from the Nigerian masses to a petrol cabal will be decided in the streets. Nigerian workers, farmers, students, market women, youths, unemployed, NGO and civil society as a whole should prepare for a long harmattan season of protracted struggle. They should not just embark on 3 days strike/protests after which the government reduces the hiked petroleum prices by a few Nairas. They must embark upon in a sustainable struggle that will lead to fundamental changes. Let us remove our entire political subsidy from the government and end this petroleum products subsidy debate once and for all. It is time to bring the Arab Spring south. Emmado if there is anything this GEJ and his cronies are averse to its detailed transparent analysis of their clandestine operations,that said i hope organized labour can get their acts together and present their case with cold facts and figures. Also i still wonder what amount of abuse we as a people will have to go through in the hands of those we elected into office before we actual start fighting for whats ours and stop smiling and suffering! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Nobody: 9:26am On Dec 18, 2011 |
This is so funny. And where has all the "so-called" best trained economists taken the world economy to? There are many routes to a place, if there isn't then you create one. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by ceejayluv(m): 9:35am On Dec 18, 2011 |
Reference:[b][/b] BuLL'S EYE!! You've said it all! We cant move forward without radical economic policies. As it was done in the telecoms sector, so shall it be in the power and downstream sectors! As 4 me, i don buy bicycle keep first, No time! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by beafroast: 10:04am On Dec 18, 2011 |
me i dey ask sey why foolish goons (fg) no dey remove those 419 allowances wey dem dey collect and cut down their big big salary. Ds go also helep dem save plenty big money. Why oil-fuel all d time from one government to d other. And why must it always be d masses dat must bear d pains and suffering of any transformation agenda by the government. All their transformation agenda no dey affect dem and their people. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Diligence: 12:38pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
Nigerians surviving on fuel subsidy kinda reminds of surviving with a plug in the hospital, that is supposed to be for something, u know, but trust naija, they hv so adjusted that pullg the plug is like committg murder, but it ain't so. Prez Joe has tried so much to enlighten even the dullest of men, in the simplest manner, that we can't continue wastg our very scarce resources, such that does not even benefit the common man so much. We can't continue to live in retrospect, we hv got to live wt better vision, and ready to pay some price now for tomorrow! Nigeria is so backward because it's averse to making sacrifices! Joe has played a gentleman enof; Oga Joe, u're hereby enocuraged to go ahead wt fuel subsidy removal - let's face this unknown fear, so called, once and for all! |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by oc2fish: 12:50pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
@Emando God will bless you. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Nobody: 4:55pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
The question I wanted an answer to is ; How did we get to this mess? The subsidy is actually big business to some people and does not in anyway contribute to the Nation's economy. I travelled by road recently and couldn't help but notice that there are more fuel-tankers on the road than cars. The subsidy is actually in the movement and distribution of the fuel products and a lot of very influential people made sure the NNPC relay stations and depots don't work. A former Governor from the NW owns most of these Trucks. The rails have been rendered useless in order to promote their personal transport business. Am afraid this country of ours can't work anymore. We are so corrupt and greedy to the point that we have no more conscience. Removing the subsidy may not necessarily ensure that these same characters find another way to milk the government purse. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by dmainboss: 5:19pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
It is sad that many here just choose to go the partisan way. Saying there is nothing like fuel subsidy is living in denial. Fuel subsidy was not started by PDP or GEJ. In fact, anyone who uses the term "for 12 years now" or "since 1999" is being partisan. Nigeria's problems did not start in 1999 or since PDP took over. Every problem in Nigeria today started in the 60s. Some of you talk of securing the borders and its very funny. I will like to ask you. How come America with all its sophistication and drones have not been able to secure their bothers against immigrants? You think it is that easy to secure the border of a country. You think it is possible to secure 1000s of kilometres of border? Some of you are not realistic at all. You just want to deceive yourself and try to convince yourself you care about Nigeria or the masses. You definitely do not because only a man who really cares takes the hard decisions that need to be taking. What GEJ is saying is so very simple that even a toddler can understand it. You cannot live above your means. Nigeria is living above her means and living dangerously. Europe and America are currently in a crisis. If we dont make these basic decisions now, most of you will be so hard hit, you wont even know what hit you. Just saying the federal government should build refineries will not produce the money to do it. We have a country where the whole population of around 200 million is living off oil. The fact that Fashola is increasing school fees astronomically and insisting on toll gate for Lekki are major signs that even lagos state economy is not as bouyant as they may want you to believe. But the biggest problem of it all is that instead of proffesionals and politicians to come together and forge a way forward, they have turned it into a partisan thing and many of you here are drumming that partisan stance. It is sad |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by efisher(m): 5:50pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
Well said @dmainboss. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by SleekMc: 6:17pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
say no to subsidy there is no justifiable rights for removal of subsidy no good roads massive unemployement no lite and refineries working at 10 percent capacity. all these should be seriously address before issue of subsidy comes up. if corruptuion is properly tackled and looting of government tresury is tackled there is no reason why we should not be one of most advanced nations in de world wit all de resources we have both human and natural. enough is enough we should stop suffering in silence every one should speak up and agaist it. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by kokoA(m): 6:23pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
dmainboss:Quite a sensible post but I refuse to agree with you these are my reasons Why must the masses be the only one to make sacrifices? Why haven't Ebele thought it wise to meet with the political class to negotiate a reduction in their extremely large salaries and allowances? Isn't that another way of saving money for government? The sacrifice should be from both sides. Where are the safety nets that the government have put in place to cushion the effects of this wicked policy? Where are they? I mean they can't just wake up one day and remove subsidy on petrol knowing fully well that it will affect the prices of everything? What polical will have this admistration shown in the fight against corruption to convience us that monies saved from deregulation of the oil sector will be used for the benefit of the masses? A government who can compensate a convicted criminal (Bode George) by offering his wife an appoitnmet on a federal board? My brother do not let them decieve you. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by habumaks(m): 10:25pm On Dec 18, 2011 |
GEJ should please tell us his economic advisers. I hope this socalled prophets are not the ones who talked him into pushing this. THERE ARE BASIC INFRASTRUCTURES THAT WE NEED TO SEE IN PLACE BEFORE accepting your proposal. please provide things that will ease our nerves a bit while we are experiences that effects of the subsidy removal. Please start by given us light, better our schools, hospital so by the time the price hike tries to cause a breakdown in our system, we should afford the hospital bills. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by dmainboss: 9:53am On Dec 19, 2011 |
kokoA: My brother, they cannot deceive me. I am a business man and I know the basic of business. A good business man or manager must not spend more than he earns. Social security is supposed to be a good thing but in reality it doesnt ever work. Europe and America are paying the hefty price today. The economies of Europe is in shambles. One of the main factors that mitigates against the success of social security is population explosion. That is why countries like Saudi will be ok today but as their population grows, they will begin to face serious crisis too. Like GEJ said, nobody just wakes up in the morning and says i want to punish the whole Nigeria. Nobody thinks like that except they are mentally unstable. Even when a president performs badly, it doesnt mean he actually wanted to perform badly. It might just be that he didnt get the policies right. So before we say yes or no to fuel subsidy, we must sit down and properly analyse tyhe pros and cons and not make it a "PDP want to kill us" thing. Our children will not forgive us if they have to suffer because we didnt take the right stand today |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by Demdem(m): 11:01am On Dec 19, 2011 |
Dmainboss, it looks like we are spending more than we earn becos of corruption. In addition to what other has said about this issue on this thread especially kokoa and ola, he retardeen should simply go inside nnpc, nddc, nass, fct, etc and their stinking corrupt likes to free up more funds for infrastructures. If this is well done, he will free up funds that will probably surpass what is needed for subsidy. Till then, the retardeen should simply stop lamenting. It's disgusting. |
Re: Why Fuel Subsidy Must Go Now, By Jonathan by lanrefront1(m): 12:39pm On Dec 19, 2011 |
First let me say dmainboss is the same old Beaf. You can tell from his manner of writing and style & points of arguements just by reading this thread from the beginning But I marvel when I still see posts SIMILAR that of the "dmainboss" aka Beaf (Beaf's post is not a marvel). Is it that u guys close your brain to every other arguement of public & informed personalities made available on this thread and several others and just choose you must swallow line hook and sinker whatever comes out of the mouth of the President and his officials? Do they possess some monopoly of knowledge which is inacessible to any other person? Do goverment officials (economist, bankers etc) once appointed to their portfolios suddenly develop exra brain-cells which empowers them to understand phenomenon which their entire rest of expert colleagues cannot comprehend How come their presentaions, submissions, persuations, arguements on the subsidy-removal matter is not acceptable to almost all other professionals who should be in the know, have intergrity and can be trusted? Or are we saying Ngozi-Iweala, Madieson, etc. are the only people who and can understand and comprehend? Did you guys read the post above: The real Price of fuel. Are u saying its all stupid talk? The Presdient and his officials will like us to believe every other person, no matter their inergrity, technical and professional know-how hate Nigerians and are talking nonsense. They just want Nigerians to deactivate their brains, (including National Assembly) jump on board and give them full support. For instance here is Pat-Utomi on an Inerview with Newswatch Magazine: Pat Utomi, professor of political economy and founding director of the Lagos Business School, speaks with Dike Onwuamaeze, principal staff writer, on the contentious issue of the removal of fuel subsidy. Excerpts: Newswatch: What is your opinion on the debate raging in the country on whether to remove or retain fuel subsidy? Utomi: Well, the problem with this discussion is that it is very easy to miss the critical issues and reduce it to a simple argument of who wants or does not want the subsidy removed. But it is not as simple as that. First of all, when you are discussing subsidy, what you are essentially discussing is fiscal transfers. The big argument of those against what is called subsidy is that you take from the common pool and you give it to a small group of people who, therefore, develop a consumption pattern that is not appropriate because they do not pay the appropriate price for it while the rest of the society suffers from being denied the greater good that could have come from the use of the revenue. That is the classic argument. I would have been making this argument 10-15 years ago. But one of the things education and observation does for you is that you grow out of narrow stylistic orthodoxy in discussion of issues. So, the orthodoxy of efficiency of allocation of resources which is lost in the provision of subsidy becomes a banner that covers all kinds of inappropriate behaviour that is taking place. What is the real situation with the financing of petroleum products in Nigeria? First and foremost, there is no statistics. What is claimed to be imported into the country on which basis “subsidies” are paid is twice the quantity Nigeria is consuming. If we can claim to be spending X as subsidy, it is still an assumption. Now, about 50 percent of that sum is not on something Nigerians are consuming. So, the reality is that the N1.3 trillion they are talking about is not a true reflection of what Nigerians are consuming. That is one statement. The second statement is that, and that is the biggest learning for me from experience, is that every government makes the same promise to spend the subsidy on building of roads and providing essential services to the citizens, yet the FRSC rated Nigerian roads as the second worst in the world. If you look at the all Millennium Development Goals, Nigeria is worse today in reality than before. The question to ask should be: “what did the last removal do for railways, roads? The point I’m making is that we have come to the point where you can say that it is not sensible to allow government that do not know how to use public resources to take more of it away from the citizens. I would rather agree that the Nigerian individual spends his money the way he or she likes rather than the government of Nigeria waste it for him. Newswatch: Some Nigerians still claim that there is no fuel subsidy. Utomi: People who said that there is no subsidy, essentially, argue that if we had an efficient system and can refine petrol locally, the actual cost of what we are selling petrol cannot be called a subsidy. But the logic of the government is that we do not have the refined product locally and we are importing it and paying international price to get it. But these are not even my argument. My argument is that the process involves taking money from citizens and putting it in the pocket of the government that has used money not particularly wisely. In fact, the way the Nigerian government has used money has impoverished the Nigerian people rather than making their quality of life better. Years ago, I’ve begun to be gradually won over by the position taken by two remarkable economists who were consultants to the IMF. They argued that there are countries in the world, and Nigeria being the best or worst examples, where the governments are so incapable of advancing the good of the people that it is not in the best interest of the people for the rent from that mineral wealth to be given to the governments. They proposed that it should be shared to the citizens of that country. Some national government like Norway have actually done that. The state of Alaska in the United States of America, at a particular month in the year, write out cheques to Alaskans and give them their repay funds from oil rents. Alberta in Canada does the same thing. Newswatch: How appropriate is the quest to remove the subsidy when local refineries are not functioning optimally? Utomi: Why do we have to go back to be talking of these refineries every year. I’ve come to the conclusion that the trouble with Nigeria is that we have lost the sense of shame. We do not feel ashamed any more. If we do, I think that we should be embarrassed that in the arena of public discussion, we are still talking about our refineries not working optimally. That shows that something is fundamentally wrong. And for me as a citizen, that is not the way to go. Newswatch: Where will the subsidy be invested if it is eventually removed? Utomi: I’m not in government to be in a position to do this. But I still stand on the comment I gave when the last removal was done. Let us build standard railways from Lagos to Calabar and within our cities and create lasting infrastructures that can ensure that people are more efficiently moved around. Look at the history of contract administration in Nigeria. How do you think that the use of that “N1.3 trillion” will be? It cannot be different from the way it was yesterday. The previous removal of fuel subsidy did not provide roads that are motorable. Newswatch: The government has given 18 licences to private firms to build refineries, yet none has commenced building a refinery. Why is it so? Utomi: Because they are intelligent people. And if you are an intelligent person, you won’t do something as stupid as building refineries while others who are going to be importing it are getting sweet deals to go with. You will never be able to survive. Machiavelli said 500 years ago, that nothing is more difficult to bring around than a new order of things because those who profit from the old order will do every thing to prevent the new order from coming about. And that is why we are running around in circles. There is a class that profits from the misery of the Nigerian people and they do not want to give up. Newswatch: You are used to remarking that Nigeria is on the high way to Somalia. Some people also perceive Nigeria as a country on the brink. So, as a political economist, what do you foresee as the socio- economic implications of the removal of fuel subsidy? Utomi: We are not heading to Somalia any more. We’ve arrived Somalia. What do you think Jos is? What do you think Bauchi and Borno are? They are Somalia already. Thank God that people can go back a few years and see my warning in the things that are happening. The average Nigerian now seems disconnected from the Nigerian state. He doesn’t feel that he is worth much. If his life means nothing, the life of others mean nothing to him also. So, we are all in the danger. The problem is not that Nigeria would not want to pay for what they are consuming, it is just that Nigerians do not trust their government that the money will be used in the interest of the Nigerian people. And if the government is wise, it would have taken proven steps to cut the wastages that are going on in order to regain public confidence. More importantly, the government needs to do a number of things quickly enough to provide jobs and raise the income of Nigerians to enable them to pay the new price that will come because there is the need to compare how much a Nigerian pays to buy petrol relative to his income and how much a Ghanaian pays to buy petrol relative to his income and then we can justify our positions. . |
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