I have been reading different articles / permutations regard 2027 election , how El Rufai will single handedly convince the majority Northerners not to vote president Tinubu...

Before you take any stand regard to this...read this bellow


Here is a geo-political breakdown of the 2023 presidential election as I also in the past did that of 2015 and 2019.
The number of states each party won in each region is in bracket after their votes

North-West (7 states)

The presidential candidate of NNPP and the Vice Presidential candidate of LP are from this region.

1. APC - 2,652,235 (2). (40.18%)
2. LP - 350,182 (0). (5.31%)
3. NNPP - 1,268,250 (1). (19.22%)
4. PDP - 2,329,540 (4). (35.30%)
Total - 6,600,207 (4 main parties only)


North-East (6 states)

The Presidential Candidate of PDP and the Vice Presidential Candidate of APC are from this region

1. APC - 1,185,458 (1). (35.23%)
2. LP - 315,107 (0). (9.37%)
3. NNPP - 126,343. (0). (3.76%)
4. PDP - 1,737,846 (5). (51.65%)
Total - 3,364,754 (4 main parties only)

North-Central (6 states + FCT)

1. APC - 1,760,993. (4). (40.03%)
2. LP - 1,415,577. (2)+FCT. (32.18%)
3. NNPP - 60,056 (0). (1.37%)
4. PDP - 1,162,087 (0). (26.42%)
Total - 4,398,713 (4 main parties only)

North Total (19 states + FCT)
1. APC - 5,598,686 (7). (38.98%)
2. LP - 2,080,866 (2)+FCT. (14.49%)
3. NNPP - 1,454,649 (1). (10.13%)
4. PDP - 5,229,473 (9). (36.41%)
Total - 14,363,674 (4 main parties only)


South-West (6 states)

The presidential Candidate of APC is from this region

1. APC - 2,279,407. (4). (55.81%)
2. LP - 846,478. (1). (20.72%)
3. NNPP - 16,644 (0). (0.41%)
4. PDP - 941,941 (1). (23.06%)
Total - 4,084,470. (4 main parties only)

South-East (5 states)

The presidential candidate of LP is from this region

1. APC - 127,370 (0). (5.85%)
2. LP - 1,952,998. (5). (89.62%)
3. NNPP - 8,211. (0). (0.38%)
4. PDP - 90,698 (0). (4.16%)
Total - 2,179,277. (4 main parties only)

South-South (6 states)

The Vice Presidential Candidate of the PDP is from this region

1. APC - 799,957 (1). (29.14%)
2. LP - 1,210,675 (3). (44.09%)
3. NNPP - 17,167 (0). (0.63%)
4. PDP - 717,908 (2). (26.15%)
Total - 2,745,707. (4 main parties only)

South Total (17 states)
1. APC - 3,206,734 (5). (35.59%)
2. LP - 4,010,151 (9). (44.51%)
3. NNPP - 42,022. (0). (0.47%)
4. PDP - 1,750,547 (3). (19.43%)
Total - 9,009,454. (4 main parties only)

A minority northerner like me will still vote president Tinubu

Hatred can't stop Tinubu....Only patriotism can stop him if Nigerians don't really want him...

But with the details above, I can not see that happening in 2027....

Check out the result he got while not in power....and think of what will now happen while he is in power...

Shsishi u no get for acc, but u dey should Tinubu upandan. No worry

When you conclude without God Almighty, when He comes, of course, He will surely prove you wrong. Only God can stop him and I know that God will do it. He is not the people's choice but he is the choice imposed on us.

GoodLife4live:
Check out the result he got while not in power....and think of what will now happen while he is in power...

What most of you don't understand is this

1) once you are unpopular in the North it's impossible to rig... It can't happen ask anyone who have been to the North... Ask OBJ and Jonathan even ask yaradua ... And Tinubu is very very unpopular in the North as we speak

2) middle belt is too close to call so rigging won't really get you much net votes here

3) south east is out of the equation for Tinubu

4 ) in the South West.. Osun and Lagos would net him near zero votes net if not negative


Before now I was of the opinion that Obi contesting would give Tinubu an edge... Don't really see that anymore... Because he would take from Tinubu potential votes in North Central and South South plus reduce impact of Lagos

Like 2019 , 2023 and now 2027 this election is PDP to lose if they play their card right

Gbam true talk.

mrvitalis:

What most of you don't understand is this

1) once you are unpopular in the North it's impossible to rig... It can't happen ask anyone who have been to the North... Ask OBJ and Jonathan even ask yaradua ... And Tinubu is very very unpopular in the North as we speak

2) middle belt is too close to call so rigging won't really get you much net votes here

3) south east is out of the equation for Tinubu

4 ) in the South West.. Osun and Lagos would net him near zero votes net if not negative


Before now I was of the opinion that Obi contesting would give Tinubu an edge... Don't really see that anymore... Because he would take from Tinubu potential votes in North Central and South South plus reduce impact of Lagos

Like 2019 , 2023 and now 2027 this election is PDP to lose if they play their card right

Peter Obi should just contest

mrvitalis:

What most of you don't understand is this

1) once you are unpopular in the North it's impossible to rig... It can't happen ask anyone who have been to the North... Ask OBJ and Jonathan even ask yaradua ... And Tinubu is very very unpopular in the North as we speak

2) middle belt is too close to call so rigging won't really get you much net votes here

3) south east is out of the equation for Tinubu

4 ) in the South West.. Osun and Lagos would net him near zero votes net if not negative


Before now I was of the opinion that Obi contesting would give Tinubu an edge... Don't really see that anymore... Because he would take from Tinubu potential votes in North Central and South South plus reduce impact of Lagos

Like 2019 , 2023 and now 2027 this election is PDP to lose if they play their card right

Correct. Obi contesting in 2027 will be an advantage to PDP. The dynamics are now different. Tinubu is getting nowhere close to his 2023 numbers in the North, so he needs to make up for the difference in the South. Obi contesting will neutralise Tinubu's campaign for a Southern presidency because an alternative will exist in Obi. Tinubu has messed up by not carrying the entire South along, he has only catered to the Lagos bloc of the Southwest.

2027 is the end of Nigeria the American CIA predicted it to be 2026,the southwest will demand secession once tinubu looses.

am voting president tinubu too

Well, Tinubu has to think where his votes will come from. The South East won't vote for him, and the votes of the SW and SS will not be enough to get him re-elected

So unless another zone from the North massively vote for him, he stands zero chances of getting re-elected

mrvitalis:

What most of you don't understand is this

1) once you are unpopular in the North it's impossible to rig... It can't happen ask anyone who have been to the North... Ask OBJ and Jonathan even ask yaradua ... And Tinubu is very very unpopular in the North as we speak

2) middle belt is too close to call so rigging won't really get you much net votes here

3) south east is out of the equation for Tinubu

4 ) in the South West.. Osun and Lagos would net him near zero votes net if not negative


Before now I was of the opinion that Obi contesting would give Tinubu an edge... Don't really see that anymore... Because he would take from Tinubu potential votes in North Central and South South plus reduce impact of Lagos

Like 2019 , 2023 and now 2027 this election is PDP to lose if they play their card right

2027 election is going to be the easiest election for APC, the north will vote massively for tinubu for so many reasons,
first the systematic defeated of Boko Haram and Fulani herdsmen will give TBAT an edge over others.
secondly tinubu is going to win the ks states Kaduna, Kano and kataina state massively this time, remember he lost Kaduna to PDP because of el rufia, the southern Kaduna that vote against him in 2023, will vote massively for him this time around.
apart from el rufia, who is against tinubu in the north?

Some of you talk pass this one before 2023 election Wetin later sup

Some people brain don block

Even Elrufia that said he prefers someone from southern side kws what he saw

Without the vote from southern north too can't enter

Why are you all acting like a fool praising the Fulani and Bandit like they're superior than you 🥴🥴

From what is reflecting from the political atmosphere.... I see President Tinubu winning 2027 Election....

GoodLife4live:
I have been reading different articles / permutations regard 2027 election , how El Rufai will single handedly convince the majority Northerners not to vote president Tinubu...

Before you take any stand regard to this...read this bellow


Here is a geo-political breakdown of the 2023 presidential election as I also in the past did that of 2015 and 2019.
The number of states each party won in each region is in bracket after their votes

North-West (7 states)

The presidential candidate of NNPP and the Vice Presidential candidate of LP are from this region.

1. APC - 2,652,235 (2). (40.18%)
2. LP - 350,182 (0). (5.31%)
3. NNPP - 1,268,250 (1). (19.22%)
4. PDP - 2,329,540 (4). (35.30%)
Total - 6,600,207 (4 main parties only)


North-East (6 states)

The Presidential Candidate of PDP and the Vice Presidential Candidate of APC are from this region

1. APC - 1,185,458 (1). (35.23%)
2. LP - 315,107 (0). (9.37%)
3. NNPP - 126,343. (0). (3.76%)
4. PDP - 1,737,846 (5). (51.65%)
Total - 3,364,754 (4 main parties only)

North-Central (6 states + FCT)

1. APC - 1,760,993. (4). (40.03%)
2. LP - 1,415,577. (2)+FCT. (32.18%)
3. NNPP - 60,056 (0). (1.37%)
4. PDP - 1,162,087 (0). (26.42%)
Total - 4,398,713 (4 main parties only)

North Total (19 states + FCT)
1. APC - 5,598,686 (7). (38.98%)
2. LP - 2,080,866 (2)+FCT. (14.49%)
3. NNPP - 1,454,649 (1). (10.13%)
4. PDP - 5,229,473 (9). (36.41%)
Total - 14,363,674 (4 main parties only)


South-West (6 states)

The presidential Candidate of APC is from this region

1. APC - 2,279,407. (4). (55.81%)
2. LP - 846,478. (1). (20.72%)
3. NNPP - 16,644 (0). (0.41%)
4. PDP - 941,941 (1). (23.06%)
Total - 4,084,470. (4 main parties only)

South-East (5 states)

The presidential candidate of LP is from this region

1. APC - 127,370 (0). (5.85%)
2. LP - 1,952,998. (5). (89.62%)
3. NNPP - 8,211. (0). (0.38%)
4. PDP - 90,698 (0). (4.16%)
Total - 2,179,277. (4 main parties only)

South-South (6 states)

The Vice Presidential Candidate of the PDP is from this region

1. APC - 799,957 (1). (29.14%)
2. LP - 1,210,675 (3). (44.09%)
3. NNPP - 17,167 (0). (0.63%)
4. PDP - 717,908 (2). (26.15%)
Total - 2,745,707. (4 main parties only)

South Total (17 states)
1. APC - 3,206,734 (5). (35.59%)
2. LP - 4,010,151 (9). (44.51%)
3. NNPP - 42,022. (0). (0.47%)
4. PDP - 1,750,547 (3). (19.43%)
Total - 9,009,454. (4 main parties only)

Abacha boasted more than that.