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Investment / Re: Stock Market: Questions And Answers by bankymi(m): 3:13pm On Nov 11, 2007
babaife:

@ Pumping
I think you have really missed the point. For an investor, the lower the projected PE of a company compared to others in the SAME sector, the better, provided the company has not cooked it's books. You are looking at the sentimental position of the Executives and Management of the company. Agreed PE cannot be used in isolation of course.

well, i believe our opinions differ because of our individual investment strategy and instinct. we saw the issue from " a buyer" and "a seller" point of view.

The arguement about possible takeover does not apply here. Takeovers in most cases will increase the value of a company. This could be a problem for the Executives and Management of the company who do not want to give up ownership but definitely not for the shareholders because they will end up being offered the fair value of their stocks. It could be an issue whereby the new owners decide to delist the company but that is a different story. The net result of a takeover for investors is the realization of the future benefit of a company before it is due.

I must say without ant fear of contradiction that NOT ALL ACQUISITION INCREASE THE SHAREHOLDERS WEALTH. In reality, the essence of due diligence is to ensure that a party to the acquisition is not a liability to the other. also both the targeted company and the acquirer must contact or appoint FINANCIAL CONSULTANTS to study the offer and ensure that the SHAREHOLDERS WEALTH will be increased else the deal is put off. we were all living witnesses how GULF BANK could not merge with the intercontinental group.

If Afribank is acquired by Access bank how is this a loss to the investors? The investors will have to be offered a fair value for their shares. This is in fact a very desirable position for any investor to be. Look at Standard bank and IBTC saga. Have investors lost out? Low PE or not, many companies are still being acquired. Even with a high PE a company is easy to acquire if the total value (capitalization) is low. In other words, being a small company, buying it is affordable for those that think they can do better with it (Ability to generate an even lower PE based on current prices).

it is also known practically that company's with lower PE than it competitors are good for any wealthy and healthy competitor to acquire. the assumption is that the management is NOT EFFICIENT ENOUGH to ginger the share price of such companies, hence under a new and efficient management team, the share price may go up and ultimately increases the PE. a company with a low PE is referred to as VALUE STOCK. all other things being equal, such company should have the ability to operate for the unforseeable future. @ pumping is an individual with an instinct to "acquire" companies with low PE. This is acceptable ONLY IF SUCH COMPANIES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW, ELSE THE INVESTMENT IS LOST

And what do you mean by saying the PE of a company is nose-diving? Nose diving is a negative term for something undesirable and should not be used for PE. PE could be falling because the price of the stock is crashing due to maybe some negative news that could impact the returns of the company in future. However, in this case, the projected income will be adjusted to reflect a more realistic PE.

Nose diving is a term is the most appropriate words when you hold a share whose PE continues to reduce in value. for instance, you bought a share when the PE is 20, any the last 3 quarterly results shows a PE of 15, 10, and 5. i ask what should an investor do? hold the shares till the PE becomes 2? you have to sell. the reduction in PE may be due to accurate information being made available in the market. How i wish i could explain better on CREATIVE ACCOUNTING and its EFFECTS on SHARE PRICE. A topic for another day

It is like saying the expenses or debts of a company is nose-diving. Is this not desired? grin

when expenses and debts nose dive, it is HIGHLY DESIRABLE because the effect is that earnings increase, share price increase, confidence in the management increases and ULTIMATELY, PE INCREASES

Having a low PE ratio does not imply that a company is WEAK. It simply means that it is likely to be undervalued and it could also be a target for investors which will eventually increase the price due to bargain hunters. If the projected PE of Zenith banks drops to 10, tell me wether the price will not rise or someone will not try to acquire it. Either of these will benefit the current owners of the stock.
A Weak or Low PE is a value stock. it is one of the criteria to adjudge the efficiency of the management team. investors WANT TO BUY SHARES WITH LOW PE THAT HAVE THE ABILITY TO GROW OVER TIME, BUT DO NOT WANT TO SEE THEIR SHARES PE DROP. or what is the point in buying a share whose PE is likely to drop?


babaife,
I really dont understand why you are deliberately complicating issues.pumping 777 gave out the facts in very simple words.There should be no contest on all he said because they are facts.over elaboration could be a problem for neophytes who depend on this forum for education on such issues.
Low PE means a coy is attractive(all things being equal)
acquisition is good for shareholders(all things being equal)
you said low PE will expose a coy to a takeover.This simply means that the low PE has generated interest on its being a bargain.
I dont think(my opinion)there is anything like weak PE.Its either low or high.

I dont know anyone else that will create any argument from the basic FACTS Pumping777 has presented.
This is my own widow's  mite.
Investment / Re: Stocks That Can Make You Rich In 2007 by bankymi(m): 5:59pm On Nov 08, 2007
wanaj0:

Bank BHP did a share reconstruction. As at 26th April, the price was 5.43. On the 27th of April it was 17.10. It was the same thing that ACCESS did. After the private placement and merger with Habib, the issued share was so huge that without share reconstruction, no way the share price will move up!
wanajo,
Thanks wanajo for buttressing that point for me.
The truth is share reconstruction was good for access bank as it was for bank BHP.Im not saying SR will always be good.But i dont believe it will always be bad.
Investment / Re: Stocks That Can Make You Rich In 2007 by bankymi(m): 5:53pm On Nov 08, 2007
RoughCut:

Correct me if i'm wrong this share reconstruction for bank PHB is not technically a reverse split there was a merger between habib bank and Platinum and they exchanged the shares between the two banks' shareholders in the ratio you mentioned and that's how bank PHB came to be. Check again there was no share recosntruction.

ACCESS did a share reconstruction 2 for 1(may be as a result of the banks they acquired) by doubling the price and reducing in half the shares outstanding so that way the shareholders do not see a reduction in the value of their holding this is is no way comparable to the situation with habib and platinum
roughcut,
You are very wrong.Habib and platinum bank merger happened long before the SR.In 2005 to be precise.They only did the SR to reduce the number of outstanding shares EXACTLY what access bank did.the article below will tell you that

Source: This Day Nigeria
Bank PHB has concluded the reconstruction of its shares. This has seen the bank reduce total shares in issue to 6.4 billion ordinary shares from about 19 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo. Shareholders are expected to be issued one ordinary share each in exchange for every three shares they hold.

The total value of the holdings of shareholders in Bank PHB will not however be affected by the share reconstruction as the market value of bank will be adjusted to reflect the new number of shares in issue. This will see the bank's market price triple as the number of shares of the bank reduces. With the lower number of shares now in issue, shareholders are also expected to get higher value as the bank's earnings per share and dividend per share are also expected to triple. Share reconstruction is usually done to enhance the returns shareholders receive.

Bank PHB is a 2005 merger of Platinum Bank Plc and Habib Nigeria Bank Limited, which had resulted in the issuance of extra number of shares by Platinum Bank to shareholders of Habib Bank to accommodate them in the new bank. Following the announcement of the reconstruction exercise, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) placed Bank PHB shares on technical suspension. The technical suspension means Bank PHB's shares will not be traded on the NSE until all formalities on the share reconstruction is completed. Insiders familiar with the share reconstruction procedure say as soon as the NSE is informed that all processes have been completed and new share certificates are being dispatched to shareholders, the current suspension placed on trading on the bank 's shares will be lifted.

Meanwhile Bank PHB, will today celebrate one year of launch of its unique brand, which has continued to receive tremendous acclaim. Within just a year of its emergence, the Bank PHB brand has emerged as the benchmark brand in the Nigeria banking industry winning several awards in the process.

The bank's high visibility has been enhanced by a sterling financial performance, which has seen both profits and assets double while retaining a high level of efficiency in its operations. The bank's share price has also more than doubled within the period emerging as one of the top twenty most capitalized stocks at end of January on the NSE.
 
Source: This Day Nigeria
Investment / Re: Stocks That Can Make You Rich In 2007 by bankymi(m): 5:10pm On Nov 08, 2007
RoughCut:

I hope you are not relying on share reconstruction to jerk up the share price. Its always been a bad move look at ACCESS the price has not left the N19 mark since lifting TS and its going to dip when share certs are sent out because a lot of peeps would like to sell to realise the profits from the PO
Roughcut,
I will say you are very wrong on this one.That share reconstruction is ALWAYS a bad move is very incorrect.It was after access bank did their SR that they started to record appreciable raise in their share price,based on more profit of course.fidelity bank is now planning to take a step access took one year ago and im very sure that would be good for them.beside that,the bank phb that you have rightly identified to be a very good one also did 3-1(access was only 2-1) share reconstruction back in december 2006.And it was after that that their share price began to surge.
Business / Re: Access Bank Offer @n14.90k - Would You Invest? by bankymi(m): 3:11am On Aug 03, 2007
Analysts,
Its so unfortunate and almost shameful to read your take on access bank.Nairaland is a public forum like you know.I think one will only be doing the normal thing by checking and double checking one's posting for 2 reasons.one,so that one will not misinform vulnerable people.Two,so that one will not disgrace oneself(think of a sane person dancing in a village square unaware that his zip is undone and his manhood is exposed).You have just done both.
Access bank did their share reconstruction in october 2006 when their shares were trading at N3.00K and the stock was re listed on thursday october 26 2006 at N6.00.I bought some units at N3 and some at N6.77 after the share reconstruction.I dont know where you were when the price was moving between your N6.50 and N13.00.
Im not joining issues with you on how desirable or otherwise access bank is but i care about the quality of information you put into the public domain.Why?Because this is a very good forum that a lot of people rely on for information.Pls dont make guesses.
I dont really know why Easimoni did not find this out.
I think seun should make effort to ban people like analyst.
Investment / Re: A Public Offer You Cannot Refuse by bankymi(m): 12:19am On Jun 08, 2007
hello guys,
I think a lot of guys do not even know that access bank share reconstruction was done abt 8 months ago.i dont think its fair to say they are trying to fleece people on the back of share reconstruction.ive got some shares in access bank but my problem is,i dont think its right to come to the market with a price reached because of people's speculative buying as a result of the eagerly anticipated end of year result.And,i dont think the nse should have allowed that.
A question for the gurus in the house.since access bank is on technical suspension,how and when will adjustments be made to their share price after they have declared dividend and/or bonus.i believe they should have come to the market days or weeks after such declaration.N14.90 is not fair for access bank.
Frank,u have been so quite of late.I hope u are ok.
Investment / Ikeja Hotels Ipo by bankymi(m): 9:12pm On Apr 06, 2007
HELLO GUYS,
DOES ANYONE KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT IKEJA HOTELS IPO.ITS BEEN QUITE A LONG TIME AND NO NEWS YET ABOUT THE OUTCOME OR LISTING OF THE SHARES.ANY INFORMATION WILL BE APPRECIATED.THANKS
Investment / Re: Stock Brokers In Nigeria by bankymi(m): 7:52pm On Jan 02, 2007
kbaba 12,
At the rate of N7 for access bank,your share is now worth N10,500.If u bought the stock in september,that wld be b4 the bank's capital reconstruction which was done to reduce the no of shares by 50 per cent.whatever no of shares u had b4 would now be divided by 2.
Investment / Re: Stock Brokers In Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 3:30pm On Aug 23, 2006
yomyom,
Thats very true abt ist bank.Im also having d same problem at d moment.The problem is,ist bank share price was adjusted recently due to the bonus issued to shareholders.That is why d price came down,but even with dat people are not ready to flog it at the current price(cheap) and that explains why its scarce 4 now.If u trust d broker u can leave d money with him so that he can buy 4 u when its available.otherwise,u can collect d money and give it someone u trust in nigeria who will make it available to d stockbroker anytime d stock is in d market.
Investment / Re: Stock Brokers In Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 12:49pm On Aug 22, 2006
yomyom,
write ist in full.www.firstglobalselect.com
Investment / Re: Stock Brokers In Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 12:45pm On Aug 22, 2006
hi yomyom
i doubt if that one is working.go 2 www.istglobalselect.com,www.africanfinancialmarkets.com,www.africancapitalmarkets.com.also if u go to nigeriaworld.com,the individual newspapers highlghts the stock price at the top or bottom of each page.
Investment / Re: Stock Brokers In Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 4:17pm On Aug 19, 2006
Seun,im really disappointed by your response to this topic.I can never know where u got that idea from.its totally misleading and utterly fallacious.Forum like this give people the opportunity to get valuable information,brainstorm and share experiences.And that is why i like nairaland.i checked d name so many times b4 i was convinced it was u.Ive read so many sagacious and incisive contributions from u.U got this wrong!I live in london and i monitor nigeria stocks on d internet everyday.Ive made a lot of investment in the stock market and ive made a fortune.Ive also got so many friends who have made even more.
The fundamental issue is to be involved by yourself.Get as much information as u can and make yourself conversant with the market.Its a goldmine.
Seun never even explained why he came to that conclusion.I respect everybodys opinion but we need to explain why, so that the choice of what to do will be left to people who requested information.
Business / Re: How Do Credit Cards Work? by bankymi(m): 1:21pm On Jul 09, 2006
Jackal,
Yes,people like Akolawole like making monkeys of themselves.I hope he has read your own informed contribution.We are on this forum to learn and exchange ideas But that is not a mandate for any Tom,Dick and Harry to open their mouth and say jargons.Some people can be misinformed or disinformed by this handful of loudmouths.
And,i dont think we shld take Beyonce to the cleaners just because of this.Although i agree that she made a big error by not quoting her source.But atleast it was very educative.
Business / Re: How Do Credit Cards Work? by bankymi(m): 11:20pm On Jul 08, 2006
Akolawole,
To be honest,you only succeded in making a goofy contribution.And i think its wise to stay off discussions if one does not have any idea on the topic.i see no reason when you shoul query cream 2 who made a compedious and accurate explanation of how a credit card works.The two points tou highlighted were wrong.One,i have a friend who is not a homeowner but has a credit limit of 11000.Two,i have been using credit cards 4 more than 5 years so i know they dont charge u when u use them to pay for goods.besides,cream2 only used 10000 as an hypothetical example.He said"say 10000, " May be the problem with some people is english!well done Beyonce1 for your explanation.You must be a banker!
The key thing about credit cards is discipline.If u are not,pls dont go near it!
Romance / Re: Good Job Or Good Wife: Which Is Harder To Find? by bankymi(m): 11:50pm On Jun 14, 2006
ka!you are the one!What else can i say?You have actually said it all.Let anyone who has ears listen to you.
And talking about the right places to find the good ones,the bad ones know those places.Be informed now that they are there lurking around the corners waiting to pounce on you.Don't say i didnt tell you!
Politics / Re: CBN Bill Bans Spraying Of Naira Notes by bankymi(m): 11:32pm On Jun 14, 2006
What do you feel about the Nigerian senate's rejection of the bill?
Politics / Re: Who Should Be the Next President of Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 10:35pm On Jun 12, 2006
Who is ojukwu?He does not believe in the unity of Nigeria.He is more of "igborian" than a Nigerian.
Politics / Re: Who Should Be the Next President of Nigeria? by bankymi(m): 7:34pm On Jun 11, 2006
i want u guys to look closely, both on and outside the present political terrain and tell me who  you think should take over the mantle of leadership of Nigeria come 2007.

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