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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 11:26am On Jul 12 |
naturalflow: Lmao, read my past posts |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 9:36am On Jul 12 |
naturalflow:Bascar |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 8:11pm On Jul 10 |
mikeapollo:I exited oando last quarter at 15. With a 40% gain and I also posted what I bought with the proceeds. As at today I don’t own any Oando and I’ve stated clearly why. You can read my old posts. It’s all there in public |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 1:38pm On Jul 10 |
BullBearMkt: I will be more detailed next time. Thanks . Didn't even reason it like that before. I love this forum, iron truly sharpen iron. Lots of bright minds to learn from here. 3 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 12:45pm On Jul 10 |
BullBearMkt: Please o, I didn’t say it’s dead because the founder is dead. The founder was a very intelligent woman. But even when she was alive, the company had serious debt issues which they are struggling with now. I ignored the “not God” comment cause I’ve decided not to be emotional again on this thread. After all, it’s not my money they are using to trade. I’m happy he did DD and saw that they have lost assets. Thank me later. Further DD adviced |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:25am On Jul 10 |
megawealth01: This one, I know on good authority, is a dead company now. Hasn’t been the same since the founder died. DD advised |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:16am On Jul 10 |
onegentleguy: I have a crush on your brain 1 Like |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:35pm On Jul 07 |
1 Like |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 6:02pm On Jul 06 |
ositadima1: Please show us where the person said they know all strategies. I’ll be waiting 9 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 5:59pm On Jul 06 |
emmanuelewumi: bovali: That’s why I said nobody should dm me. If you have questions, ask it here. I don’t want anybody’s money. I’m not charging any fee. I’m here to learn and share what I know. One person can’t have it all. Only reason I shared my portfolio (which in a way i regret now) was because street investor kept quoting all my posts with share your own, share your own. I probably was emotional at the time, but it got to me. 11 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 4:52pm On Jul 06 |
Adinije:I always wait for promotions before I buy. Cause it’s them looking for money. There’s no app that won’t give you discount, just download it and use it for two week minimum, and they will try to convince you to pay cheaper. Even LinkedIn. Chat gpt that is 20 us a month, I pay just 6 dollars monthly 2 Likes
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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 3:43pm On Jul 06 |
cocolacec: I use IB - https://www.interactivebrokers.com/ although I’m not sure they allow Nigerians. I had to by pass it by using my friends utility bill and set my country to Ghana. 5 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 2:31pm On Jul 06 |
megawealth01:Hmm
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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 2:24pm On Jul 06 |
cocolacec: https://trade.investnow.ng/customers/ - for trading Investing.com - Analysis (This cost me 3,500 Naira a month). Cause it’s a fast way to get some information I need. https://ngxgroup.com/ - For corporate actions, disclosures, financial statements etc 4 Likes 1 Share |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 2:19pm On Jul 06 |
Mankind2024:Sorry for the late response. Had to break it down so you understand what I mean. By understanding options data, you’re able to predict to an 87% rate the price movement of us stocks. At the moment for Sp500, it has strong support of 5,300, but models are pointing to a tag of 5600 before any retracements. Section 1: The Derivatives & Options Markets **The Derivatives Market** - Think of derivatives like a promise about the future price of something, like making a bet on what the weather will be like next week. People use these bets to protect themselves or to try to make money. **The Options Market** - Options are a special kind of bet where you can buy or sell something at a specific price before a certain date. It's like having a coupon to buy a toy at a special price before your birthday. **Market Makers** - Market makers are like the people who always have toys to buy or sell in the store. They make sure there's always someone to trade with, so you can always use your coupon. **Option Expiration (OPEX)** - Options have a last day when you can use them, like a coupon with an expiration date. If you don't use it by then, it becomes useless. **Settlement of SPX Options** - When the expiration date comes, people settle their bets. For SPX options, which are based on the stock market's performance, this means figuring out who won and who lost their bets. ### Section 2: How to Use Option Greeks **Options Greeks** - These are like different ways to measure your bet's value and how it might change. Think of them as tools that help you understand your bet better. **Option Moneyness** - This tells you if your bet is winning, losing, or close. It's like being ahead, behind, or tied in a race. **Delta** - Delta is like how fast your race car is going. It shows how much your bet's value changes when the price of the toy (or stock) changes a little bit. **Delta Hedging** - This is like balancing on a seesaw. If the toy's price changes, you adjust your bets to stay balanced. **Gamma** - Gamma shows how fast Delta changes. It's like knowing if your race car is speeding up or slowing down. **Theta** - Theta is about time. It shows how your bet's value changes as you get closer to the expiration date, like knowing how much time is left on your coupon. **Volatility & Vega** - Volatility is how jumpy the toy's price is, like the weather being unpredictable. Vega shows how much your bet's value changes with this jumpiness. **Option Valuation (Black-Scholes Model)** - This is a math formula that helps people figure out how much their bets are worth, like a calculator for options. **Greeks in Action** - Using these tools (Greeks) helps you understand and manage your bets better, like using a map to navigate a treasure hunt. ### Section 3: Term Structure, Skew & Tail Risk **Term Structure** - This shows how the price of options changes over different expiration dates, like seeing how the price of a toy changes over time. **Skew** - Skew shows if more people are betting on prices going up or down, like seeing if more kids think it will rain or be sunny. **Tail Risk** - Tail risk is about rare but big changes in price, like being prepared for a big storm. ### Section 4: Market Making & Liquidity **Following Liquidity** - Liquidity means how easy it is to buy or sell something. Following liquidity is like knowing when the toy store is full of toys so you can buy or sell easily. ### Section 5: Options Trading **How I use Models** - I use python to design models which factor all this information to help me make better bets, like having a strategy guide. **Checklist for Trading Options** - This is a list of things to check before making a bet, like making sure you have everything you need before going on a trip. It’s very important that you have one. ### Section 6: Options Strategies **Advanced Strategies with Options** - These are smart ways to use options to try to make more money or protect yourself, like having secret moves in a game. Not gonna reveal mine. **Bullish Strategies** - These are bets that the price will go up, like betting your favorite team will win. **Bearish Strategies** - These are bets that the price will go down, like betting your favorite team will lose. **Market Neutral Strategies** - These bets make money no matter if prices go up or down, like having a plan for any weather. You can Google straddle to understand more. **Hedging Strategies** - These are ways to protect yourself from losing too much, like having an umbrella in case it rains. I.e. insurance 8 Likes 1 Share |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 6:45pm On Jul 05 |
nosa2:Makes sense. Will adopt this |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 6:33pm On Jul 05 |
Streetinvestor2: I’m not sharing portfolio again. Make nobody send me mail. If you have question ask me here |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 6:49pm On Jul 04 |
Streetinvestor2: If it closes above 16, expect a continuous rally to your 20 naira level after which 16 will begin to act as the new support level for any downturns. |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 5:33pm On Jul 04 |
naturalflow: Yes. It’s been priced in. Rally like this tomorrow again, let’s see. Till you pass N16, nothing will happen |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 2:10pm On Jul 04 |
bovali:Just finished my research. Summary: Not worth it. It’s illiquid in JSE. Just 20k units traded on average, so can’t find units to buy |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 12:16pm On Jul 04 |
Mankind2024: No be arbitrage be that? Buy JSE, transfer and sell NSE? Let me see if i can get these details (Transaction Costs, Currency Exchange Rates, Regulatory Considerations, Execution Speed) 1 Like |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 12:12pm On Jul 04 |
PETERiCHY:I didn't hear anyone say anything when CWG went on full offer |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 12:11pm On Jul 04 |
yMcy56:Remember this (25 days never pass?): https://businessday.ng/news/article/fg-to-settle-n1-7trn-gencos-debt-in-25-days/ |
Autos / Re: SOLD...DISTRESS..2014 Tokunbo Lexus GX460 @ 35m by bovali(f): 10:23am On Jul 04 |
[quote author=lolly24000 post=130787852][/quote] You never ready, when you don ready, you go drop mileage |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:17am On Jul 04 |
mikeapollo: I understand where you’re coming from completely. And I agree with you. But till that time, the q1 and q2 will at least give confirmation. But for this quarter, unless it enters my target zone then nothing. If oando breaks 16 Naira, and closes above it, the. 20 Naira is very possible in the short term like street investor said |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:14am On Jul 04 |
mikeapollo: All who have previously declared force majeure and is why Nigeria has one of the highest cost of oil production in the world. Cause instead of using pipelines, we are trucking and barging crude oil. The ones enjoying are the ones with deep water oil fields as they don’t get disturbed as much. I wish I could share some of these O&G reports. We used to comfortably do over 2m barrels a day, now if we get 1-1.5m we are lucky 2 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:06am On Jul 04 |
PETERiCHY: God bless you. |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:04am On Jul 04 |
mikeapollo:Q1 is coming out in September, when will Q3 and full 24 come out? That’s my point, if I know they will release loss in the coming Q1, I might as well wait and trade the support and resistance zones again. It has nothing to do with future prospects, it’s money I’m trying to make. 2 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:00am On Jul 04 |
Omooloriredade: All these are long term and uncertain. Niger Delta is not where you will use force to get what you want. If they don’t get it right, they will waste money on fixing old pipelines that were previously bombed and it will get bombed again once there is small community disagreement. I personally know what the gas industry is struggling with right now with regards protecting its pipelines. All in all, I pray we get this right. If Nigeria doesn’t work for me, it must work for my children 2 Likes |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 9:56am On Jul 04 |
Omooloriredade:The models that I use have been accurate so far. When oando came up on the model, I did my DD. Debt aside, the only issue wrong with oando like I said previously is mismanagement. They gave Fg loan, acquired agip for peanuts but nothing changed in their books aside FX gain. The market moves in both directions on momentum, I was just advising the short term traders that want to play the volatile swing we’ve seen in the last one year. Dd advised 1 Like |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 9:49am On Jul 04 |
yMcy56: We’re saying the same thing. No financial statements till September |
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 11:36pm On Jul 03 |
Streetinvestor2: bovali: bovali: bovali: The difference between me and you is that I have no emotional attachment to any stock. Show your workings. My history is here in this thread. You cannot put words into my mouth. I am extremely objective. Let Oando close above 16 Naira first. Till then, it will continue moving sideways. See my trades from last quarter. I exited at 15 and entered other stocks that are now rallying as you can see from the portfolio I posted, while oando has not moved once 2 Likes
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