Copied this from another forum. Someone's estimated CRS cut off based on selected possibilities as regards draw date. With the anxiety that comes with waiting for the next draw, I've also joined in making some analysis and if anything, this analysis right here seems logical

After 18th September draw with 3,600 ITA issued and cut off 462, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -655)
451-600 =7,277(10,222-2,945)
441-450= 8,645

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of September 27, 2019 CRS score range
Number of candidates
601-1,200 =579
451-600 =8,946
441-450 =8,704

It means in 9 days from Sep 18th to Sep 27th, there where:
601-1,200 = 64 profile/day (579/9days)

451-600 = 185 prof/day (8,946-7277 = 1,669/9days)

441-450 = 7 prof/day(8,704-8,645= 59/9days)

So, by 2nd October, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=839(579+260(47x 5days))
451-600=9,871(8,946+925(185x5days))
441-450= 8,739 (8,704+35(7x5days))

After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)
441-450= 8,739

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019 are:
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833

It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)

451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)

441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)


So, by 23rdth October, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=1,193(509 + 684(57x12days))
451-600=13,400(9,632+3,768(314x12d)
441-450= 8,953(8,833+120(10x12days))

Suppose that from the newly added 6,590 (2,822+3,768) profile from 2nd Oct to 23rd Oct, it will be distributed equally to (451 - 476 to 600) as seen in the internal tracker. Thus,it will make 6,590/26=253profile/score.

With 3,900 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 466-467
3,900 minus:
-1193(601-1200)
-253 (of 476-600 newly added score)
-253 (of 475 newly added score)
-253 (of 474 newly added score)
-253 (of 473 newly added score)
-253 (of 472 newly added score)
-253 (of 471 newly added score)
-253 (of 470 newly added score)
-253 (of 469 newly added score)
-253 (of 468 newly added score)
-253 (of 467 newly added score)
-177 (of 466 newly added score)


By 30th October, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=1,592(509+1083(57x19days)
451-600=15,598(9,632+5,966(314x19d)
441-450= 9,023(8,833+190(10x19days))

Suppose that from the newly added 8,788 (2,822+5,966) profile from 2nd Oct to 30th Oct, it will be distributed equally to (451 - 476 to 600) as seen in the internal tracker. Thus,it will make 8,788/26=338profile/score.


With 3,900 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 470-471
3,900 minus:
-1,592(601-1200)
-338 (of 476-600 newly added score)
-338 (of 475 newly added score)
-338 (of 474 newly added score)
-338 (of 473 newly added score)
-338 (of 472 newly added score)
-338 (of 471 newly added score)
-280 (of 338 of 470 newly added score)

ladymarshall:
@bold does not influence your crs score

That bolded part influences the score na. She can claim relative points with it..

Oh wait, "Dad's cousin"?? That sounds like distant relative. I doubt she can claim those 15 points

wale200:


Pls I'm not lazy. I just wanted to be sure. There are options that keep confusing me there. Pls help me House.

honestly, this journey requires you taking the initiative. You can run the simulation and then tell us where you feel you could be wrong and we'll help from there

bankyh1905:
@Bolded: No it's not. It has an expiry period of 5 years. I was looking at my card as I typed this response.
@Italicized: Not yet. It's not linked to any form of "social insurance" for now.

PS: Wikipedia is not always a dependable source of info.

No, not really. The card is what expires but not the number. The number stays with you for life until the person is pronounced dead. Even after, the number cannot be reassigned to another person. It's on their website https://www.nimc.gov.ng/about-nin/

Kolping:
Well it depends. If you (and your family) are no longer going to use your Nigerian passport or renouce your Nigerian citizenship or have anything to do with Nigeria in the future such as bank accounts, landed property, etc. then you can forget about it.

Oh Wow. That's explanatory. Gracias..

One more thing, I got mine back in 2012 in school. It's still valid right?

Kolping:
Ensure you obtain the National Identification Number (NIN) for all members of your family before you leave for Canada.

https://www.nairaland.com/5478442/candidates-2020-jamb-register-national#83234336

https://www.nimc.gov.ng/docs/MandatoryNIN_Gazetted_2017.pdf

This may sound naïve, but is it needed in Canada?

Nekarr:
Hello all.
please I'm about to begin my journey and i need guidance.
I'm a Lawyer (diploma in law, LLB and BL)
please advice me on the best body to use for my assessment, bearing in mind my profession.
I also need advice on whether i am to evaluate the three degrees, especially the Diploma through which i got into school to study law.
Thank you.

Check Page 1 of this thread. Read it carefully to make no mistakes

WaleCanada:


If they

Oh they will brother, judging by the latest polls. The only thing is that, there won't be a majority govt

Congrats to all PPR clinchers @Bogini, @izzie06 et al. Seems this part 9 would favour us with plenty plenty PPRs

Prisscindy:
Please, is that crs tool really accurate or it's just an estimate? Because I used it without putting my spouse's ielts, ECA and work experience, only my details and the score is quite high. High enough to get me an ITA with the most recent score.

If you have an MSC, High IELTS score and 3years work exp, it should be high

This really sucks. If it shoots above 470 in the next draw, will it eventually come down?

BishopHNO:


Add extra N7,500 for each family member that has tribal marks as hepatitis will be tested.

LMAO really? I thought hepatitis was already part of the test in the first place?

bankyh1905:
It's too early to expect a draw. It's to be expected till the day is over.

oh Lol. I thought it was from tuesday midnight Canadian time which is like 5 or 6am Nigerian time. A little excited cos I just jumped into the pool

Guys, no draws today?

cochtrane:

This is a tricky one. Your letter apparently doesn't meet the requirements for a work reference letter. You'd need to find a way to have them put the contacts of the HR person on that letter or at least obtain his/her business card and attach that to the letter. There's got to be a way people reach them, right?

Okay, I'll go back and see if they can work on it. Thanks

Good evening family. Pls I have 2 issues as regards my reference letter. During my nysc, I worked in an intelligence agency and when they provided a reference letter, they didn't include a phone number or email address (don't know if it's for security reasons). So I'm wondering how IRCC can contact them for verification if need be

Secondly, when writing the date I worked there, they didn't spell out the day, they only wrote from month this to month that with the years.

Pls what can I do? Can I go ahead and submit the letter like that? Do I raise a LOE?