SonofDevil:
it doesn't change the fact that you Igbos play clannish politics unlike north.
Thats why people like ugwuanyi,ikpeazu re winning second term.
Majority of non- performing govs in north whether APC or pdp didn't return in 2019

SonofDevil:
pdp was only controlling south east and south south prior 2015 election.

Northern PDP caucus have already collapsed their political structure into APC merger.

In 2023 pdp is not getting APC northern caucus political structure so they can stop dreaming

SonofDevil:
Drunk clown

Kano urban areas alone covers 251km unlike aba total size of 72km

JaroMan:

You're the chairman of northern PDP caucus? You think I'm a neophyte that run permutations and combinations on things that are glaring? I don't waste my time of beer parlor gossip.

san316:
We read this kind of analysis prior to 2015 and 2019, but the rest they say is history.

Ogbuefi2020:

i meant onitsha not aba , onitsha urban area is only second to lagos , kano huge population is rural

SonofDevil:
ipob bureau of statistics.

Onitsha is 52km while kano urban alone area is 251km.

Kano city in total is 499km

SonofDevil:
ipob bureau of statistics.

Onitsha is 52km while kano urban alone area is 251km.

Kano city in total is 499km

Ogbuefi2020:

according to demographia 2021 report onitsha urban is 6.9million while kano urban is 4.6,million , note that population matters more than land mass as one plot in ontsha contain 10flats

SonofDevil:
where is the link to your source ipob bureau of statsitics.

Ogbuefi2020:

urban area is different from ,city you are not familiar with the ,east please check demographia

Ogbuefi2020:

https://www.nairaland.com/6602365/nigerias-largest-built-up-urban-areas

Ogbuefi2020:
Worse case scenerio SE igbos will concecede vp ticket to a SS igbo , yorubas will mock SE but we wont care , akeredulu attempt to use se/ss for tinubu has been destroyed . What SE needs to flourish is a just and fair government

SonofDevil:
pa shukudi that's not how it works.
Political structure is what delivers for party . popularity of candidate is just added bonus.

If yardua and gej didn't inherit a good political structure from obj they wouldn't have beaten Buhari in 2007 and 2011.

Gej lost pdp north caucus politcal structure thats why he lost.

PDP is yet to recover the political structure till date

seunmsg:
Igbo man, be rest assured that nobody will give SE the APC ticket. Go to PDP and make your demand, that is where you sowed your votes so it shouldn't be too difficult to reap the presidential ticket of the party. APC will win the next presidential election irrespective of where the party candidate comes from. SE is inconsequential in determining who becomes the president so nobody gives a fvck about your threat. You don't have the votes to stop APC.

SonofDevil:
it doesn't change the fact that you Igbos play clannish politics unlike north.
Thats why people like ugwuanyi,ikpeazu re winning second term.
Majority of non- performing govs in north whether APC or pdp didn't return in 2019

Penguin2:


On what structure did Olusegun Mimiko depend on to win Ondo under Labour Party(LP) in 2007?

On what structure did Governor Abdulrazaq of Kwara depend on to win Kwara in 2019 and defeat the Saraki dynasty; a well known structure?

On what structure did Obaseki depend on to win re-election in Edo when almost every political heavyweight in the state was in APC?

Sometimes you reason like a child. Because you keep forgetting the people factor in all these.

No politician will lead any electorate by the hand on the day of election.

Penguin2:


So what you are telling us is that your Southwest candidate will be depending on the benevolence of northern voters to win, right? And if in 2023 the north decides to be clannish and support one of their own then it’s game over for Yoruba candidate.

Or is there anywhere else you would expecting miracle from?

SonofDevil:


Mimiko had a good political structure and had alliance with tinubu political structure in ondo 2007.

Abdulrazaq had acn,cpc,and pdp political structure. Immediately saraki defected to pdp, pdp led by their chairman collaspe thier structure to Apc.


Obaseki used both Apc (defector) and PDP political structure in Edo to win.

SonofDevil:
north re not clannish with politcs.
While abiola a southerner was beating tofa in North
Clannish igbos voted tofa a northerner ahead of abiola a southerner

SonofDevil:
you re confused. Urban area is a developed part of a city.

Kano city total landmass is 499km
Aba city total landmass is 72km
Onitsha city is 52km

If you add together the whole urbanised part of aba and onitsha together it is not up to half of kano urban areas.
Kano urban areas covers 251km out of 499km

seunmsg:
Igbo man, be rest assured that nobody will give SE the APC ticket. Go to PDP and make your demand, that is where you sowed your votes so it shouldn't be too difficult to reap the presidential ticket of the party. APC will win the next presidential election irrespective of where the party candidate comes from. SE is inconsequential in determining who becomes the president so nobody gives a fvck about your threat. You don't have the votes to stop APC.

SonofDevil:
north re not clannish with politcs.
While abiola a southerner was beating tofa in North
Clannish igbos voted tofa a northerner ahead of abiola a southerner

seunmsg:


Dude, you’re free to say whatever makes you sleep well at night. It doesn’t change the reality on ground. Atiku won’t be president and Peter Obi won’t be Vice President.

naijapips04:


Oga tinubu will never get the ticket.

Fahdiga:
Don't play God coz you are not. All you said is not cast on stone and you don't know the direction the pendulum might swing tomorrow. Again don't play God

seunmsg:


Yeah, it will be given to Peter Obi.

Penguin2:


You must have mistaken my article to mean me begging APC to zone its ticket to Southeast. Far from that dear brother.

I was just laying bare the reality that APC finds itself in right now.

Nothing is cast in stone, but you can’t be too hopeful that a Tinubu or an Osinbajo would garner more votes in the north than an Atiku or a Tambuwal.

And there’s no way the votes of the entire Southwest would come close to the votes of Southsouth and Southeast combined.

We have not put into consideration the fact that states like Oyo that has PDP governor might split its votes.

Add the fact that almost half of Lagos voters are Igbos.

Plus that Ondo has always tilted towards PDP.

Now where will the Southwest candidate get the numbers?

Don’t be emotional, try to be practical, pragmatic and realistic.

Penguin2:


So what you are telling us is that your Southwest candidate will be depending on the benevolence of northern voters to win, right? And if in 2023 the north decides to be clannish and support one of their own then it’s game over for Yoruba candidate.

Or is there anywhere else you would expecting miracle from?

Penguin2:


So you accept that after 12 years of APC in Edo, PDP still had structure?

But 8 years of APC and PDP structure has collapsed in the North?

PDP has no structure in the north and Ganduje had to depend on twisted rerun to win re-election after PDP candidate defeated him in the first count?

PDP has no structure in the north but Simon Lalong had to go on a rerun with PDP candidate in Plateau state?

PDP has no structure in the north but it reclaimed Adamawa and Bauchi from APC?

Penguin2:


You didn’t answer my question...

There’s always a first time for anything under the sun. So let’s assume in 2023 the north decides to play clannish politics and votes a northerner under PDP, where else would your Yoruba candidate hope on?