Sammy07:
Lol. Some of una go add sleep inside your room and be predicting results of order regions.

Wait till January.

Innocentman86:
So who now win, because I know except through rigging Yoruba Muslim vote based on triballism will not be enough to make the sick,old, corruptt,derty drug pusha asiwa juju worshipper to win.
My bet is on obi or atiku.
Although atiku is not a saint but compared to Tinubu atiku is Mile's better.
Atiku is less detribalised,listener, unifier,and has love for the rich ss/se region.
While emiolokan is a thieff, kriminal,and a Killa of northerners through opc and hates ss/se with passion.

Innocentman86:
So who now win, because I know except through rigging Yoruba Muslim vote based on triballism will not be enough to make the sick,old, corruptt,derty drug pusha asiwa juju worshipper to win.
My bet is on obi or atiku.
Although atiku is not a saint but compared to Tinubu atiku is Mile's better.
Atiku is less detribalised,listener, unifier,and has love for the rich ss/se region.
While emiolokan is a thieff, kriminal,and a Killa of northerners through opc and hates ss/se with passion.

LeoDeKing:

Chinedu, Don't mind the op.

The prediction should have given Peter Obi 100% in SE and 85% in other zones so our flat brains can be happy.

Workch:
1. Southwest
Tinubu: 55%
Peter Obi: 25%
Atiku: 10%
Others: 10%

Tinubu will win because people will vote here for tribal reasons and he has loyalists. However, Obi will be second because a lot of people here also want change and are tired of Tinubu’s godfatherism hence Peter Obi will get 25%.

2. Southsouth
Obi: 50%
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 10%
Others: 10%

This region will vote for Peter Obi massively, however their elites in PDP will also steal a lot of votes for Atiku, Tinubu is not popular here. He will get some votes in crossrivers state.

3. Northwest
Atiku: 40%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwaso: 20%
Obi: 10%
Others: 5%

This region usually vote a northerner since 1999, no a northerner always win here. However, APC elites will steal some votes for Tinubu but he will not win here. Kwankwaso will pull some vote here because he’s popular in this region. Majority of Obi’s votes will come from non-indigenes.

4. Northeast
Atiku: 45%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwaso: 15%
Obi: 10%
Others: 5%

Atiku will win his region for obvious reasons. Borno will give Tinubu a lot of votes because of Shettima . Kwankwaso is also popular here.

5. Southeast
Obi: 70%
Atiku: 20%
Others: 10%

We al know what will happen here, people here not only feel that obi is the most competent but they also feel that they have been obviously marginalized for so long. Atiku will come second because people still vote PDP here.

6. North central
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 30%
obi: 30%
Others: 10%

This is the most unpredictable region, kwara and kogi will give Tinubu votes, Abuja and Benue, Plateau , Nasarawa will give Obi votes, Benue, Nasarawa and Niger will give Atiku votes.

mrvitalis:

If this is true then either obi edges it or a rerun with atiku

Workch:
Atiku will edge from what I can see or a rerun with Obi.

It’s hard for Tinubu because he’s winning depends on beating Atiku in the north and Obi in southsouth and southeast. That’s a tall order

Workch:
Atiku will edge from what I can see or a rerun with Obi.

It’s hard for Tinubu because he’s winning depends on beating Atiku in the north and Obi in southsouth and southeast. That’s a tall order

ChangetheChange:
All permutations, odds, projections and reality on ground tilt towards an Atiku Abubakar Victory even without the support of Wike and the other 4 Governors in his camp
Now imagine Atiku getting the support of Wike and other Governors in his camp, it would have even made Atiku's projected electoral Victory flawless and overwhelming
.

successmatters:


His winning depends on if he doesn't unravel before January

Innocentman86:
So who now win, because I know except through rigging Yoruba Muslim vote based on triballism will not be enough to make the sick,old, corruptt,derty drug pusha asiwa juju worshipper to win.
My bet is on obi or atiku.
Although atiku is not a saint but compared to Tinubu atiku is Mile's better.
Atiku is less detribalised,listener, unifier,and has love for the rich ss/se region.
While emiolokan is a thieff, kriminal,and a Killa of northerners through opc and hates ss/se with passion.

ChangetheChange:

Yep if Tinubu loses the North which will happen, he automatically loses the election as the traditional PDP strongholds and Christian dominated regions of South South and South East are no go area for Tinubu with his Muslim Muslim ticket.
ATIKU and Peter Obi will share first and second position across all the states of south South and South East,
Peter Obi will need to come 1st or second in the North West and North East which have high voting population compared to the south east in order to stand an realistic chance of becoming President.
The election is going towards Atiku's direction

Workch:
Please kindly rephrase

Abdu81:


Is obi's win.

successmatters:


Depends on whether his old age will cause him a major setback.

Workch:
Forget about Tinubu breaking southeast and southsouth. He will lose woefully there.

For the north, he has a chance if Atiku sleeps, if atiku doesn’t then Atiku will win there

ChangetheChange:

Atiku is not sleeping at all in the North, he has focused most of his energy, resources and political machineries to the Northern votes for 2023 Presidential election compared to other Presidential elections he contested, which will be very key for his Victory, cos the moment he wins the North, he can settle for second positions in other regions and still become President.

ChangetheChange:

Yep if Tinubu loses the North which will happen, he automatically loses the election as the traditional PDP strongholds and Christian dominated regions of South South and South East are no go area for Tinubu with his Muslim Muslim ticket.
Even if Tinubu is to win the North, he has to win the North by over 60% of the Northern votes similar to Buhari in order to offset whatever grounds lost in the South South and South East, but even Tinubu supporters know Tinubu can not even get up to 50% of Northern votes where u have Atiku and Kwankwaso in the race
ATIKU and Peter Obi will share first and second position across all the states of south South and South East,
Peter Obi will need to come 1st or second in the North West and North East (very unlikely and impossible) which have high voting population compared to the south east in order to stand any realistic chance of becoming President.

1) Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across states across the North East

2) Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across tates across the North West

3)Atiku will pick up 2nd highest Votes tallied in most states across the South West

4)Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across states across the South South

5) Atiku will pick up 2nd highest Votes tallied in states across the South East

6)Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied in states across the North Central

Hate it or Love this election is going towards Atiku's direction

ChangetheChange:

Yep if Tinubu loses the North which will happen, he automatically loses the election as the traditional PDP strongholds and Christian dominated regions of South South and South East are no go area for Tinubu with his Muslim Muslim ticket.
Even if Tinubu is to win the North, he has to win the North by over 60% of the Northern votes similar to Buhari in order to offset whatever grounds lost in the South South and South East, but even Tinubu supporters know Tinubu can not even get up to 50% of Northern votes where u have Atiku and Kwankwaso in the race
ATIKU and Peter Obi will share first and second position across all the states of south South and South East,
Peter Obi will need to come 1st or second in the North West and North East (very unlikely and impossible) which have high voting population compared to the south east in order to stand any realistic chance of becoming President.

1) Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across states across the North East

2) Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across tates across the North West

3)Atiku will pick up 2nd highest Votes tallied in most states across the South West

4)Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied across states across the South South

5) Atiku will pick up 2nd highest Votes tallied in states across the South East

6)Atiku will pick up 1st or 2nd highest Votes tallied in states across the North Central

Hate it or Love this election is going towards Atiku's direction

Workch:
1. Southwest
Tinubu: 55%
Peter Obi: 25%
Atiku: 10%
Others: 10%

Tinubu will win because people will vote here for tribal reasons and he has loyalists. However, Obi will be second because a lot of people here also want change and are tired of Tinubu’s godfatherism hence Peter Obi will get 25%.

2. Southsouth
Obi: 50%
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 10%
Others: 10%

This region will vote for Peter Obi massively, however their elites in PDP will also steal a lot of votes for Atiku, Tinubu is not popular here. He will get some votes in crossrivers state.

3. Northwest
Atiku: 40%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwaso: 20%
Obi: 10%
Others: 5%

This region usually vote a northerner since 1999, no a northerner always win here. However, APC elites will steal some votes for Tinubu but he will not win here. Kwankwaso will pull some vote here because he’s popular in this region. Majority of Obi’s votes will come from non-indigenes.

4. Northeast
Atiku: 45%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwaso: 15%
Obi: 10%
Others: 5%

Atiku will win his region for obvious reasons. Borno will give Tinubu a lot of votes because of Shettima . Kwankwaso is also popular here.

5. Southeast
Obi: 70%
Atiku: 20%
Others: 10%

We al know what will happen here, people here not only feel that obi is the most competent but they also feel that they have been obviously marginalized for so long. Atiku will come second because people still vote PDP here.

6. North central
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 30%
obi: 30%
Others: 10%

This is the most unpredictable region, kwara and kogi will give Tinubu votes, Abuja and Benue, Plateau , Nasarawa will give Obi votes, Benue, Nasarawa and Niger will give Atiku votes.

garfield1:


Tinubu doesnt need to win the north,a narrow win or a narrow loss is ok plus a massive win in sw and staying close to atiku in ss se

joyandfaith:


Multiply those percentage by 60% of registered voters and give us likely winner.

ChangetheChange:
All permutations, odds, projections and reality on ground tilt towards an Atiku Abubakar Victory even without the support of Wike and the other 4 Governors in his camp
Now imagine Atiku getting the support of Wike and other Governors in his camp, it would have even made Atiku's projected electoral Victory flawless and overwhelming
.

Workch:
Tinubu is a goner if he doesn’t win the north