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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong (18989 Views)
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Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Bobloco: 6:01am On Mar 12, 2023 |
.‘Some worked in cahoots with politicians’ In the buildup to the 2023 general elections, many opinion polls were conducted, projecting the likely outcome of the presidential election. But the results indicated that the opinion polls were largely wrong in their predictions. In this analysis, experts have advanced reasons why pre-election polls in Nigeria don’t conform with outcomes. https://dailytrust.com/presidential-poll-why-pollsters-got-outcome-wrong/ 12 Likes 1 Share
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Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Ofunaofu: 6:04am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The election was flawed. What we all witness on the 25th of February, 2023 was an electoral heist How can one describe the regrets, gnashing of teeth, forlorn faces that greeted the announcement of the winner of that election. The over 8 million people that was alleged to have voted for the winner were not seen anywhere celebrating. INEC violated the electoral law and its guidelines The beneficiary of that flawed process knows that he is with a stolen mandate 120 Likes 10 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by U09ce: 6:11am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Biased pollsters 37 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by maTutora: 6:19am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The election must be re-done 31 Likes 5 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by tamdun: 6:19am On Mar 12, 2023 |
2 Likes |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Xbobtage: 6:19am On Mar 12, 2023 |
What they got wrong?? haha The Election was MASSIVELY RIGGED, Voter suppression where necessary and Absolute fake votes to pump the already chosen candidate of the Thieving INEC. The stupid article is only speaking to their usual dense illiterates that usually take them serious. No one else is being fooled. For the record, this election even though very flawed has exposed the right parameters we have to use and start identifying ourselves in Nigeria. All the fraudulent lines of North or South or East etc is no longer tenable. These are the lines that the Europeans came and started drawing in Africa as part of their divide and conquer strategy. Their was a call for a new nigeria, built on equity, mutual respect, integrity and competence. The difference between the candidates couldnt be more clearer, one was a Godless, extremely corrupt, former drug lord sick with Alzheimers and the other is a God Fearing, and practically The most Prudent Elected Officer in the History of Sub Saharan Africa, The candidate to choose was clear to blind and audible to the deaf. The drive for a New Nigeria is one that will pull this country and continent out of the shackles of Poverty. The face of the movement was Obi. and for lack of a Better name, the name of the movement is Obidients. From the results Nigeria is Now Divided into three types of territory, The fully Obidient States. The Partially Obidient States and Non Obidients States. So Mr. Thunder if you are not sure how to make your decision before you strike, please use the new parameters and target the right people. Because Obidients are nigerians who wanted a total U turn from the direction we are going. Evil and wickedness should stay away from us. We are not part of the Problem. I am from the Obidient state of Rivers State, My BRUDA! What is yours?? If your whole state is not Obidient, Name your local Government and say it with pride! 75 Likes 8 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by nony43(m): 6:20am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The Poll forecasters were right with their predictions, but INEC jinxed it all and Buhari’s I don’t care body language crowns it all. 97 Likes 10 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Tescentre(m): 6:20am On Mar 12, 2023 |
God will help our beloved country. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by adioolayi(m): 6:20am On Mar 12, 2023 |
"The co-founder and head of intelligence, Stears, Michael Famoroti, noted that the company rightly predicted the outcome of the 2023 polls." Stearns prediction was spot on.. especially, predicting a win for Tinubu because of voters turnout, a lose for APC in Lagos and a win for APC in Benue with a slight margin over LP....ALL was accurate. By now... It should be clear Tinubu won the election "fairly"...Fairly because, all political parties rigged in their strongholds... Ofcourse, you can't rig all....the candidate that can beat others to the game have won.. Na all these opinion polls de make Mr Akin Osuntokun of LP think say they won ....Opinion polls from phone users, who have access to internet....what about millions of Nigerians that do not have access to internet or listen to radio and TV It's a big lesson anyways.. 82 Likes 17 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Tutor55: 6:20am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Drug Lord + Islamic Terrorist = Disaster Asi waju + She ttima = ASISHE 2023 i.e the great mistake God forbid BAT thing in Nigeria 19 Likes 8 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Savechild23: 6:21am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Rubbish 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by EmekaMD(m): 6:21am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Polls were correct and accurate. Obi won the election The only thing poll fail to factor in was INEC compromise and collusion with the APC rigging machine. How could you say poll was wrong when LP won Lagos state with over 900k but was shortchanged to less than 600k votes. Won Rivers state win miles of votes but was called for APC Won Platue with wide margin but was closed up for APC Won Benue state but was called for APC Votes where not calculated properly in many Northern states. Example was Bauchi where he got over 5k in one local government but was assigned less than 800 in the whole state. Polls were conducted on the basis that the election would be free and fair. 47 Likes 6 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by AroleOduduwa2: 6:21am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The battle, not the war, has been won by APC. If the case reaches the Supreme Court and, God forbid, the court upholds Jagaban's conviction, the country will face a constitutional crisis. Most people believe that the situation is more complicated than it is. 2 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by tuoyoojo(m): 6:22am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Did they did factor in the rigging The polls were done with the assumption that here would be a fear and fair election 6 Likes |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by jlinkd78(m): 6:23am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The pollsters were right Obi won free and fair Tinubu mandate is a stolen mandate Obi will reclaim his mandate 25 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by padi94(m): 6:23am On Mar 12, 2023 |
I can't wait to laff last o |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by ecolime(m): 6:23am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Pollsters didn't put INEC and other Ballot thieves into consideration. We shall all see to the end of the whole fraud soonest. BTW, DailyTrust has no business being a media house. They are highly partisan and very useless. Dem no dey do their own propaganda for APC with sense at all. 12 Likes |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Tannhauser(m): 6:24am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by maestroferddi: 6:24am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Was there genuinely an election or an allocation of votes? The polls were conducted on the premise that free and fair elections would be conducted with BVAS deployed fully and results transmitted electronically. I seriously doubt if anyone would have waste their energy conducting any polls if it was known that INEC chairman had plans to rig the elections... The man is one of the most horrible Nigerians of recent memory... This character spent taxpayers' money to go to Kenya and other countries to monitor elections... Meanwhile, he had a candidate all along... 11 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by iLoveYouToo(m): 6:25am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Strange how someone’s claim to electoral victory is hinged on a pre-election ‘opinion poll’ 19 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by ShaqFu: 6:25am On Mar 12, 2023 |
😁 |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by money121(m): 6:26am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Ok |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Curious345: 6:27am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The never got it wrong .. Professor Adeyemi Mahmoud oloriburuku altered the good plan of God for Nigeria 5 Likes |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by IFSHR: 6:27am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The only institution that got it wrong is the useless eyeneck and the failure of a president, for organising one of the worst election in the history of the country, failed at the organising election, and even failed at smart rigging... 4 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by wwwkaycom(m): 6:27am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Those fake opinion polls, the noisome campaign of insults, curses, harassments from obidients and people of southeast and assurances from fake pastors actually swayed Peter Obi and gave him false motivation to believe that he can hurriedly decamp from PDP and win presidential election 6 months after. I still don't know how he can defeat Asiwaju or Atiku in any free and fair contest. 31 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Millimann: 6:27am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The only area where they got it wrong was that they failed to take into consideration INEC's abracadabra. That affected the whole exercise and threw the country into mourning. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by AdaojoTheUrchin: 6:28am On Mar 12, 2023 |
The polls were right. Mahmoud Yakubu, Tinubu and Wike rigged the elections simple. 6 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Freebills12: 6:28am On Mar 12, 2023 |
It is only when INEC allow LP and PDP access to inspect the BVAS and print out CTC of BVAS results then we will actually know whether they were right or wrong! INEC can't be supporting Tinubu and you expect LP to win 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by SaintLucia: 6:29am On Mar 12, 2023 |
Eeyah only Jagaban had the national spread to win election in Nigeria. Jagaban won in Southwest, Northwest, Northeast, North Central and South South. He was rigged massively in the southeast. Obi Pandora used ethnicity and religion to campaign the reason why he won only in Christians dominated areas in Southwest, South South,Southeast and North Central States only. Atiku used ethnicity to campaign the reason he won majorly in the Northwest and Northeast regions and had complimented votes in Osun and Akwa Ibom state. 48 Likes 7 Shares |
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