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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election (37885 Views)
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Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by 9jatriot(m): 5:03pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Even before now, I have already written about Rivers State here (https://www.nairaland.com/7590958/whatever-happened-rivers-state-wike). My belief is that Wike wanted to prove a point to Atiku, which had little to do with APC. Tinubu just happened to be a beneficiary of whatever happened in Rivers State. Elections in Rivers State in 2015 and 2019 have always been bloody and churn out strange results in millions for PDP. This was the only one in recent times that was not bloody and even the strange results from there were not in millions this time. Even if you subtract Rivers State result from Tinubu and add it to Peter Obi, he will still sit comfortably in 3rd position, so nothing really to worry about. I hope those who doubted your results in the first thread will also doubt this one. Ditto for those who accepted your result in the first thread 6 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Chinjo2: 5:03pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Let the tribunal sitting be broadcast live for the whole world to see just like the Oputa panel. It's going to be an interesting siting at the tribunal. 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by PointB: 5:03pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu: What are you waiting for? A keg of palm wine? A visa? Obi is coming... 5 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Freebills12: 5:05pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
[color=#000099][/color] ivolt: Bro for a PDP chieftain to say that Obi won Lagos State with about 900 thousand votes but it was slashed to 500 thousand, do you think they were lying? For Peter Obi that I know to openly say that he won the election, he must have countable evidence. Unluckily for him INEC is not helping matter, but I know he has provisions for that. I will just tell you to wait and watch the person of Peter Obi, in this election tribunal. 9 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Felabrity: 5:05pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu:yes it's cheap data, infact I am using free browser But do me a favor? Try to go a day on nairaland without hurling insults at anyone You can always have a conversation without any derogatory words Be civil It will help your every day life 10 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by LadyExcellency: 5:13pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JoshTim: Stop the grammatical gymnastics and use your senses to rebuff his results. You can consult the IREV portal using any sample you so desire to drive home your point. 14 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by JoshTim: 5:14pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
LadyExcellency: Shut up,..there are biases in his analysis. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by rippa(m): 5:21pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JoshTim:Go nd carry out the calculation yourself from IREV The results are there I have done mine for rivers based on clear sheets LP govt over 250k votes APC didn't get upto 150k I wondered how INEC announced a result and uploaded something else Wike just deliberately set APC up Let's watch and see 10 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Obinoscopy(m): 5:29pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JoshTim:Regression ke? Bro do you know what you are saying? My sample wasn't skewed to favour anyone. Like I said earlier, I used simple random sampling. I generated random numbers using excel. This means every polling units had equal chance of being selected. I really hope you understand Statistics. 13 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Emeraldicon(m): 5:30pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Massiveglory: They didn't forget, from their calculations they were sure they will get the 25% in FCT. Secondly secondly no APC governor in Abuja and they federal might weren't really in support of the drug lord. 7 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Nobody: 5:33pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
There's no rule or law anywhere that disallows anyone from delighting himself in delusion of grandeur or finding the occasion to relieve himself of pent-up bitterness and anger. |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by CodeTemplar: 5:33pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Mjshexy:strong LP states. 4 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by advanceDNA: 5:34pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu: Thats what pple complained about....let it all be reviewed...if any part was rigged for LP...we will see it.... .. instead..inec ddnt want the world to see their yansh and quickly declared winner... 7 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by dazzlingd(m): 5:35pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: Using a sampling when you have the whole population will give you a biased results. Those are some of the limitations of using sampling data. I can bet if you are to get the Rsquare of this result, it should be less than 0.4 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by udeh3(m): 5:35pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu: Isn't this enough reasons for other parties to take LP to court to disregard the results in that region? Why is the APC crying that LP is going to court? If the votes in the East was stolen, then, APC Should be happy that LP is going to court 10 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by FreeStuffsNG: 5:35pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6% DOA. 15% could have excluded the whole Kalabari that delivered for APC. 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by JoshTim: 5:35pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: Bro, i am telling you what you did is a lie. It's quite sad to realise you lie as pertaining to selecting the samples randomly using Microsoft excel...such pettiness, i don't tolerate. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by ivolt: 5:36pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Freebills12:Yes, the PDP man was definitely lying just like any other politician. If you observe Atiku and PDP's petition's move, they have been following LP and not leading as the supposed party that came second. PDP's strategy is to use Obi to gain power. The figure the man called is statistically impossible given the number of accredited voters in Lagos. Don't just listen to people talk, you should check out the figures yourself as they in the public domain. But as you said, let us wait for the tribunal where only facts and evidence matters. |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by chinchum(m): 5:36pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Wike was wike in Rivers. When he was declaring 1.7 million votes in 2015 for PDP, you PDP apologists chanting LP today believed it was the best election. I have maintained that rivers state election was distorted by wike pdp style to prove a point. Rivers was a peculiar state distorted by PDP wike for APC. 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by OmonnakOdapig: 5:37pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Nobody: 5:38pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Emeraldicon: Uhn? How Obi resorted to drug money to fund campaign in 2019 BY VICTOR FOLA 12 NOVEMBER 2022 The Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi has had reports linking him to some drug dealers in South Africa resurfaced on the internet as his integrity is once again under intense scrutiny. It will be recalled that running on the platform of the Peoples Democratic Party in 2019 as a running mate to former vice-president and PDP’s standard bearer, Atiku Abubakar, allegations of Obi hobnobbing with drug dealers in South Africa broke the internet. Ex-APC spokesperson, Yekini Nabena accused the former Anambra State governor of resorting to drug dealers money to fund his presidential campaign with Atiku. He revealed that such was not the first time Obi was having a relation with drug dealers as during Obi’s undergraduate days at the University of Nigeria, he was involved indirectly and directly with drug dealers. He said, “Several sources have revealed how the PDP and Atiku/Obi can no longer run big rallies for lack of funding but had to contact some drug dealers in South Africa for help.” “Those who knew Peter Obi will attest to the fact that he has been accused of involving in drug dealing directly or indirectly since his days as an undergraduate at the University of Nigeria. “Obi should explain his relationship with former Military Administrator, Governor Ibim Princewill and Col. Ernest Kizito Attah of Cross River state.” Nebena noted how the former governor collected N470million as security vote and yet Anambra State was among the states that were highly insecure in the country in his tenure. He said, “Given the level of insecurity in Anambra state , ‘Saint’ Peter Obi should explain how he expended his security vote since it is on record that he collected over N470 million per month as security vote (N220 million from Local Government and N250 million Naira from the state FAAC accounts).” Another accusation that brings to question the integrity of the Labour Party presidential candidate was unfurled by Nabena when he noted that Obi’s profession for Catholicism was for nothing but political gains. He said, “Just as Peter Obi professes his Catholicism for political expediency, we ask him to summon the moral courage and explain to Catholic faithful his relationship with the Olumba Olumba Obu (OOO) sect where his wife is a known member.” 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by vacanci: 5:38pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: Help us analyse Anambra and Enugu 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by tonididdy(m): 5:38pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
I wish OBI luck on his quest to retrieve a stolen mandate. That being said, Yoruba or Igbo apc or lp… the last presidential election was hugely unfair and rigged by all parties. Kwankwaso rigged kano OBI rigged the east Bola rigged west and Wike rigged south. 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by IpobAntidote: 5:38pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Loser 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Nobody: 5:39pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
The people always knew this was the case |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Amumaigwe: 5:42pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu: Any evidence? 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by casualobserver: 5:42pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: What manner of nonsense analysis is this. Everybody knows Rivers was massively rigged and Rivers was an anomaly. Even an APC chieftain tweeted that “ na wah oh we only asked Wike to help with 25%” and You want to extrapolate the mean from an outlier? Is that how they taught you? Nonsense!!! 3 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Goodlady(f): 5:43pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Massiveglory:If APC is determined to rig, they ll rig all states. My take, Tinubu won the majority votes. Some states has numbers of two or more states in south south and south east. |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Shantyken(m): 5:44pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JoshTim: No mind that LP fellow 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by tolexy007(m): 5:45pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JoshTim: y don't u use ur own sample and let see ur results 1 Like |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by Afamed: 5:45pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
Obin+gos are special creatures, feed them with the lies they want to hear, and they will worship you till Jesus returns. 2 Likes |
Re: Statistical Analysis On IREV For Rivers State Presidential Election by searchlight: 5:45pm On Mar 30, 2023 |
JagabanBorgu:Yeah. If you feel you were cheated and you have the evidence come up with it let's talk about that. I can believe everything you say but saying that Rivers results was not rigged makes me question all the results in the whole 37 states South East was rigged too because ballot boxes and papers where not dispersed to some polling unite there by disenfranchising thousands of people. The election was totally rigged QED 1 Like |
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