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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Investment / Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (11477880 Views)
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 6:24am On Jun 03 |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by customstreet: 7:02am On Jun 03 |
Welcome OKITIPUPA OIL PALM PLC to NASD prior to final migration to NGXπ΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄π΄πππππππππππππππ 4 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 7:33am On Jun 03 |
customstreet: Kindly shed more light. Also will the rights issue and shareholding controversy have any impact? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mfunkynation(m): 7:35am On Jun 03 |
Good morning,
please will there be any market today? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Omooloriredade: 8:16am On Jun 03 |
My commentary on Oando results to date. Since it's Oando we are talking about here, permit me to start with disclaimers. 1. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold Oando. 2. I don't have a finance or investment background and I'm not licensed to provide investment advice. 3. I could be sincerely wrong. I have been wrong many times before. 4. I'm not suggesting the market will rerate Oando's SP off the back of results released to date. Cons 1. Risk of Oando being delisted from the NGX. Process will be to acquire minority holdings before delisting. N7 as per SOA is highly unlikely if it were to eventuate. 2. Delay in finalisation of the Oando vs NAOC deal. 3. Negative equity / retained earnings. 4. Dividend income unlikely in the near future due to the above. 5. History of late filing of results / regulatory non-compliance. 6. Management have a reputation of being dodgy. 7. Oando carries sustantial debt and impairment in its books. 8. Production or operations interruptions due to militancy in the Niger-delta region. 9. If it remains listed, Oando needs to prove to the market that it has turned the corner and it's upwards and onwards from here. It remains to be seen. Pros 1. Recent flurry of earnings release if sustained may signal a change for good. 2. Management has indicated a desire to release results as and when due according to latest media release. 3. A return to profitability in recent results (Audited FY'22 and unaudited FY'23). 4. The return to profitability is despite the reduction in the average realised prices of Oil, Gas and NGLs. Increased Oil production minimised the impact to revenue in the E&P segment. 5. Production can be cranked up to improve revenue and margins. 5. The E&P segment of the business is the "money spinner" - higher profit margins. The trading arm is the cash cow albeit with low margins. Please see note 3, page 23 of unaudited FY'23 results for details. 6. Management has indicated a desire to wind down trading in low margin refined crude products (PMS, diesel etc) hence the recent sell off of assets to NNPC and the noticeable decline in reported revenues in that business segment. 7. Back to the E&P, any increase in production will lead to remarkable profitability of the group. This may be reflected in the FY'24 results if Oando is able to secure Ministerial consent and regulatory approval required to close the NAOC deal. It will double production numbers instantly. Please refer note 17, page 27 & 28 of unaudited FY'23 results for details. 8. Management also noted the marginal production increase in was a result of repairs of shut in wells offset by persistent sabotage activities. If these wells come back online this FY, there may be a sustantial increase in production numbers leading to improved margins and sustained profitability. Peer Comparison 1. Seplat is heads and shoulders above Oando in terms of quality of management, filing of results, regulatory compliance, business & organisational structure and operations. 2. Seplat's PE is 36.77 based on the FY'23 EPS of 92.75 and SP of N3,410. 3. Simplistic comparison only - if we assume this is a fair industry PE and forget Oando's woes for a second, the market could potentially value Oando at 36.77 x N6 = N220.62. However, in my opinion, this is practically impossible at this stage with a history of delayed and negative results, no dividends or returns to shareholders in years, negative equity etc. Again, I'll make a reference to the E&P business segment of Oando Plc. The company (Oando) through it wholly owned subsidiary (Calabar Power Ltd) purchased the entire 2.22% holding of M1 Petroleum ltd in OEPH at a consideration of $1.70 per share (yes, the E&P is that valuable). Actually, I'm unable to confirm the MCAP based on this price (no idea of OEPH issued capital). Please refer to note 30, page 29. The E&P segment will be doing the heavy lifting for Oando plc into the future. It is the one to watch. Supply and trading will provide the astonomically high revenue figures but the margins have not been as imppressive. Summarily, I believe it's all about the E&P business segment. Hence why the deal with NAOC is a game-changer for the company. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by talk2me2: 8:43am On Jun 03 |
Mfunkynation:Don't worry you will soon find out. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Quitmast: 8:57am On Jun 03 |
zendi:Lol..They would have become a novel writer. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 9:16am On Jun 03 |
KayOn1: Very possible, you top up regularly,continue to reinvest and compound |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Frangel: 9:27am On Jun 03 |
customstreet:I thought Okitipupa Oil was listed on NSE that time? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:31am On Jun 03 |
W0t0w0toman: This is the truth. You just said a part of my journey to great wealth 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:33am On Jun 03 |
Omooloriredade: OANDO ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:00am On Jun 03 |
Ding! ![]() ![]() 4 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by dapix: 10:00am On Jun 03 |
ding ![]() ![]() 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:01am On Jun 03 |
![]() ![]() Mfunkynation: |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by defebe: 10:07am On Jun 03 |
dapix: Let us know if you want to take over the role of Karltom na 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:09am On Jun 03 |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:09am On Jun 03 |
Two good dings are better than one ![]() defebe: 8 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Boshins: 10:11am On Jun 03 |
defebe:Assistant Time keeper dey na.. ![]() 4 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by olaremint(m): 10:14am On Jun 03 |
Omooloriredade: OANDO OANDO OANDO, what is the big deal about this company ? I donβt think any diligent investor should bother about that company 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:17am On Jun 03 |
21+ years is not really a get rich quick... ![]() KayOn1: 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KayOn1: 10:24am On Jun 03 |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:29am On Jun 03 |
Actually 5k was the initial seed... ![]() He used four key words/phrases: drive and motivation, hustle harder, invest more, reinvest returns KayOn1: W0t0w0toman: 5 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 10:34am On Jun 03 |
olaremint: I am not a diligent investor. Just a trader. And I have so far made 60% return trading Oando shares so far this year. 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KayOn1: 10:36am On Jun 03 |
KarlTom: After I asked him how he did it. ** I just wanted him to put the full context of how he did it upfront so poeple have the whole idea from the onset. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 10:36am On Jun 03 |
Raider76:And its today on full bid of over 59million. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KayOn1: 10:43am On Jun 03 |
Am I the only one who has noticed or ... So one cannot deactivate his account from Nairaland again or what ![]() |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 11:06am On Jun 03 |
All this people on bid for oando are waiting for people like me to mistakenly place sell instead of buy for my bet naija stock that I am targeting #20 I reject every spirit of mistake or village people in my affairs. I must collect my #20 from Wale this time...amen |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gare2510(m): 11:18am On Jun 03 |
Bid for Oando drops from 62 million to 33 million; what happened? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 11:28am On Jun 03 |
gare2510:Thr are many other stocks on nse to buy.why waste your time on something not presently available. 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:31am On Jun 03 |
gare2510: I am beginning to suspect that there are some unseen hands that do not want Oando's share price to rise beyond a particular threshold. My Reason: When the FY2022 audited accounts was released early this year, it was mentioned therein that the company made a loss for FY2023. This discouraged a lot of potential investors from buying the shares, thereby keeping the price relatively low. But all of a sudden, the FY2023 unaudited results is released and there is a whopping N74.7b profit! Now again, there was news this morning that the bid for the shares is about 60m; All of a sudden it has dropped to 33m! We all shall see where this would lead eventually! |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 11:48am On Jun 03 |
The Central Bank of Nigeria has revoked the banking licence of Heritage Bank Plc, effective immediately. This decision was made due to the bankβs failure to improve its financial performance, posing a threat to financial stability. The apex bankβs Acting Director of Corporate Communication Department, Sidi Ali, disclosed this in a statement on Monday. According to the CBN, the bankβs management has been unable to stem the decline despite various supervisory steps taken by the regulator. With no reasonable prospects of recovery, the CBN has taken this action to protect the financial system and maintain public confidence. βThe Nigerian financial system remains on a solid footing. βWe are committed to ensuring the safety and soundness of our financial system, and this action reflects that commitment,β the statement added. 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:50am On Jun 03 |
![]() Mpeace: |
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