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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (7871) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 5:45am On Jul 10
Streetinvestor2:
Something we go still buy below #300 after the cash out from oando bet this year.I have always said it transcorp power does not worth the price above #300..People are using ote power company as measuring stick forgetting say na manipulation carry the thing to 1k.Better companies that pay above #20 dividend still dey within #300 na company way pay #3 dividend wan reach 1k.The people expecting the unjust price here na bet too..lol.

Oga currentprice pls what is bedsheet saying as price of Transcorp power fv

Oga manipulation de everywhere, even globally. Nigerian big money people have discovered the power of the stock market to make them even richer and they will not sit and watch the value of their assets eroded. You can spread your bedsheets as wide as you want, they will get what they believe is the value of their assets.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 5:50am On Jul 10
Streetinvestor2:
It is only major shareholders that can pull such volume now.

Something definitely cooking at transpower... the guys doing cross deals know something....
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:07am On Jul 10
Eterna is not a major marketer.
However, the distributor role to Dangote Refinery places them in a very strong position... wink
Streetinvestor2:
The people buying oando know what they want.And eternal oil and oando no dey the same category of business I will rather pick total even at this price above you eternal oil that I don't even see thr pump station .I doubt if they are even classified among major marketers in nigeria.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:08am On Jul 10
shocked

Streetinvestor2:
Something we go still buy below #300 after the cash out from oando bet this year.I have always said it transcorp power does not worth the price above #300..People are using ote power company as measuring stick forgetting say na manipulation carry the thing to 1k.Better companies that pay above #20 dividend still dey within #300 na company way pay #3 dividend wan reach 1k.The people expecting the unjust price here na bet too..lol.

Oga currentprice pls what is bedsheet saying as price of Transcorp power fv
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 9:33am On Jul 10
onegentleguy:
On Accesscorp...
Anyone that understands the thing about NPR, TERP, the degree of % dilution of a RI and how an assets EM capacity can cover up for it, will have logical answers to the following;

1) Why there was a huge accumulation in the last few weeks spearheaded by one of the key stakeholder of the bank (Mr. AiG) despite what was clearly a supply side imbalance in the coys trade book.
2) Why the coys feasible % dilution in view of her planned RI @ N19.75 will have only but a minor impact on her earnings quality and resultant future reward to shareholders in the short to mid term.
3) Why the RI subscription peg is at a premium to the coys CMP yet June 7 (same date as the circular) was announced as the QD.

A smart investor can immediately infer that management may already have the funds on standby given the implied negative NPR in view of the RI peg. Apparently, they do not necessarily need our money. wink cheesy cool
Again, a smart trader should also be able to see that the N2.5 disparity between the coys CMP and the proposed RI peg (ref: 19.75--17.25) could most likely be closed out in the short term.
...the coys TA stance is already given a clue. (short term directional bias in view... see chart below)

• Price action has been gaining momentum, rejecting a further BoS since retesting the N16+ level which doubles as a strong PSL.
• Fridays close was above it's short term TL and smooth HA.
• Double bottom since early April after repeatedly respecting the aforementioned smooth HA level.

A break and effective close above the neckline of that DBP (ref: N18.4) which should also imply a COCH will likely see the coy push up to the N21 region.
The RI data could be an added catalyst to make the asset a HPT.

Bottom line: Accesscorp might deliver a 20--31% return in the short term. (could be more)
Long term? Well, it's important to remember that the bank holds a fundamentally healthy slate and occupies the 3rd position on a list of 7 most under-priced quoted banking coys at present.

What to do? Pls kindly follow your instinct.

CAVEAT: NOT an investment advice. The need for due diligence should still take higher precedence ahead of this post.

https://nairametrics.com/2024/07/10/access-holdings-explains-why-its-issued-shares-price-is-higher-than-market-price/

Aig-Imoukhuede noted, "There are certain things I look at when investing in a business or considering an investment. When evaluating a business, if the business’s annual earnings run rate matches the amount I invested, I consider it a strong indicator.”
"Currently, the analysis shows a potential earnings value of about 17 naira per share, with a trading price of around 19.75 naira per share. This is not a bank that needs further reinvestment to make that money, meaning it won’t seek additional capital that could dilute its earnings.”

This is broadly in line with my assertion. (see parts in bold.... think through the connection)

That said, Mr AIG should've also told us that a key reason for the price disparity between the RI offer and market peg is the intent to create weak apathy on existing shareholders.
As I said before; they don't necessarily need our money hence the "discouraging atmosphere" or lack of incentive to exercise one's rights.
...the probability that the group already has the required RI funds on standby is approximately 1.
I expect the RI exercise to be fully subscribed.

Needless to highlight that ACCESSCORP's FVE currently sits in the range of N34.25--N39.7, with the lower band of that price an extremely conservative estimate after raking-off what could be risk items to the bank's earnings stance (currency risk, minor dilution risk from the rights exercise and WC risk in view of her aggressive expansion drive) and assuming just 10% QoQ GM down to YE, 2024.
....*U*... HOLD!

Technically, price has since moved from our initial call @ N17.25... riding to near N20 before retracing backwards. The aim is to complete the effective breakout from what was previously a P/KRL to a demand zone.
Though price is yet to touch our swing target of N21, the chat is now better "shaped". ...I like what I see! wink cheesy cool

CAVEAT: Still NOT an investment advice. ...the need for due diligence should still take higher precedence ahead of this post.

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by naturalflow: 9:48am On Jul 10
OH,HERBERT WIGWE,REST-IN-PEACE.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:49am On Jul 10
One thing I like this market and time is that it has always vindicated THE MEGAWEALTH as a sincere person without the MH spirit... All stocks I dropped here gave people good returns whether penny or not...

Make una go buy ACCESS BANK now but na when it's selling from $30+ una go dey ask for ANALYSIS grin

DYOR sha

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SpaceX: 9:50am On Jul 10
Good morning to y'all.

Who wants to see my PORTFOLIO
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:51am On Jul 10
grin
SpaceX:
Good morning to y'all.

Who wants to see my PORTFOLIO
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mails4funshi(m): 9:53am On Jul 10
megawealth01:
One thing I like this market and time is that it has always vindicated THE MEGAWEALTH as a sincere person without the MH spirit... All stocks I dropped here gave people good returns whether penny or not...

Make una go buy ACCESS BANK now but na when it's selling from $30+ una go dey ask for ANALYSIS grin

DYOR sha

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by naturalflow: 9:58am On Jul 10
megawealth01:
One thing I like this market and time is that it has always vindicated THE MEGAWEALTH as a sincere person without the MH spirit... All stocks I dropped here gave people good returns whether penny or not...

Make una go buy ACCESS BANK now but na when it's selling from $30+ una go dey ask for ANALYSIS grin

DYOR sha
YOUR OMATEK IS YET TO DELIVER.

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by dapix: 10:00am On Jul 10
Ding grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:01am On Jul 10
Ding! grin wink
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:05am On Jul 10
naturalflow:
YOUR OMATEK IS YET TO DELIVER.

We still dey the boat... On GOD

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:16am On Jul 10
onegentleguy:


https://nairametrics.com/2024/07/10/access-holdings-explains-why-its-issued-shares-price-is-higher-than-market-price/

Aig-Imoukhuede noted, "There are certain things I look at when investing in a business or considering an investment. When evaluating a business, if the business’s annual earnings run rate matches the amount I invested, I consider it a strong indicator.”
"Currently, the analysis shows a potential earnings value of about 17 naira per share, with a trading price of around 19.75 naira per share. This is not a bank that needs further reinvestment to make that money, meaning it won’t seek additional capital that could dilute its earnings.”

This is broadly in line with my assertion. (see parts in bold.... think through the connection)

That said, Mr AIG should've also told us that a key reason for the price disparity between the RI offer and market peg is the intent to create weak apathy on existing shareholders.
As I said before; they don't necessarily need our money hence the "discouraging atmosphere" or lack of incentive to exercise one's rights.
...the probability that the group already has the required RI funds on standby is approximately 1.
I expect the RI exercise to be fully subscribed.

Needless to highlight that ACCESSCORP's FVE currently sits in the range of N34.25--N39.7, with the lower band of that price an extremely conservative estimate after raking-off what could be risk items to the bank's earnings stance (currency risk, minor dilution risk from the rights exercise and WC risk in view of her aggressive expansion drive) and assuming just 10% QoQ GM down to YE, 2024.
....*U*... HOLD!

Technically, price has since moved from our initial call @ N17.25 previously touching riding to near N20 before retracing backwards. The aim is to complete the effective breakout from what was previously a PRL to a demand zone.
Though yet to touch our swing target of N21, the chat is now better "shaped". ...I like what I see! wink cheesy cool

CAVEAT: Still NOT an investment advice. ...the need for due diligence should still take higher precedence ahead of this post.

I have a crush on your brain kiss kiss

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SpaceX: 10:17am On Jul 10
with the recent development of addition of the ministry of livestock I intend to invest in agricultural stocks and add to my portfolio. I have a target of 39% before the year runs out, I will advice you do same.

I love to challenge myself in owning different stocks, and contributing my top notch analysis gives me so much Joy.

Disclaimer: This is not an investment advice.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 10:25am On Jul 10
megawealth01:


We still dey the boat... On GOD

This one, I know on good authority, is a dead company now. Hasn’t been the same since the founder died.

DD advised
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 10:32am On Jul 10
megawealth01:


We still dey the boat... On GOD

We dey .. no hurry. We'll wait it out.. joy cometh in the morning.. I see the rays of dawn
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 10:33am On Jul 10
SpaceX:
with the recent development of addition of the ministry of livestock I intend to invest in agricultural stocks and add to my portfolio. I have a target of 39% before the year runs out, I will advice you do same.

I love to challenge myself in owning different stocks, and contributing my top notch analysis gives me so much Joy.

Disclaimer: This is not an investment advice.

You don come again?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 10:35am On Jul 10
megawealth01:
One thing I like this market and time is that it has always vindicated THE MEGAWEALTH as a sincere person without the MH spirit... All stocks I dropped here gave people good returns whether penny or not...

Make una go buy ACCESS BANK now but na when it's selling from $30+ una go dey ask for ANALYSIS grin

DYOR sha

Which is better? Buy on the floor or rights? Price wise? Of course you get your shares immediately when you buy on the floor and price difference isn't noticeable really
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 10:39am On Jul 10
bovali:


I have a crush on your brain kiss kiss

Thanks... but my brain is still undergoing development.
I am still a learner. wink cheesy grin

Do take care
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by iHaveMadeiT2: 10:44am On Jul 10
bovali:


This one, I know on good authority, is a dead company now. Hasn’t been the same since the founder died.

DD advised
You're not God. That was how some people here said categorically that Transcorp will never leave N1 bus stop.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SpaceX: 10:46am On Jul 10
SonofElElyonRet:


One thing I love about you is the ability to give genuine and practical analysis of stocks, it's mind blowing and honour to have you around. I feel blessed
Thank you. I appreciate your kind words.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 10:51am On Jul 10
SonofElElyonRet:

You don come again?
He changed your post grin
Seems Sonofbuffet is back with another moniker from the numerous he opened

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ndept: 10:52am On Jul 10
iHaveMadeiT2:

You're not God. That was how some people here said categorically that Transcorp will never leave N1 bus stop.
@bovali may have a valid point on Omatek. I went through their Q1 report and saw that the company has already relinquished their Lagos and Abuja office building to BOI and First Bank in settlement of debt. It is not everything that we put on God, atimes we need to do our research and made investment decision especially when the door is still wide open.

7 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ndept: 10:55am On Jul 10
The offers on DS is unusually low this morning compared to the last one month! shocked
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:11am On Jul 10
onegentleguy:


I think the fellow I replied should understand the post.
Am sorry if you don't.

And yes DS is a buy. ...N39--43 price level is an opportunistic one.

Pls note that I do not give free recommendations all the time. Except for a few cases where I decide to drop a FA and/or TA guide like the last 3 of ACCESSCORP, C&I LEASING and MBENEFITS @ N17.85, N2.55 and 56k in that order, I usually attach a fee for some of my services.
This is not necessarily for you though. ...it's for those who still bombard my E-mail box with one form of request or the other.
Sometimes, even those who pay a fee willingly and without any request from me, make less financial service demand than those who want free service. wink cheesy grin

Those who demand for free service are twice as much. wink cheesy cool
Well, I'LL ALWAYS TRY TO HELP when I can. But I will also attach a fee for certain class of financial service... and on this, I am unapologetic.

People should be guided accordingly.
It is well
ndept:
The offers on DS is unusually low this morning compared to the last one month! shocked

Shuu! ...so you don't "disrupt' the plan of those waiting for it @ 32--33k, their preferred support zone. wink cheesy grin
I hope, for their sake, it gets there. cheesy cool

The wise ones would've headed to the call above. (see part in bold)

It is well

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 11:16am On Jul 10
onegentleguy:



Shuu! ...so you don't "disrupt' the plan of those waiting for it @ 32--33k, their preferred support zone. wink cheesy grin
I hope, for their sake, it gets there. cheesy cool

The wise ones would've headed to the call above. (see part in bold)

It is well

What about those waiting at N25? grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:19am On Jul 10
Agbalowomeri:


What about those waiting at N25? grin

Frankly, you need to change your ways.
...it's not a good one! wink cool
But feel free to continue if that's the path you've chosen for life.

It is well

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BullBearMkt(m): 11:19am On Jul 10
ndept:
@bovali may have a valid point on Omatek. I went through their Q1 report and saw that the company has already relinquished their Lagos and Abuja office building to BOI and First Bank in settlement of debt. It is not everything that we put on God, atimes we need to do our research and made investment decision especially when the door is still wide open.
...the person you are trying to defend is also guilty of what you are accusing @iHaveMadeiT2 for. Saying that a company is dead due to the founder's demise, without any data/information to back the claim up is like a wish, which @iHaveMadeiT2 is trying to pray not to come to pass.
grin grin grin grin grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ProphetUtuocha: 11:25am On Jul 10
Congrats to folks who boarded Oando when I revealed it
Even @ 200%+ since unveiled. the journey is just beginning
For as was revealed, the 400% mark will surely be crossed
Enough said.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 11:28am On Jul 10
SonofElElyonRet:


Which is better? Buy on the floor or rights? Price wise? Of course you get your shares immediately when you buy on the floor and price difference isn't noticeable really

It's cheaper on the door at the moment...

1 Like

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