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American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! - Foreign Affairs (4284) - Nairaland

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Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by feedthenation(m): 1:23pm On Aug 02
---One MAGA that won't be endorsing Trump is Kyle Rittenhouse (remember him) because of 2nd Amendment---

https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1819325903408677158

3 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 1:36pm On Aug 02
AmazonTopaz:

He is the smartest pick. The fact that the progressives are against him is exactly why she should picķ him. He balances the ticket and appears moderate.

Yeah, given PA, he's probably the "smartest" pick electorally. I did think he was somewhat overzealous with his condemnation of the University presidents and the protests surrounding the Middle East. I want Harris to reimagine our role in the conflict with people open to all perspectives. If he doesn't get picked, I'll assume there were real fears that his pick may cost her Michigan.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 1:40pm On Aug 02
AmazonTopaz:

Be patient this is too early.

Wait till after Trump loses again in November to start this charade.

Bwahhahahhaha

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IbeOkehie: 2:07pm On Aug 02
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/july-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-jumps-to-43-job-gains-total-just-114000-as-labor-slowdown-deepens-190219766.html

cc Gerrard

A recession might be coming. Inflation has tied their hands, so the Democrats can't do what they always do...PRINT MONEY. This is a notable inflection point in economic trends.


The US economy added fewer jobs than expected in July while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to its highest level in nearly three years, the latest sign of a broader summer slowdown in the US labor market.

Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday showed the labor market added 114,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in July, fewer additions than the 175,000 expected by economists.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rose 4.3%, up from 4.1% June. The unemployment rate is now at its highest level since October 2021. July's job additions came in lower than the 179,000 jobs added in June.

Notably, the BLS said Hurricane Beryl had "no discernible effect" on the employment data for July.

Good Luck to USA.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by basilico: 3:17pm On Aug 02
IbeOkehie:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/july-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-jumps-to-43-job-gains-total-just-114000-as-labor-slowdown-deepens-190219766.html

cc Gerrard

A recession might be coming. Inflation has tied their hands, so the Democrats can't do what they always do...PRINT MONEY. This is a notable inflection point in economic trends.




Good Luck to USA.

Media says Bidenomics is the best Yankees have ever seen.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 4:08pm On Aug 02
basilico:


Media says Bidenomics is the best Yankees have ever seen.

The data also satisfied Sahm's Recession Rule.

A recession is already underway.
I hope the WSJ covers it.

-Lord

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 4:43pm On Aug 02
Egypt supposedly gave Trump 10 Million Dollars (the same amount he says he donated to his campaign) for his 2016 election campaign.
The same Egypt that bribed Sen. Menendez who was just convicted.

Bill Barr shut down the investigation during Trump's Presidency.
Bill Barr was Trump's MVP and he still treated him like trash.

This is Nigeria levels of corruption.

Five days before Donald Trump became president in January 2017, a manager at a bank branch in Cairo received an unusual letter from an organization linked to the Egyptian intelligence service. It asked the bank to “kindly withdraw” nearly $10 million from the organization’s account — all in cash.
...
Federal investigators learned of the withdrawal, which has not been previously reported, early in 2019. The discovery intensified a secret criminal investigation that had begun two years earlier with classified U.S. intelligence indicating that Egyptian President Abdel Fatah El-Sisi sought to give Trump $10 million to boost his 2016 presidential campaign, a Washington Post investigation has found.
...
The Post investigation reveals that investigators identified a cash withdrawal in Cairo of $9,998,000 — nearly identical to the amount described in the intelligence, as well as to the amount Trump had given his campaign weeks earlier. A key theory investigators pursued, based on intelligence and on international money transfers, was that Trump was willing to provide the funds to his campaign in October 2016 because he expected to be repaid by Sisi, according to people familiar with the probe.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2024/08/02/trump-campaign-egypt-investigation/?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by basilico: 4:46pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:
Egypt supposedly gave Trump 10 Million Dollars (the same amount he says he donated to his campaign) for his 2016 election campaign.
The same Egypt that bribed Sen. Menendez who was just convicted.

Bill Barr shut down the investigation during Trump's Presidency.
Bill Barr was Trump's MVP and he still treated him like trash.

This is Nigeria levels of corruption.


Thanks for this.. Trump has been audited to the point of a colonoscopy, they got zilch on him
This is another attack angle

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 5:02pm On Aug 02
basilico:


Thanks for this.. Trump has been audited to the point of a colonoscopy, they got zilch on him
This is another attack angle

Bill Barr shut down the investigation.
Wait until there is a Dem house and they get the subpoena power back.
This is something that they will want to and should investigate for the simple purpose of strengthen legislation preventing foreign countries from doing this in the future.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 5:03pm On Aug 02
Republicans favorite Pollster has Harris up by 5.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 5:26pm On Aug 02
Rasmussen Reports is different from RMG Research.

Rasmussen Reports poll posted yesterday has Trump up +4 against Harris in a head-to-head and has acknowledged that RFK is hurting Trump since Harris stepped in. A multi-candidate race has Trump only up +1 point.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_49_harris_44

Lots of folks who didn't like Biden and were planning to vote RFK as a protest vote of sorts are returning to Harris.
So most of the folks still planning to vote for RFK now would break for Trump if RFK was not on the ballot.

Most of these polls showing wild Harris upswings weren't polling this election cycle.
RealClearPolling/RealClearPolitics is the authority on polling aggregation.
Anyone can follow the seasoned pollsters like YouGov, Reuters, Wall Street Journal, the Economist.
You can see their polls going back years.

These new guys are all coming out to muddy the pool.
I wonder why that is. The established pollsters all gave Biden the lead in 2020.
If Harris is up +5, NY Times will see it.
Harvard will see it.

Bloomberg came with the +11 Michigan poll when they only started polling in July and had not polled a national race this election cycle.
Then Daily Kos/Civiqs came with another +4. Another newcomer.
Now, RMG Research which has not been tracked on RCP is taking a name very similar to a Republican-friendly pollster and pushing another wild +5.

The Dems are going all out with the suppressive/made-up polling to drive narratives, Harris fawning on the media, and money laundering to make a steal believable.
If Harris fails after all this support, it would be a worse electoral performance than Clinton.

-Lord

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 5:45pm On Aug 02
basilico:


Thanks for this.. Trump has been audited to the point of a colonoscopy, they got zilch on him
This is another attack angle

They failed with Russia, Russia, Russian.
Now it's Egypt.

If there was a credible case here Garland would have pursued it.
The Dem majority from 2020 -2022 would have pursued it.
Both came after Barr.

I'm sure they have binders full of attacks that would not hold up to scrutiny but can be pushed in the media to pile on the negative coverage of Trump.
Trump should keep the pressure on but reserve his cannons until after the DNC Convention.
He needs to play it smart.

-Lord

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 5:52pm On Aug 02
Heaven help Powell.
The demands to cut rates will hit him like an avalanche.

-Lord

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 5:55pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:
Rasmussen Reports is different from RMG Research.

Rasmussen Reports poll posted yesterday has Trump up +4 against Harris in a head-to-head and has acknowledged that RFK is hurting Trump since Harris stepped in. A multi-candidate race has Trump only up +1 point.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_49_harris_44
...
These new guys are all coming out to muddy the pool.
I wonder why that is. The established pollsters all gave Biden the lead in 2020.
If Harris is up +5, NY Times will see it.
Harvard will see it.
...
Then Daily Kos/Civiqs came with another +4. Another newcomer.
Now, RMG Research which has not been tracked on RCP is taking a name very similar to a Republican-friendly pollster and pushing another wild +5.

The Dems are going all out with the suppressive/made-up polling to drive narratives, Harris fawning on the media, and money laundering to make a steal believable.
If Harris fails after all this support, it would be a worse electoral performance than Clinton.

-Lord

More of that MAGA conspiracy theorism wrapped in Faux intellectuals.
Most of what you posted is FUD.

Scott Rasmussen founded Rasmussen Reports and left that company and started RMG Research.
Scott Rasmussen has been known to be a right wing pollster.

Your genius argument is that, Republican favoring Scott Rasmussen conducted a poll that shows Harris up 5 'to help Dems with the suppressive/made-up polling to drive narratives to make a Dem steal believable'? shocked shocked shocked

Look at the absolute nuttery of that statement.

You're a baby to this stuff who has clearly little idea what you are talking about. Spend more time googling and less time babbling on with conspiracy theories.

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 6:23pm On Aug 02
From "Republicans favorite pollster" to "right-wing pollster".

What a tool.

-Lord

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 6:44pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:
From "Republicans favorite pollster" to "right-wing pollster".

What a tool.

-Lord

LordDF: "Fux. Proven wrong again... How can I deflect and obfuscate.. oh yeah... You said 'Republican pollster' now it's 'Right Wing pollster' derp derp derp."
Lol

Exactly, what I've come to expect from an intellectual fraud like yourself when you are proven wrong.. which to be fair, you are quite often..

reccy, come get your boy.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 6:45pm On Aug 02
White House claim Biden and Harris had no role in the 9/11 suspects plea deal.
www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/white-house-claims-biden-played-no-role-in-9-11-mastermind-s-plea-deal/

This is a positive that the Right has to hammer on.
That Harris is a terrible administrator who continues to twiddle her thumbs while the border crises rages, unemployment rises, and now unpopular deals are being signed.
Sadly, they don't have the media to blast this out for free so this is already becoming a dud.

-Lord

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 6:49pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:


LordDF: "Fux. Proven wrong again... How can I deflect and obfuscate.. oh yeah... You said 'Republican pollster' now it's 'Right Wing pollster' derp derp derp."
Lol

Exactly, what I've come to expect from an intellectual fraud like yourself when you are proven wrong.. which to be fair, you are quite often..

re.ccy, come get your boy.

Point out how RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster"?

That was the one-line caption in your comment.

Can't tell 12 - 10.
Now you can't tell the difference between Rasmussen Reports and RMG Research.

Displaying your id**cy with reckless abandon.

-Lord

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IbeOkehie: 7:12pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:


The data also satisfied Sahm's Recession Rule.

A recession is already underway.
I hope the WSJ covers it.

-Lord

Never heard of this. Recession expectations have been high for over 18 months, only lessening a bit in the past 6 months. There's good info in the official employment data that attributes a lot of job creation under President Biden to

(1) Government employment AND (2) Healthcare employment

Both of which are subsidized by printing money for government to spend. Classic Socialist type, Keynesian economics....growth without productivity. They definitely took notes from APC. grin grin grin

Thanks.

Good Luck to USA.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 7:25pm On Aug 02
IbeOkehie:


Never heard of this. Recession expectations have been high for over 18 months, only lessening a bit in the past 6 months. There's good info in the official employment data that attributes a lot of job creation under President Biden to

(1) Government employment AND (2) Healthcare employment

Both of which are subsidized by printing money for government to spend. Classic Socialist type, Keynesian economics....growth without productivity. APC should take notes.

Thanks.

Good Luck to USA.

I'm quoting from a source here. Verbatim.

The rule is that a recession is effectively already underway if the unemployment rate (based on a three-month moving average) rises by half a percentage point from its low of the past year.

The recent data showed a 0.6 percentage point uptick from the low of the last 12 months.

This is primarily to apply pressure on Powell to cut rates.
Inflation is just shy of 3%. So cutting the rates mean we'll be getting 5% inflation next year and home prices will begin to rise with a vengeance next year.
However, the markets will surge after the cut and the media and Harris' campaign will spin that as a win.

-Lord

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 8:01pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:


Point out how RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster"?

That was the one-line caption in your comment.

Can't tell 12 - 10.
Now you can't tell the difference between Rasmussen Reports and RMG Research.

Displaying your id**cy with reckless abandon.

-Lord


The life of Lord Dumfuq:

You write some conspiracy theory.
You get shown your underlying facts are wrong as usual.
You obfuscate, start lying and then spamming.
Rinse Repeat.

Nigeria really needs to improve it's mental health services.
What is it with all you wanna be Trumpers spinning these insane conspiracy theories. I mean the conspiracy theories that aren't even thought through they have all the facts wrong. Worst of all you're spinning conspiracy theories about a country you've never been to. MAGA and their supporters are weirdos.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 8:07pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:



The life of Lord Dumfuq:

You write some conspiracy theory.
You get shown your underlying facts are wrong as usual.
You obfuscate, start lying and then spamming.
Rinse Repeat.

Nigeria really needs to improve it's mental health services.
What is it with all you wanna be Trumpers spinning these insane conspiracy theories. I mean the conspiracy theories that aren't even thought through they have all the facts wrong. Worst of all you're spinning conspiracy theories about a country you've never been to. MAGA and their supporters are weirdos.

Another word salad.

You made a statement.
It was a part of just one sentence.
Prove it.

Show that RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster".

You fail basic arithmetic.
You can't tell Rasmussen Reports from RMG Research.

Demonstrating you're a ret**d is so easy to do.
You keep providing the ammunition unassisted.

-Lord

3 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 8:36pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:


Another word salad.

You made a statement.
It was a part of just one sentence.
Prove it.

Show that RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster".

You fail basic arithmetic.
You can't tell Rasmussen Reports from RMG Research.

Demonstrating you're a ret**d is so easy to do.
You keep providing the ammunition unassisted.

-Lord



Currently at the lying and spamming part of your cycle.

IjeBos:

The life of Lord Dumfuq:

You write some conspiracy theory.
You get shown your underlying facts are wrong as usual.
You obfuscate, start lying and then spamming.
Rinse Repeat.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 8:40pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:




Currently at the lying and spamming part of your cycle.


When you're done mud-bathing:

You should prove your own statement.

Show that RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster"?

Very clear question.

-Lord

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 8:53pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:


When you're done mud-bathing:

You should prove your own statement.

Show that RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster"?

Very clear question.

-Lord

LordAdam16:

Now, RMG Research which has not been tracked on RCP is taking a name very similar to a Republican-friendly pollster and pushing another wild +5.

The Dems are going all out with the suppressive/made-up polling to drive narratives, Harris fawning on the media, and money laundering to make a steal believable.
-Lord

You called Conservative Scott Rasmussen founder of Rasmussen Reports a Dem plant.
Lol
Go rest.
All your spamming won't change your nutty conspiracy mind.

Lord Dumfuq: Dems are forcing Republican pollsters to say Harris is up in the polls for derp derp derp.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by AmazonTopaz(f): 9:02pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:


Bwahhahahhaha
Lol
grin grin

We all know that this is what they are going to do again. cheesy cheesy
In as much as I do not trust the polls I am glad that at least they are no longer in Trump's favour because he would have pointed to it and claimed that it was rigged against. He will point out to it if it shows him leading before election day and he ends up losing.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by AmazonTopaz(f): 9:05pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:


Yeah, given PA, he's probably the "smartest" pick electorally. I did think he was somewhat overzealous with his condemnation of the University presidents and the protests surrounding the Middle East. I want Harris to reimagine our role in the conflict with people open to all perspectives. If he doesn't get picked, I'll assume there were real fears that his pick may cost her Michigan.
He said what any sane person will say about the protest. His stance on the conflict is the normal dem position.
There is now way you win Pennsylvania and lose Michigan that hasn't happened since 1988. The polls show her doing better in Michigan than Pennsylvania (I don't trust polls) but then the Arab population in Michigan is insignificant to do any damage. She needs Black support and White support to win there and she will.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 9:08pm On Aug 02
IjeBos:




You called Conservative Scott Rasmussen founder of Rasmussen Reports a Dem plant.
Lol
Go rest.
All your spamming won't change your nutty conspiracy mind.

Lord Dumfuq: Dems are forcing Republican pollsters to say Harris is up in the polls for derp derp derp.

You can't escape the question.

Show that RMG Research is "Republicans favorite pollster".

Prove your own statement.

-Lord

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IbeOkehie: 9:16pm On Aug 02
LordAdam16:


I'm quoting from a source here. Verbatim.



The recent data showed a 0.6 percentage point uptick from the low of the last 12 months.

This is primarily to apply pressure on Powell to cut rates.
Inflation is just shy of 3%. So cutting the rates mean we'll be getting 5% inflation next year and home prices will begin to rise with a vengeance next year.
However, the markets will surge after the cut and the media and Harris' campaign will spin that as a win.

-Lord

No, I meant thanks for bringing up Sahm's Recession Rule. It's new to me and I'm glad to learn about it.

The Federal Reserve must resist the impulse to cut rates. The USA needs a long period of reduced money supply AND increased productivity.

Good Luck to the USA.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by IjeBos(m): 9:19pm On Aug 02
IbeOkehie:


No, I meant thanks for bringing up Sahm's Recession Rule. It's new to me and I'm glad to learn about it.

I hope the Federal Reserve resists the impulse to cut rates. The USA needs a long period of reduced money supply AND increased productivity.

Good Luck to the USA.

The FED is expected to cut rates at the next meeting.
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Obrigardo: 9:19pm On Aug 02
feedthenation:
---One MAGA that won't be endorsing Trump is Kyle Rittenhouse (remember him) because of 2nd Amendment---

https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1819325903408677158


🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😭😂
Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by LordAdam16: 9:21pm On Aug 02
IbeOkehie:


No, I meant thanks for bringing up Sahm's Recession Rule. It's new to me and I'm glad to learn about it.

I hope the Federal Reserve resists the impulse to cut rates. The USA needs a long period of reduced money supply AND increased productivity.

Good Luck to the USA.

Powell will be railroaded into cutting rates before the election.
Economic indicators are very, very important in election years.
They did not push out Biden only for Powell to poison the well.
He will cut the rate or he'll be forced out with a scandal or something.

-Lord

2 Likes

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