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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (5514) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:08pm On Apr 05, 2020
klas:


There are some paper loss that are as good as realised loss in terms of permanence sha.

Those that bought IPOs of Transcorp, Japaul and VeritasKapital Assurance 12 years ago can attest grin

Zenith and UBA are 6th and 8th respectively when it comes to dividend yield. Trancorp and Japaul are 80th and 93rd respectively.

Recovery is very likely. Even without capital appreciation at an average of 10% return he would have recovered his losses in 7 years.

Zenith dropped by 41% this year.
Therefore, 25m loss evaluates to 100÷41×25m =61m

61m was his initial investment, while he has 36m left in the market.

7 years at 10% average; 36m × 10 ÷ 100 × 7 = 25.2m

After 7 years he will be back where he started at 61m.

grin grin

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:22pm On Apr 05, 2020
ositadima1:


Zenith and UBA are 6th and 8th respectively when it comes to dividend yield. Trancorp and Japaul are 80th and 93rd respectively.

Recovery is very likely. Even without capital appreciation at an average of 10% return he would have recovered his losses in 6 years.

Number 1 to 5 nko?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:28pm On Apr 05, 2020
emmanuelewumi:


Number 1 to 5 nko?

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by leo1234(m): 8:28pm On Apr 05, 2020
Seunn11:
Help my portfolio, people.
My Zenith is now in red to the tune of 25m. Help!!!
UBA is 6.5m loss.
shocked
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:39pm On Apr 05, 2020
[quote author=ositadima1 post=88132311][/quote]


This is wrong, check out the date July 2019.

Based on last year's dividend zenith will give you a dividend yield of about 25% at the current price

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 8:41pm On Apr 05, 2020
klas:


There are some paper loss that are as good as realised loss in terms of permanence sha.

Those that bought IPOs of Transcorp, Japaul and VeritasKapital Assurance 12 years ago can attest grin

Kai this one pain me sha
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jamace(m): 8:42pm On Apr 05, 2020
Seunn11:
Help my portfolio, people.
My Zenith is now in red to the tune of 25m. Help!!!
UBA is 6.5m loss.

Do nothing. You will recover within a year time.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:47pm On Apr 05, 2020
emmanuelewumi:



This is wrong, check out the date July 2019.

Based on last year's dividend zenith will give you a dividend yield of about 25% at the current price

On 18-03-2019 they paid 250 kobo per share (valued 21.9 naira). I think that was the last record on which the evaluation was based. They probably paid a second one. 20% would not change their position a lot since they averaged over 6 years. Maybe 4th or 5th instead of 6th position. The point I was making was that they maintained above 10% average over the last 6 years.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OakPearl(m): 9:42pm On Apr 05, 2020
[quote author=ositadima1post=88132311[/quote].

The problem you will have with this is that the date for this computation was done since 2019.

To get the correct dividend yield, you need the most recent traded price of each of those stocks and a lot of water has passed under the bridge since 2019 sir.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 10:21pm On Apr 05, 2020
ositadima1:


Zenith and UBA are 6th and 8th respectively when it comes to dividend yield. Trancorp and Japaul are 80th and 93rd respectively.

Recovery is very likely. Even without capital appreciation at an average of 10% return he would have recovered his losses in 7 years.

Zenith dropped by 41% this year.
Therefore, 25m loss evaluates to 100÷41×25m =61m

61m was his initial investment, while he has 36m left in the market.

7 years at 10% average; 36m × 10 ÷ 100 × 7 = 25.2m

After 7 years he will be back where he started at 61m.

grin grin

Na dat time he will understand what currency devaluation means... grin

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Harvestock01(m): 11:33pm On Apr 05, 2020
DeRuggedProf:


Na dat time he will understand what currency devaluation means... grin

What is the liquidation value of these companies?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by TLAX: 11:50pm On Apr 05, 2020
Godlylifeoneart:



Rabbi, So you are not aware that all the top banks in Nigeria are highly exposed to oil and gas sector.
The implication of this is that the banking sector might be the first casualty of what we fear most(Recession )
First bank has not recovered from the NPL of 2012/14.
Already, Zenith and GT have been downgraded by Fitch.
No one can predict what will happen next. However, we must remain invested.

Check the quarterly investor call presentations of banks to give you a fair picture of their oil and gas exposures. Its on their respective Investor Relations pages.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by TLAX: 11:57pm On Apr 05, 2020
emmanuelewumi:



This is wrong, check out the date July 2019.

Based on last year's dividend zenith will give you a dividend yield of about 25% at the current price

From what i see in that picture, it appears to be average yield for a number of years.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OakPearl(m): 4:19am On Apr 06, 2020
Seunn11:
Help my portfolio, people.
My Zenith is now in red to the tune of 25m. Help!!!
UBA is 6.5m loss.


Don't be too hard on yourself, even the great Warren Buffett's portfolio is red at the moment.
It's wealth transfer season.
Don't let them take your wealth cheaply.
It's only but for a season.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by shrink007: 5:37am On Apr 06, 2020
[quote author=ositadima1 post=88132311][/quote]

Pls where can i get the dividend yield history of all stocks?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:23am On Apr 06, 2020
shrink007:


Pls where can i get the dividend yield history of all stocks?

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.rmeideas.yochaa

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by shrink007: 6:50am On Apr 06, 2020
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by maishai: 7:25am On Apr 06, 2020
wanaj0:


We have different threshold. Unfortunately when people join a forum like this, they dont understand that our risk profile differs. So when you follow someone with different risk profile, when the risk materializes then response will be different. When people use SHORT TERM funds for LONG TERM INVESTMENT because someone told them of a 50% return in 2 weeks what do you think will happen?

Then you have people averaging down and the more they buy the lower the market goes! How patient can they be after they've spent rent and school fees money to buy shares expecting to make 50% in 6 months only to be at 25% loss!

Then you have those that don't fully understand the strategic reason behind some moves. You have people buying illiquid stock to get on the board. No plan to sell. Now you joined because it was gaining 10% everyday with the hope of selling! You suddenly discover that what you have is paper profit because no one is BUYING smiley

People need to develop a plan and follow the plan. Yes you can update your plan BUT don't do follow follow because of our risk profile, objective etc are DIFFERENT.

Know yourself and UNTO thyself be TRUE

Best time to start digging out history ............ Good morning House

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Momoney54: 8:56am On Apr 06, 2020
The pump and dump that is going on in international markets is crazy...Traders are making a hit with all this volatility!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by seyisanya(m): 9:06am On Apr 06, 2020
Momoney54:
The pump and dump that is going on in international markets is crazy...Traders are making a hit with all this volatility!
It's a free market but quite ridiculous to see a stock gain more than 200% in just one day. Shooo! shocked

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by CashDiMkpa: 9:06am On Apr 06, 2020
Momoney54:
The pump and dump that is going on in international markets is crazy...Traders are making a hit with all this volatility!

@bolded is their best friend.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by debeey87(m): 9:32am On Apr 06, 2020
It has started already sef. Lots of contracts that was bid to kickstart later in the year are being suspended till next year already by iocs. It's going to be another 2015 - 2018 for the oil servicing firms soon
RabbiDoracle:


Since when? grin grin

Hope you know this isn't the first oil price crash?

One happened between 2014 till 2016. That was when all the banks took serious impairments for years(till 2018 sef).

I believe they must have learnt their lessons and hedge their risk appropriately.

If you downgrade a country, the banks will have same downgrades as well. You can't have a bank do well when the country is downgraded.

The risk to Nigeria is oil price. Some of the casualties of the low oil price are starting to show up in the US shale industry. One oil and has firm declared bankruptcy last week. More to come in the US.

That is why Trump wants to broker peace between Russia and Saudi to limit the number of US Oil workers that will be unemployed.

The first casualty in Nigeria will be the oil service industry. They will lay lots of them off as IOCs start cost cutting, reduction in capital spending and streamlining of activities.

Nigerian banks wicked o. E be like say you never hear who dem do something before. grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Uchetoba: 9:52am On Apr 06, 2020

http://www.nse.com.ng/Issuers-section/listed-securities/company-details?symbol=MOBIL

Mobil/11 plc gave us an open cheque now we are shy to write enough money on it, Yet the goal most nse investors is to make too much money.

Mobil told us that we have from 3rd of March to 3rd of June to decide what the payoff that they will offer to us the minority investors at the AGM which will hold on 3rd of June will be.

The implication of that is that if we allow the price of Mobil to remain at 160.9 till June 3rd, the core investor may come up with a payoff of not more than 250. But if we can pump the price to like 600 or there about for instance, the core investor will like wise come up with a payoff that is above 600.

It is now left for us the minority investors and the market maker to decide what we want. The big payoff or the small payoff? grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DrAwo(m): 10:07am On Apr 06, 2020
Uchetoba:


Mobil/11 plc gave us an open cheque now we are shy to write enough money on it, Yet the goal most nse investors is to make too much money.

Mobil told us that we have from 3rd of March to 3rd of June to decide what the payoff that they will offer to us the minority investors at the AGM which will hold on 3rd of June will be.

The implication of that is that if we allow the price of Mobil to remain at 160.9 till June 3rd, the core investor may come up with a payoff of not more than 250. But if we can pump the price to like 600 or there about for instance, the core investor will like wise come up with a payoff that is above 600.

It is now left for us the minority investors and the market maker to decide what we want. The big payoff or the small payoff? grin grin grin



To every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction...

If the majority shareholder decide to push millions of units onto the floor of the market, they can as well force the price down and pay peanuts to buy out the minority share holders...

It can work both ways you know...

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by shrink007: 10:25am On Apr 06, 2020
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 10:29am On Apr 06, 2020
Na Tony, Uzoka and udom will do the AGM.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Uchetoba: 10:39am On Apr 06, 2020
DrAwo:


To every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction...

If the majority shareholder decide to push millions of units onto the floor of the market, they can as well force the price down and pay peanuts to buy out the minority share holders...

It can work both ways you know...
They told us to decide how much we want to be paid.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by seyisanya(m): 10:43am On Apr 06, 2020
Uchetoba:


Mobil/11 plc gave us an open cheque now we are shy to write enough money on it, Yet the goal most nse investors is to make too much money.

Mobil told us that we have from 3rd of March to 3rd of June to decide what the payoff that they will offer to us the minority investors at the AGM which will hold on 3rd of June will be.

The implication of that is that if we allow the price of Mobil to remain at 160.9 till June 3rd, the core investor may come up with a payoff of not more than 250. But if we can pump the price to like 600 or there about for instance, the core investor will like wise come up with a payoff that is above 600.

It is now left for us the minority investors and the market maker to decide what we want. The big payoff or the small payoff? grin grin grin


My oga is building Burj Khalifa in the air grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by IYGEAL(m): 10:58am On Apr 06, 2020
11 plc actually offers a somewhat sure route to some capital appreciation this time of uncertainty.

Same with that other company that's buying out some shares.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by leo1234(m): 11:27am On Apr 06, 2020
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 11:34am On Apr 06, 2020

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by dinyelutochukwu: 11:41am On Apr 06, 2020
Any news on WAPCO?
I’m using this small window to offload my excess luggage.
@mcy, Peterichy, Loco

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