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Unite4real's Posts

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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 11:10am On Jan 18
Mpeace:
With Fidelity banks plan to do a private placement of addittional 20billion units, pls what will be the OS at the end of the day. One site claims 73billion shares another says 63billion.
Those in fidelity, pls what is the correct figure?

The dilution is becoming too much. Eps go just dey like 80kobo. How much dem want come pay as dividend.

Go through the first paragraph on the disclosure page and you will find the information direct from Fidelity bank as increasing the share capital from current N26.7 Billion to N36.7 Billion of N0.50 each.

So when you divide by 50k you arrive at 73.4 Billion units of shares.

So the right answer is 73.4 billion.

The authentic figure is what you get from the company publication

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Listings-site/corporate-disclosure-site/Documents/Fidelity_Bank_Plc_Notice_of_EGM_.pdf

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 7:30am On Jan 16
Mpeace:
https://www.nairaland.com/8318488/bosun-tijani-nigerians-pay-60

Nigerians to pay 60% more for calls

30% to 60% actually. That's the range as published.

I think this is to leave room for competition.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 6:51am On Jan 15
NettyNelly:


It's a $125M Deal, $65M initial Deposit.

.

The Asset is being financed by a N150bn bond program with a c.24% coupon, if the Naira weakens, it gets paid off faster.



I may be wrong with my Analysis

I don't think it gets paid faster if Naira weakens. Rather it's if Naira strengthens as long as the loan secured is to be paid from the Nigerian business to pay for the asset in Ghana.
If Naira weakens, then more of it is needed to exchange for dollars. The reverse is the case

4 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 10:42pm On Jan 14
bastardson:
Naaaah I like u though. Everything I am buying right now is long term.

I don’t even need immediate gains.

I believe u die. I budgeted 5m when I became active here in August last year. 500k units of CHAMS, 1M unit of Ellah Lakes. I have Afolabi of ARADEL, thinking of switching my stake in Access to International Breweries.

Learn NB can do 100% but IB can do 300%

IB with 168B units of outstanding shares is scary. How will traders allow it hit this ur target of 300% will be a Harvard case study.

The size of the OS is just too much

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 10:13pm On Jan 14
emmanuelewumi:



It appears the corporate bond was oversubscribed

What is the implication of this?

Will they absorb it 100% and hence pay off for the entire acquisition?
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 8:47am On Jan 13
emmanuelewumi:



What is your average cost price?

If it less than N40 you can book profit.

With the appreciation of Naira, I don't think investors will be paid more than N90 per share and this should be paid by second quarter of 2025

if the exit price for the majority shareholders stood at N90, then i believe the MTO for the minority should be doing above N100
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 5:44am On Jan 13
NettyNelly:



Since my thesis is that the market has yet to recognize the company's recently improved earnings, I chose to value the stock purely from an earnings perspective, based on how much the market has historically paid for such earnings.


Beta Glass reported an improved EPS of ₦2.4, ₦4.78, and ₦6.68 in Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024, respectively. This sums up to a 9-month EPS of ₦13.86. I forecast a full-year (FY) annualized EPS of ₦18.46, which assumes the company will earn an EPS of ₦4.6 in Q4. At the Current ₦ 49 share price, this projection translates to a forward P/E ratio of 2.65, which is remarkably low for a company with a 5-year average P/E of 5.

If we multiply the average P/E of 5 by our forecasted FY EPS of ₦18.46, we arrive at a target price of ₦92, representing an 88% upside from the current price of ₦49 per share.

Alternatively, if we take a more conservative approach and assume the company will earn just ₦2 in Q4, the FY EPS would be ₦15.86. Multiplying the same average P/E of 5 yields a target price of ₦79, representing a 62% upside from the current price of ₦49.

My assumption of ₦2 EPS for Q4 2024 is highly conservative. Post-COVID, the only instance where the company earned less than c.₦2 was in Q3 2022, with an EPS of ₦1.46. Apart from that, the business has consistently earned at least ₦2 per share over the last 16 quarters. I believe my target price would be met as the market reprices to 5x earnings or more on the back of strong full-year results, that it is yet to recognize.



Below is a chart I created to illustrate the market doesn't reflect current earnings.

The current market price is not N49.

It is N64.90

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 4:04pm On Jan 10
Locotrader:


It needs to be tightened.I mean liquidity.It makes the stock a volatile one which is also vulnerable.
20 or 25% is okay.
This 61.4% is where this leakage is coming from.
Some of us buying now are holding for a longer time.
That's true.

It's possible that the volume of transaction so far will be a blessing in disguise if the entity accumulating them is an institutional investor who will love to hold. This could squeeze the free float and the stock will only look ahead
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 3:46pm On Jan 10
Locotrader:
Shareholding structure of chams as at 31st Dec,2023.

about 61% of free float is quite a number though
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 2:42pm On Jan 09
yMcy56:
Something weird is going on in JAPAULGOLD...
What could this be?? 🤔

Looks like same person holding CHAMS down is also on Japaul's case....
The supplier doesn't seems to have exhaust the volume yet, maybe he accumulated the huge volumes and should this be the time to keep distorting the share prices?

We hope time touchlight what's happening or the person behind it.

you are quite right.

The willing buyer and seller always show up with this similar volumes to dpress the price. Maybe the seller is helping the buyer keep the price low so he can do all the accumulation.

They will run out of steam eventually. Afterall their holdings is not unlimited

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 2:22pm On Jan 08
Locotrader:


I am happy that all deals on chams both minority and majority shareholders dealings are taking place at the floor.Both the seller and some buyers are in agreement.

Fingers crossed

As soon as the seller runs out of steam, the train will sail
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 2:02pm On Jan 08
Locotrader:
This 2.20 seller has been very active since morning.I am sure the money on the table will send him parking.This full bid is inevitable today oooo

I am also thinking if 2.20 on queue is cleared, CHAMS will quickly hit full bid before close of business

1 Like

Sports / Re: Eric Chelle: 9 Things To Know About Super Eagles New Coach by unite4real: 8:24am On Jan 08
Quelme:
Zero pedigree....

We should be seeing things like, his style of play, philosophy and technicalities and not how many wives and kids he has.

ok.
from the report on the 9 things to know about him, how many wives and kids does he have?

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 6:34pm On Jan 07
Toluway:

The fact is most stocks lost today! Not only insurance. Do your check.

Contagion effect.

1 Like 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 6:32pm On Jan 07
Locotrader:


Billionaires know where they meet.
It's possible for them to be here but on guest mode.
Some people you tagged as billionaires here are portfolio managers.They come here to get knowledge on how to effectively manage clients money.

Loco is just one man squad with a portfolio less than N100m but aspiring to make it big in chams this year targeting N200m by year end.

I too like this guy.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 11:59am On Jan 07
emmanuelewumi:



I will rather buy the one at Ikoyi,


But wait ooo, since the property already has tenants and the rent can pay the mortgage. Why is the owner selling.


He is either selling at an inflated price, he expects a correction in the real estate market or he has over leveraged himself by taking more than enough loans.


All I know is that real money making opportunities are top kept secrets and no one will invite others to understand their money making secrets.


My opinion though.

I might be wrong


I have been wrong on several occasions

But you always make us understand.

2 Likes

Food / Re: Can You Eat This Animal (pics) by unite4real: 6:20pm On Jan 02
mecuries:
eating mammals?.... these people are cannibals

If you eat Goats, Cows and Sheep or Rabbits, those are mammals too.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 12:34am On Jan 01
Happy new year to all members of NSEMPA

6 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 6:45pm On Dec 31, 2024
chimex38:

Downstream outperforming 3 upstream? shocked
Interesting... cool

I cannot recall mentioning that one downstream will outperform 3 uostreams.

I was talking about share price performance pls

Even if we are to look at their EPS and P/E ratio I think one on one, TOTAL will do better than any of them. I stand to be corrected
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 4:39pm On Dec 31, 2024
mikeapollo:

Thanks for the updates.
I have a feeling 2025 will be great for all the oil companies (Aradel, Seplat, Oando) as FGN will need them to produce more for higher revenue, plus the share redistribution from Oando shareholders'.

Wish everyone a happy and blessed 2025

I think TOTAL ENERGIES is positioned to outperform them

2 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 9:56am On Dec 31, 2024
Ginalex:
Eku market o from my husband and I 🌚🌝

congratulations
Politics / Re: Nigeria Of Yesterday And Today In Pictures by unite4real: 9:08am On Dec 31, 2024
how did u have these new N200 and the N100 back then when garri was N100 for a module

2 Likes

Politics / Re: The Amazing Infrastructural Development Of Lagos (Pics) by unite4real: 7:53am On Dec 27, 2024
iwaeda:
Kindly show Lagos Island, Ebute-Meta, Ijora. Lagos is trying, but not at the pace of money generated. 70% of these developments are private initiatives. grin grin grin grin cry cry

the private initiatives you talked about, where did they make the money from. if it is so easy, let the private initiative go abd develp Zamfara state.

A state that thrives like lagos is expected to have even more than the 70% private initiative to develop the state

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 4:34pm On Dec 26, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
What are we buying from now till the end of the year?

It's to look out for ones with good fundamentals that have yet to rally significantly.

3 trading days left.

Can't point out any now.
Other igas may have done deeper research.
Pls let's drop picks

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 9:07pm On Dec 25, 2024
vacanci:
Pls what exactly is the total outstanding shares of C&I leasing.
Some online reports is saying 2.9B, some 1.76B.
Their last Q3 report EPS was based on 1.76B.

Anyone with updated report about this?

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42186_C_AND_I_LEASING_PLC.-2024_AGM_RESOLUTIONS_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_SEPTEMBER_2024.pdf
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 1:13pm On Dec 24, 2024
megawealth01:
Global Gas faults Shell’s $2.4 billion asset sale to Renaissance, cites court case 

https://nairametrics.com/2024/12/24/global-gas-faults-shells-2-4-billion-asset-sale-to-renaissance-cites-court-case/

Una wan drag Aradel down like tiger generator 😂

the last paragraph answers it all. No shaking
Investment / Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by unite4real: 6:40pm On Dec 19, 2024
sirrotex:
It's usually done yearly usually in December. The last was done in October last year

First issue was in 2017. There was none in 2019.

Out of the 6 issues so far, 3 were in December while the other 3 were in June, September and October.

Last year 2023 issue was in October actually
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 2:13pm On Dec 19, 2024
HamTrad:
Please who has update on Wapco board meeting

Is there any other special agenda apart from the consideration of the 9 months audited financial report?
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 8:37am On Dec 19, 2024
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 8:08pm On Dec 18, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
I always had a very long term view of the stock. . It’s paining me I didn’t buy when it was trading 370


After all the lots u got from the price appreciation in NASD?

3 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 2:23pm On Dec 12, 2024
Raider76:
Who will buy @28 when the RI is @25, a more than 10% difference? The extension of the RI period to 30th December may also be discouraging people.



Those without rights to exercise will do so
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 3:49pm On Dec 11, 2024
yMcy56:

ARADEL closed high @499 officially, touched 511
CONOIL closed high @352
The force kept dragging OANDO once it's moving up...
What is the entity cooking wey he never done? 🤔
I sha know OANDO is cheap at current price.....barring any other thing...

it's N500

1 Like

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