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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola (19152 Views)
Prosecute Jonathan For Corruption –lagos CAN / Bauchi Will Cease To Exist As A State Without Oil-yuguda / A Nigeria Without Oil (2) (3) (4)
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Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by DaLover(m): 12:57pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Demdem: Honestly speaking, I desire a true federation but I suspect that convening an SNC will be a waste of time... As I am heading to the conference with tots of true federalism, someone else is head there with tots of a unitary government where he can use his large population numbers to determine how revenues are appropriated in this country.... If we were initially divided countries like europe..it would make sence to say...ok, since I cant agree to your terms or you cant agree to mine, then lets call off the whole thing, or better still what compromises can we reach without giving too much... But in this situation we are already one country, laziness and parasitic behaviour have taken over peoples reasoning abilities, if I dont agree to your terms, nothing can be done (remember the constitutional confab organised by OBJ)..the SE and SS walked when resource control could not be agreed on and nothing happened...except for increased militancy~! 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by 7842I: 12:58pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Every state can survive without oil |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by ignis: 1:01pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
calcal: the guy don't know what is saying!Why do you think so? |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 1:02pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
People have debated the link between tax revenue and oil revenu and it is important for people to realise one thing which seems to escape everyone Oil revenues are more important to government than Nigerians in General. Oil accounts for about 23% of our GDP and Agriculture about 40% Manufacturing,Banking etc are also significant. Oil is less important to Lagos state government than to other states and even less so to its people as this chart of GDP shows http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nigerian_states_by_GDP Of whatever little manufacturing takes place in Nigeria ALMOST ALL happens in Lagos and this is NOT likely to change soon.Because of the Port and access to inputs. In fact not being dependent on oil revenue is good for Lagos State government .You do not suddenly have a large injection of cash when prices rise unexpectedly or the converse and whilst there is corruption in Lagos,people will react differently if you steal oil money than their taxes especially when you start prosecuting them to raise these taxes. Overall. Oil is 1/5 of economy and is differentially important to various state government.Lagos state now being the least dependent.We must distinguish between a government and a state just as we must the FG from Nigeria,It is the FG NOT Nigerians who need oil money.The reality is how many of us see it? 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by edogirl2: 1:05pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Afam4eva: I don't believe I suggested that if oil runs out Lagos will remain at the same level! I made clear it would sudder, but that it would survive. Now let's move on. I still don't get the differentiation you are trying to make between Lagos and say London. You made a rather curious remark about 'Lagos did not build itself.' What does that mean exactly? How did London build itself? Many would argue that London is what it is because of the wealth/resources repatriated from the great colonies of Australia, India, the Caribbean, and Africa centuries ago. Yet, when during the Olympics, the Mayor of London said London was the greatest city on planet earth, no one stopped to say erm,,, hold on, but London was build on the back of slave trade and resource repatriation, as such you can't claim it is the greatest. Lagos is what it is. People should quit being over sensitive to statements alluding to its greatness/success and constantly reminding us of how it got special attention as a result of being the Federal capital, more than 20 years ago. It's like saying, Hussain Bolt should not proclaim itself as the fastest man in the world, because had God not given him those long legs and super human lungs, Mr Lakashegbe from Ogbomosho will have run faster. It just doesn't make sense. 8 Likes |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by TonySpike: 1:08pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
edo.girl: Afam is known to be obsessed about Lagos. He has created so many threads discussing Lagos on Nairaland. I wonder why you bothered to reply him in the first place... 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Afam4eva(m): 1:08pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
edo.girl:I think using London as an example was an oversight on my part. London and Lagos are the same kettle of fish. Btw, the bolded is aa very bad example. There's a difference between being naturally talented and being a little bit talented and being trained with the money that could have possibly been used on other people but instead you were given a preferential treatment. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Demdem(m): 1:10pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
DaLover: 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 1:15pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Afam4eva:Exactly what do you mean by "special treatment" ?That it got more than it deserved or contributed? DO you have any data or is this the usual beer parlour assertion.What do you mean Lagos did not build itself unlike New York or London.Do you know the history of these cities or are you just sounding off. Lagos became what it has become because it is the most important and strategic point of access to the sea in Nigeria in that regard it has no rival. If you have a choice of spending money to fix your eyes or to fix your teeth it is a false choice .That is how important Lagos was to the British and that is why the United African Company ,Cadbury ,Flour mills and virtually all the manufacturing was/is in Lagos.Why did they not give the same "special treatment" to Kontangora or Abakaliki. On the flip side was Lagos a Net Contributor to the British Exchequer or Not.Did the British bring money in or take money out of Lagos.Same question for Nigeria.As I showed earlier Lagos is giving 40 billion plus every month in VAT alone to the federation account.How much does Abuja contribute?? Finally YOU ARE WRONG oil is not our mainstay. Agriculture is our mainstay. It is the goverment that has oil as a mainstay(there is a difference) and you seem to forget or maybe are not old enough to know that from 1983 to 1991(GULF WAR) oil prices were in the doldrums and our economy did not collapse in fact the agriculture sector continued to grow. There is no other source of revenue other than tax of one kind or another available to government except it goes into business. Even oil revenues are a form of tax!! 2 Likes |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by demsat: 1:17pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
kettykin:Your response is equally laughable. How did u come abt the statistics: concerning the ownership structure of corporations in Nig? So the SW & Northerners own next 2 nothin? That's a big joke!!! |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by tinkinjo: 1:22pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
aribisala0: I don't think you've gotten my point. Granted Lagos have this and that, or is this and that,or pays this and that. But the point I'm making is: Lagos is what it is because of what it was. At the risk of repeating myself and FYI the seaport, airport, etc were built by the federal govt and with OIL money. Or would you rather list the things that Lagos have achieved with its own funds that other states have not or even more? I repeat all that Lagos is including its population is as a result of the attration it held as a Federal Capital Full stop. And to answer you question: Aba and Onitsha are more deserving because of their industry. And before you start it, I'm not Igbo. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Afam4eva(m): 1:24pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
aribisala0:Lagos is not the only city in Nigeria with access to the sea and not all cities with access to the sea are as developed as Lagos. Take the coastal towns in the Niger Delta for example. So, this clears the misconception that once you have a body of water automatically development will locate you. When i cited New York and London(oversight), i was just trying to say that no concerted and deliberate effort was made by the federal government to develop these cities. They developed using their own manpower and resources. But in the case of Lagos, it was developed by the British and the Federal government using the commonwealth of Nigeria. Even after the British left, Lagos was still the capital and even after that it was considered a special territory, so it benefited immensely in no small measure from the national purse. You say, Lagos brought money, pls what part of the country did not bring money? Can you prove that lagos brought money and others did not? Whatever money Lagos contributed is very irrelevant to the height that it has attained today. All those Manufacturing companies you listed came to Lagos because the foundation had already been laid for them by the FG, so you don't expect them to head to Ado-Ekiti or Abakaliki. The truth is there for everyone to see and i find it hard to understand why you guys deny these things. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by tayejay(m): 1:26pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
That is nt exactly true. This is because most of activities that make it easy 4 pple to generate income and pay tax are directly or indirectly propelled by oil based revenue. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 1:33pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
tinkinjo:When was the seaport and airport in Lagos built? How do you know it was built with oil money The seaport as it exists can easily be rebuilt.It does not cost a lot of money.The fact is under our constitution Ports are on the Exclusive list as are airports. You cannot run an International airport without Immigration ,Customs etc and so the FG must agree So if Lagos state was authorised to build a seaport they would have done so Long ago.It is the location of lagos that makes its seaport valuable.Tinubu tried building one and OBJ blocked it Now They are going into a joint venture with the FG and an investor 20;20;60, Government will not put one kobo . So the issue is not which money was use to build it; airports were built in Kano ,Jos PH etc why are they not as profitable. These things can be built with private money as businesses and taxed. There was no need to use oil money. But Lagos is the place where such deals are most likely to succeed I really don't know what industry are in Aba and Onitsha you see the thing about logic is it completely confounds sentiment.How much electricity is consumed in all the 16 states in Southern Nigeria excluding Lagos compared to Just Lagos which consumes over 1000MW before you start talking of industries in Aba and Onitsha are these SOLAR POWERED INDUSTRIES? NAME these industries Please How many of Dangote's businesses are in Aba and Onitsha or how many of these industries are on the stock Market. I really like to discuss with facts not emotion 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by kettykin: 1:34pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Tony Spike: This Assumption is at most highly exaggerative , while not disputing the importance of Lagos , a Sea port in PH/Akwa Ibom will be a game changer because of the high growth rate of the Niger Delta States and adjoining SE/MB states |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by yokiti: 1:35pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Nice one Edo girl, more wisdom to your brain and more strength to you! . @ Topic: . I believe all other leaders should learn how to shift greater revenue generation from only oil to other sectors in preparation againt future eventualities (such as: break up, oil drying up and absolute resource control). . kudos to ALL that made Lagos to be one of pride of our nation. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Nobody: 1:38pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
He shd go n tell dat to d northerners dt didnt want d region dat had oil to secede in 1967. And besides, he shd knw dat bfr crude oil came, Nigeria was. Dat was wen naira was bigger dan dollar o. Infact dats for northerners , cos am sure d east will. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 1:38pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
kettykin:I hope that is the case because it will grow Nigeria even more.Let us wait and see as no amount of argument will reveal the future. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Nobody: 1:40pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
He shd go n tell dat to d northerners dt didnt want d region dat had oil to secede in 1967. And besides, he shd knw dat bfr crude oil came, Nigeria was. Dat was wen naira was bigger dan dollar o. Infact dats for northerners , cos am sure d east will survive |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by TonySpike: 1:52pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
kettykin: Corrected! |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by basty: 1:57pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
babyosisi: What is he waiting for? Walk the Walk,she you go school, Omo Ibo too bad, only money, money, money. Simple Grammar you cannot construct. Work the Work, corrected. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 2:12pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Afam4eva: My words again:"it is the most important and strategic point of access to the sea in Nigeria" I believe that this is quite clear so I am not sure what you are talking about.The coastal terrain in the gulf of guinea is such tha after Lagos from Ogun to Cross River the coast is swampy,deltan and affords very poor access to large vessels in contrat to Lagos Cotonou Lome Accra Badagry. Firstly Lagos state is NOT a city it is a State.A part thereof(Lagos Island and Ikoyi up to WAEC in Yaba) was the Federal Capital and developments germane to the Capital were built there. there are other parts ot the State that have attracted investment which are business oriented. The Seaport was built by the British as was the tarmac for the airport at Ikeja before independence.These were later upgraded but Nothing to do with the FCT namely Ikoyi,Lagos Island. Ikeja was the state capital of lagos and was built by the State government.In fact it was PART of THE WESTERN REGION. The WESTER REGION too was busy developing Parts of what are now in Lagos STate even before Independence and thereafter too.Not JUST THE FG Why do you like to make assertions with no knowledge or evidence. You speak first and then try to find a rational argument later.The UK has a unitary government and expenditures in London by government have come in various forms. London is a metropolitan City of boroughs in administrative structure while Lagos is a state with metropolitan parts and a largely rural/riverine community. Festac town and Other infrastructure was built to host Festac(THE BRITISH SPENT £10 billion on the Olympics).There is no underground network comparable to London's elsewhere in the UK and London receives more government spend than Birmingham,Manchester,Liverpool,Edinburgh and Glasgow put together. London before the idea of Greater London was quite small and grew based on government investment which has often been close to 20% of National spend. You imply that there was a concerted effort by central government to build "LAGOS".The federal government of the state?? Remember before 1966 MUSHIN was in the WESTERN REGION and thereafter LAGOS STATE.The FG built in its FCT and the WESTERN GOVERNMENT were not sleeping .Thereafter there was a LASG .Please try and talk about those things which you have knowledge. 2 Likes |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by tinkinjo: 2:22pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
aribisala0: When I say Lagos airport I mean MMIA. Please take no offense but I think you've totally lost me. Let me help you. 1. Lagos can now survive without oil money. (That was never in dispute). 2. Lagos can now survive because of the structures that oil money through federal presence have help put in place. 3. Without being the former federal capital, most of what give Lagos the leverage over other states wouldn't have been established in Lagos in the first place. 4. The companies, population,and the attendant commercial activities in Lagos all came by way of its attraction as a federal capital city. 5. ...and so on! Again the Kano and Port Harcourt airports can't be like Lagos' 'cos they aren't Federal Capitals. (Believe me had Nigeria practiced true federalism, there would've been places with better airports than the federal one in Lagos). And when I said industry I mean entrepreneurial spirits as exemplified in the mentioned communities. (note that these communities are almost 100% indigenous) |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Vavavoom(m): 2:25pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
basty: There's such a thing as not to suffer fools gladly. Dear Basty, work the work, really? Please make sure of your phrase usage before trying to better another's. The walk the walk phrase is usually used in conjunction with the talk the talk phrase or like the Americans say it, "to walk it like you talk it" enough said. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 2:42pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
tinkinjo:FIRSTLY GET ONE THING CLEAR LAGOS STATE WAS NOT THE FEDERAL CAPITAL> A COMMON ERROR BUT WRONG.BEFORE IT WAS CREATED MOST OF THE STATE WAS IN THE WESTERN REGION.AFTERWARDS A PART NOT THE WHOLE WAS THE FEDERAL CAPITAL>THERE WAS STILL A WORKING STATE GOVERNMENT WHICH ACTUALLY BROUGHT JULIUS BERGER TO NIGERIA FIND OUT Did Nigeria pay for the civil war with Oil money. When did the price of oil turn things around 1973 (Yom Kippur war) Before then Oil was not a major plank of Government spend Lagos infrastructure was not put in place largely by oil money.You keep repeating that but it is simply NOT TRUE Lagos has always been a Net contributor to the Federation.The Airport terminal at MMA was an upgrade to the airport.That airport has been there before independence as was most of the landing terminal.There is no evidence it was built with oil money.You talk as if the day we started selling oil everything else stopped. There was a gradual increase in dependence on oil but by then (1975) the FG decided to move to Abuja.How much of Lagos was built after 1975. Why is Abuja airport not as profitable or as busy as Lagos.Is it not a federal capital.How busy is Washingto airport compared to Atlanta?. Is Frankfurt the capital of Germany. The companies came by way of attraction of it being Federal capital you claim? When will they move to Abuja.The issue is NOT the Federal Capital issue.It is its location.IN fact one may argue THAT IS WHY IT WAS MADE CAPITAL not the other way round. You do not automatically have a coast because you are capital?? Why is Bournvita made in Lagos because it is capital ?? Many of those companies are located in a part of Lagos that WERE IN THE WESTERN REGION until LAGOS STATE Was created 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Afam4eva(m): 2:43pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
@aribisala You're limiting it to oil money. We're talking of our commonwealth right from the time of the colonialists and not just oil money. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Dede1(m): 2:50pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
@Topic This is a typical empty rant or boastful talk emanating from loudmouthed jackasses that spurs people to call for disintegration of the jungle called Nigeria. What is Lagos without crude oil money? |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 2:52pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Afam4eva: @aribisalaLagos the FCT was developed to a great extent by Colonial funds but that again was because it was of strategic importance.Location was the reason.Yes they are lucky. No one has accounts to say whether these fund were from the Eastern Region or The Western or the Northern or ALL. You are ASSUMING but do not know. Afterall we are told that Nigeria was merged in 1914 because the Northern Region was running at a deficit. For all we Know Lagos which was administered as "THE COLONY OF LAGOS" quite separate from the regions was economically self sustaining and even subsidizing the commonwealth as you call it. But LAGOS THE FCT in the Colonial ERA is not the same as LAGOS STATE TODAY. Mushin. Ikeja, Epe Badagry Orile Oshodi These were NOT part of LAGOS but were in the WESTERN REGION 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Afam4eva(m): 2:54pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
aribisala0: Is it every place that has a strategic access to sea that's as developed as Lagos? And are there no cities without a body of water that are very developed? How can you attribute the development of Lagos to it's strategic access to the sea. Those other parts of Lagos that have attracted development did so as a result of the spiral effect of what was already on ground in Lagos Island. It's for the same reason why some outskirts of Abuja are currently getting some dividends of being close to the nation's capital. It's also for the same reason why the borders of Ogun state are attracting industries and estates. You cam't deny that the foundation of Lagos has already been laid and in the next 50 years, it will still be developing and it's development will aalso be attributed to the preferential treatment it got. If Lagos was not our capital and it did not get a preferential treatment then the population of it's manpower, industrial power will not increase. If you has followed my post, you'll realize that my mentioning London was a mistake. London and Lagos are the same thing. Good examples of cities that developed themselves are mostly in America. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Vavavoom(m): 3:02pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Unfortunately Fashola's bogus claim can only be affirmed when put to test. In any case Nigeria as a country will find out in the coming 3 -5 years what strength it's non-oil economy boast with the upsurge in Shale gas FRACKING technology deployed currently by the US to meet and surpass her domestic energy needs. We as a nation will have a true test of our economic foundation when Good old uncle Sam reduce further her patronage and we fail to find a ready market for our crude. Fashola will be proved wrong or right. The strange thing today is people in government failing to adapt to obvious economic changes looming in the horizon, even the Saudis with all their bestowed oil reserves are planning ahead for that period when an alternative to easy oil I'll make them less competitive. With all the monies accruing to the fed from crude oil (down and upstream) we still don't have lasting facilities. Imagine a period when oil prices will hover around $50 or below that benchmark! I think easy money has been our bane and we may find time short to diversify when the storm hits. |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by Wallie(m): 3:03pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
edo.girl: @ edo.girl Your arguments, rebuttals and reasoning are impressive! More rational people like you are needed in this forum. I was so impressed that I had to look up your prior posts just to make sure your posts on this topic weren't just one-offs. Kudos to you! 1 Like |
Re: Only Lagos Can Survive Without Oil – Fashola by aribisala0(m): 3:05pm On Jan 18, 2013 |
Afam4eva:No it is not but it is not every child that is born that will become an adult so other factors are key and Nigeria is peculiar. I have explained several Times on this threadwhat I mean by strategic access to the sea in the Nigerian context.There is nowhere that is as friendly to ships as Lagos.Why was Calabar the Capital of the Southern Protectorate abandoned?? Your mentioning London was not just a mistake but the whole notion of cities developing themselves is nonsense really. What does that mean.I believe only YOU understand that concept. Cities are developed by people and their successs is usually not predictable. all kinds of things come into play and since the world is not ended New cities bigger than any ever know can still come up anywhere even in Nigeria. Naturally being open to migration and external influences seems to help and Lagos has been that with relatively little ethnic tension or discrimination compared to most places in Nigeria. But Historically in the context of Nigeria . I believe the Location of the UACN which later became Lever brothers in what we must not Forget was WESTERN NIGERIA and some government policies of the WESTERN REGION laid the background for IKEJA to become what it is today. IKEJA was never part of the FEDRAL CAPITAL but exploited its proximity.If it was so easy why is it not happening for ABuja |
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